影响福建省惠安县台风气候特征及其不同路径的风雨影响
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摘要
利用惠安县1956-2015年的地面观测数据和常规天气资料,分析影响惠安台风频数气候变化特征,分析正面登陆福建省不同登陆位置路径的台风对惠安县造成的风雨差异,结果表明:影响惠安台风频数多年平均为1.5个,有增多的变化趋势不明显,但有明显的阶段性特征,1990年以前为偏少期,1990年以后为偏多期。影响惠安台风频数存在着明显的4a、8a、16a周期变化特征。台风季节分布呈"单峰型"变化特征,6月台风开始增多,8月达到峰值。在各种不同路径登陆福建省台风中,以正面登陆厦门至诏安之间的台风对惠安县影响最大,风雨交加的机率最多。
Based on ground observation data and conventional weather data of Huian from 1956 to 2015,climate change characteristics of typhoon influencing Huian and differences of wind and rain caused by typhoon landing Fujian from different path were analyzed. The results show that: the average number of typhoon influencing Huian is 1.5, which presents unobvious increasing trend but obvious stage characteristics that means the time before 1990 had less typhoon and it reversed after 1990 years.Frequency of affecting typhoon exist 4 a., 8 a. and 16 a. obvious periodic variation characteristics.Seasonal distribution of typhoon displays " unimodal type" increasing from June and peaking in August.In all the typhoons landing Fujian by different paths, the ones directly landing the place from Xiamen to Zhao An led to the biggest influence to Huian and the frequency occurring wind and rain is the highest.
Based on ground observation data and conventional weather data of Huian from 1956 to 2015,climate change characteristics of typhoon influencing Huian and differences of wind and rain caused by typhoon landing Fujian from different path were analyzed. The results show that: the average number of typhoon influencing Huian is 1.5, which presents unobvious increasing trend but obvious stage characteristics that means the time before 1990 had less typhoon and it reversed after 1990 years.Frequency of affecting typhoon exist 4 a., 8 a. and 16 a. obvious periodic variation characteristics.Seasonal distribution of typhoon displays " unimodal type" increasing from June and peaking in August.In all the typhoons landing Fujian by different paths, the ones directly landing the place from Xiamen to Zhao An led to the biggest influence to Huian and the frequency occurring wind and rain is the highest.
引文
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[3]魏应植,许健民,周学鸣.台风“杜鹃”的AMSU卫星微波探测资料分析[J].热带气象学报,2005,21(4):214-222.
[4]魏应植.用VB作50年台风路径资料检索与分析[J].成都气象学院学报,2000,15(4):317-321.
[5]徐良炎,高歌.近50年台风变化特征及灾害年景评估分析[J].气象,2005,31(3):41-44.
[6]陈联寿,徐祥德,罗哲贤,等.热带气旋动力学引论[M].北京:气象出版社,2002:17-36,248-252.
[7]吕校华,谭德权,冉祥辉,等.超强台风”桑美“的特点及其成因分析[J].气象研究与应用,2007,28(2):70-73.
[8]杨志英.防御2006年超强台风“桑美”的实践与思考[J].水利科技,2007,2:1-3.
[9]张容焱,徐宗焕,游立军,等.福建热带气旋风雨空间分布特征及风险评估[J].应用气象学报,2012,23(6):672-682.
[10]黄永麟,王志怡,农民强.GIS在广西山洪灾害预警中的应用[J].气象研究与应用,2007,28(3):30-32.
[11]廖义樟,康晋闽.0601强台风”珍珠“移动路径分析[J].气象研究与应用,2007,28(2):15-17.
[12]翁小芳,冯文,李凡.0801台风”浣熊“的路径和强度特征分析[J].气象研究与应用,2008,29(4):4-6.
[13]潘杰丽,梁利.2009年06号台风路径及其登陆后暴雨分析[J].气象研究与应用,2009,30(2):23-24.
[14]何小娟,甘静,潘静,等.201002号台风”康森“移动路径特点的分析[J].气象研究与应用,2010,31(4):12-15.
[15]林燕红,曾国经.0010号台风路径及登陆后暴雨成因浅析[J].广东气象,2001,3:36-37.
[16]凌汉强,张劲梅.两个相似南海台风的特征分析[J].广东气象,2002,3:26-33.
[17]沈锦花,胡波.浙江省近534年旱涝发生规律及突变分析[J].气象,2005,31(10):76-78.
[18]吴洪宝,吴蕾.气候变率诊断和预测方法[M].北京:气象出版社,2005:208-244.
[19]覃卫坚,寿绍文,王咏青,等.广西雷暴分布特征及灾害成因分析.自然灾害学报,2009,18(2):131-138.
[20]陈聪,孔启亮,张琪等.近50a南通地区影响台风的时空特征及统计分析[C].第九届长三角气象科技论坛论文集,2012:1-14.