云南省边境地区人口分布适宜度研究
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摘要
边境地区因其特殊的地缘环境条件逐步成为学界关注的热点,而人口的适度分布是影响边境地区区域安全、稳定与繁荣的关键。本文以云南省的边境地区人口分布适宜度为切入点,从云南边境整体、州市、县级3个尺度,建立人口、资源、环境与发展的PRED模型进行人口分布适宜度分析,结果表明:(1)云南边境地区人口分布适宜度整体低于60,主要原因在于社会经济协调度相对较差;(2)州市尺度:云南东南边境州市人口分布适宜度要好于西北边境州市,人居环境适宜度是导致各州市人口分布适宜度差异的主要因素;(3)县级尺度:云南边境地区人口分布适宜度低于60的县域单元最多,东南边境县域单元人口分布适宜度整体好于西北边境;(4)边境县域分析:滇缅边境县人口分布适宜度整体最低且内部差异最大,滇老边境县人口分布适宜度整体最高且内部差异最小,滇越边境县处于居中水平。
The borderlands have gradually attracted the academic attentions due to their special geographic environments,while the suitability of the population distribution is the key factor influencing the regional security,stability and prosperity.This paper gives an analysis of the suitability of the population distribution at the provincial level,the prefectural level and the county level,and establishes a PRED model covering the factors of population,resources,environment and development.It concludes that the suitability of the population distribution in the borderlands of Yunnan is lower than60 because of the poor socio-economic coordination;at the prefectural level,the suitability of the population distribution in the southeastern borderland of Yunnan is better than that in the northwestern borderland of Yunnan,while the suitability of the living environment is the major factor for the differences in the suitability of the population distribution;at the county level,the suitability of the population distribution in the borderland is mostly below 60,while the counties in the southeast borderland are better than those in the northwest borderland.The counties close to Myanmar have the lowest suitability of the population distribution and the biggest differences;the counties close to Laos have the best suitability of the population distribution and the least differences;the counties close to Vietnam remain inbetween.
The borderlands have gradually attracted the academic attentions due to their special geographic environments,while the suitability of the population distribution is the key factor influencing the regional security,stability and prosperity.This paper gives an analysis of the suitability of the population distribution at the provincial level,the prefectural level and the county level,and establishes a PRED model covering the factors of population,resources,environment and development.It concludes that the suitability of the population distribution in the borderlands of Yunnan is lower than60 because of the poor socio-economic coordination;at the prefectural level,the suitability of the population distribution in the southeastern borderland of Yunnan is better than that in the northwestern borderland of Yunnan,while the suitability of the living environment is the major factor for the differences in the suitability of the population distribution;at the county level,the suitability of the population distribution in the borderland is mostly below 60,while the counties in the southeast borderland are better than those in the northwest borderland.The counties close to Myanmar have the lowest suitability of the population distribution and the biggest differences;the counties close to Laos have the best suitability of the population distribution and the least differences;the counties close to Vietnam remain inbetween.
引文
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(1)封志明,杨艳昭,等.基于分县尺度的中国人口分布适宜度研究[J].地理学报,2014,(6);中国人口分布适宜度研究课题组.中国人口分布适宜度报告[M].北京:科学出版社,2014:227~229.
(2)封志明,杨艳昭,等.基于分县尺度的中国人口分布适宜度研究[J].地理学报,2014,(6).
(1)刘睿文,封志明,等.基于人口集聚度的中国人口集疏格局[J].地理科学进展,2010,(10).
(1)陈德顺,普春梅.境外流动人口对云南边境地区社会治理的影响与对策[J].社会学评论,2014,(4).
(1)封志明,杨艳昭,等.基于分县尺度的中国人口分布适宜度研究[J].地理学报,2014,(6).
(2)李益敏,郝性中.怒江州致贫原因及脱贫对策[J].热带地理,2008,(1).
(3)国务院.全国主体功能区规划[J].2010.
(1)鲁刚.中越边界云南段沿线地区的边境贸易与经济合作[J].云南师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2009,(1).
(2)Van Houtum H.The geopolitics of borders and boundaries[J].Geopolitics,2005,(4);Newman D.The lines that continue to separate us:borders in ourborderless'world[J].Progress in Human geography,2006,(2);李灿松,胡志丁,等.当前国外政治地理学边境安全研究进展[J].热带地理,2014,(4).
(3)Dean K.Spaces and territorialities on the Sino-Burmese boundary:China,Burma and the Kachin[J].Political Geography,2005,(7);Doevenspeck M.Constructing the border from below:Narratives from the Congolese-Rwandan state boundary[J].Political Geography,2011,(3).
(4)Cherpitel C J,Ye Y,Zemore S E,et al.The effect of cross-border mobility on alcohol and drug use among Mexican-American residents living at the US-Mexico border[J].Addictive behaviors,2015,(50);张宝平.我国边境安全的基本态势[J].太平洋学报,2008,(4);胡志丁,骆华松,等.地缘安全视角下国家边界的“三重功能”及其优化组合[J].人文地理,2012,(3).
(1)Raposo M L,Ferreira J J M,Fernandes C I.Local and cross-border SME cooperation:Effects on innovation and performance[J].Revista Europea de Dirección y Economía de la Empresa,2014,(4).
(2)陈德顺,普春梅.境外流动人口对云南边境地区社会治理的影响与对策[J].社会学评论,2014,(4).
(3)郭家骥.云南周边跨境民族文化交流互动与边疆繁荣稳定[J].云南社会科学,2015,(6).
(4)张丽君,郑妍.云南边境对外贸易成就、问题与对策研究[J].中央民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2014,(2).
(5)赵多平,孙根年,等.中国边境入境旅游的客流演化态势及其动因分析---新疆内蒙云南三省区的比较研究[J].人文地理,2012,(5).
(6)齐清文,何大明,等.云南沿边境地带生态环境3S监测、评价与调控研究[J].地理科学进展,2005,(2).
(7)于海利,刘静,等.缅甸果敢难民涌入对中国边境地区的影响[J].热带地理,2015,(4).
(8)熊理然,李锦荣,等.云南省25个边境县(市)人口分布时空格局演变分析(1990~2010)[J].西北人口,2013,(5).
(9)何跃.云南边境地区主要贸易口岸的境外流动人口与边疆安全[J].云南师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2008,(2).
(10)游珍,封志明,等.中国边境地区人口分布的地域特征与国别差异[J].人口研究,2015,(5).
(1)封志明,杨艳昭,等.基于分县尺度的中国人口分布适宜度研究[J].地理学报,2014,(6);中国人口分布适宜度研究课题组.中国人口分布适宜度报告[M].北京:科学出版社,2014:227~229.
(2)封志明,杨艳昭,等.基于分县尺度的中国人口分布适宜度研究[J].地理学报,2014,(6).
(1)刘睿文,封志明,等.基于人口集聚度的中国人口集疏格局[J].地理科学进展,2010,(10).
(1)陈德顺,普春梅.境外流动人口对云南边境地区社会治理的影响与对策[J].社会学评论,2014,(4).
(1)封志明,杨艳昭,等.基于分县尺度的中国人口分布适宜度研究[J].地理学报,2014,(6).
(2)李益敏,郝性中.怒江州致贫原因及脱贫对策[J].热带地理,2008,(1).
(3)国务院.全国主体功能区规划[J].2010.
(1)鲁刚.中越边界云南段沿线地区的边境贸易与经济合作[J].云南师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2009,(1).