生态优先视域下资源诅咒空间分异分析——以黄河流域为例
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摘要
综合运用ESDA分析框架对黄河流域内各省水足迹、GDP空间分异进行分析,研究结果表明:流域尺度上,黄河流域水资源诅咒现象存在显著的空间分异;区域尺度上,虚拟水贸易是影响水资源供需平衡的关键要素,水足迹存在显著空间分异;省域尺度上,强、中资源诅咒区省份种植结构的虚拟水含量较高,弱资源诅咒区省份种植结构的虚拟水含量较低;黄河流域各省水足迹和GDP空间分布趋同,均在下游弱资源诅咒区高值集聚,上游强资源诅咒区低值集聚。
This paper analyzes the spatial distribution characteristics of water footprint and GDP in the Yellow River Basin by ESDA analysis framework. Results show that,firstly,in the basin scale,there are significant spatial distribution of water resource curse in the Yellow River Basin. Secondly,in the regional scale,the vitual water trade is the key factor influencing the balance of water supply-demand and the water footprint has obvious spatial distribution characteristics. Thirdly,in the provincial scale,there is higher content of virtual water of planting structure in the strong and medium resource curse area and lower content in the weak resource curse area. Fourthly,there is the same spatial distribution of water footprint and GDP in the Yellow River Basin. The higher values of water footprint and GDP concentrate in the downstream area,which is weak resource curse area.
This paper analyzes the spatial distribution characteristics of water footprint and GDP in the Yellow River Basin by ESDA analysis framework. Results show that,firstly,in the basin scale,there are significant spatial distribution of water resource curse in the Yellow River Basin. Secondly,in the regional scale,the vitual water trade is the key factor influencing the balance of water supply-demand and the water footprint has obvious spatial distribution characteristics. Thirdly,in the provincial scale,there is higher content of virtual water of planting structure in the strong and medium resource curse area and lower content in the weak resource curse area. Fourthly,there is the same spatial distribution of water footprint and GDP in the Yellow River Basin. The higher values of water footprint and GDP concentrate in the downstream area,which is weak resource curse area.
引文
[1]崔英.黄河流域内蒙古段降水的时空变异性研究[D].内蒙古农业大学,2011.
[2]Auty R M.Economic Development and the Resource Curse Thesis[M].Palgrave Macmillan UK,1995.
[3]Papyrakis E,Gerlagh R.The Resource Curse Hypothesis and its Transmission Channels[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2004,32(1):181-193.
[4]Wenar L.Property Rights and the Resource Curse[J].Philosophy&Public Affairs,2008,36(1):2-32.
[5]Allan J A.Virtual Water:A Strategic Resource Global Solutions to Regional Deficits[J].Ground Water,2010,36(4):545-546.
[6]Hoekstra A Y.Virtual Water Trade:Proceedings of the International Expert Meeting on Virtual Water Trade[J].2003.
[7]Hoekstra A Y,Chapagain A K.Water Footprints of Nations:Water Use by People as a Function of their Consumption Pattern[J].Water Resources Management,2007,21(1):35-48.
[8]Hoekstra A Y,Mekonnen M M.The Water Footprint of Humanity[J].Proceedings of the national Academy of Sciences,2012,109(9):3232-3237.
[9]麻永建,徐建刚.基于ESDA的河南省区域经济差异的时空演变研究[J].软科学,2006(5):51-54.
[10]吕晨,樊杰,孙威.基于ESDA的中国人口空间格局及影响因素研究[J].经济地理,2009(11):1797-1802.
[11]姚予龙,周洪,谷树忠.中国资源诅咒的区域差异及其驱动力剖析[J].资源科学,2011,33(1):18-24.
[12]Chapagain A K,Hoekstra A Y.Water Footprints of Nations[J].Journal of Banking&Finance,2004,27(8):1427-1453.
[13]Chapagain A K,Hoekstra A Y.Virtual Water Trade:A Quantification of Virtual Water Flows Between Nations in Relation to International Crop Trade[J].Jorgchem,2002,11(7):835-855.
[14]Chapagain A K,Hoekstra A Y.Virtual Water Flows Between Nations in Relation to Trade in Livestock and Livestock Products[J].2003.
[15]赵良仕.中国省际水资源利用效率测度、收敛机制与空间溢出效应研究[D].辽宁师范大学,2014.
[16]王新华,徐中民,李应海.甘肃省2003年的水足迹评价[J].自然资源学报,2005,20(6):909-915.
[17]黄森,蒲勇健.区域差异导致经济块状发展的空间机理研究[J].统计研究,2011(4):42-48.
[18]赵永平本报记者.黄河缺水用水还得省着来[N].人民日报,2015-11-25.
[19]刘伟涛,顾鸿,李春洪.基于德尔菲法的专家评估方法[J].计算机工程,2011(s1):189-191.
[20]孙才志,陈栓,赵良仕.基于ESDA的中国省际水足迹强度的空间关联格局分析[J].自然资源学报,2013,28(4):571-582.
[2]Auty R M.Economic Development and the Resource Curse Thesis[M].Palgrave Macmillan UK,1995.
[3]Papyrakis E,Gerlagh R.The Resource Curse Hypothesis and its Transmission Channels[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2004,32(1):181-193.
[4]Wenar L.Property Rights and the Resource Curse[J].Philosophy&Public Affairs,2008,36(1):2-32.
[5]Allan J A.Virtual Water:A Strategic Resource Global Solutions to Regional Deficits[J].Ground Water,2010,36(4):545-546.
[6]Hoekstra A Y.Virtual Water Trade:Proceedings of the International Expert Meeting on Virtual Water Trade[J].2003.
[7]Hoekstra A Y,Chapagain A K.Water Footprints of Nations:Water Use by People as a Function of their Consumption Pattern[J].Water Resources Management,2007,21(1):35-48.
[8]Hoekstra A Y,Mekonnen M M.The Water Footprint of Humanity[J].Proceedings of the national Academy of Sciences,2012,109(9):3232-3237.
[9]麻永建,徐建刚.基于ESDA的河南省区域经济差异的时空演变研究[J].软科学,2006(5):51-54.
[10]吕晨,樊杰,孙威.基于ESDA的中国人口空间格局及影响因素研究[J].经济地理,2009(11):1797-1802.
[11]姚予龙,周洪,谷树忠.中国资源诅咒的区域差异及其驱动力剖析[J].资源科学,2011,33(1):18-24.
[12]Chapagain A K,Hoekstra A Y.Water Footprints of Nations[J].Journal of Banking&Finance,2004,27(8):1427-1453.
[13]Chapagain A K,Hoekstra A Y.Virtual Water Trade:A Quantification of Virtual Water Flows Between Nations in Relation to International Crop Trade[J].Jorgchem,2002,11(7):835-855.
[14]Chapagain A K,Hoekstra A Y.Virtual Water Flows Between Nations in Relation to Trade in Livestock and Livestock Products[J].2003.
[15]赵良仕.中国省际水资源利用效率测度、收敛机制与空间溢出效应研究[D].辽宁师范大学,2014.
[16]王新华,徐中民,李应海.甘肃省2003年的水足迹评价[J].自然资源学报,2005,20(6):909-915.
[17]黄森,蒲勇健.区域差异导致经济块状发展的空间机理研究[J].统计研究,2011(4):42-48.
[18]赵永平本报记者.黄河缺水用水还得省着来[N].人民日报,2015-11-25.
[19]刘伟涛,顾鸿,李春洪.基于德尔菲法的专家评估方法[J].计算机工程,2011(s1):189-191.
[20]孙才志,陈栓,赵良仕.基于ESDA的中国省际水足迹强度的空间关联格局分析[J].自然资源学报,2013,28(4):571-582.