基于环境因子的东、黄海日本鲐Pella-Tomlinson生物经济模型建立与应用
|
摘要
【目的】建立基于环境因子的生物经济模型,研究环境因子对鲐鱼资源的影响。【方法】根据2006—2015年中国鲐鱼生产统计鱼产卵场和索饵场海洋表面温度(SST)、索饵场海洋表面温度梯度(GSST)和索饵场海表面高度(SSH)等数据,假设产卵场和索饵场环境因子对东、黄海日本鲐剩余产量产生影响,基于剩余产量模型分析环境因子对东、黄海日本鲐资源的影响。【结果与结论】产卵场和索饵场关键因子共同影响内禀增长率r,产卵场关键因子影响环境容纳量K,进而影响剩余产量和资源量;2011、2012和2015年日本鲐遭受过度捕捞;每年的最大可持续产量(MSY)、最大经济产量(MEY)和生物经济参考点(BE)及其对应的捕捞努力量fMSY、fMEY和fBE随着环境因素的改变而变化。在渔业管理中应考虑环境因素。
【Objectives】Establish a residual yield model based on environmental factors,and analyze the impact of environmental factors on the resources of Chub mackerels from the East China sea and Yellow Sea.【Method】Based on production statistics data and spawning ground and feeding ground sea surface temperature(SST),gradient of sea surface temperature(GSST) of the feeding ground and sea surface height(SSH) of the feeding ground of Chub mackerel from 2006 to 2015.We assume that the environmental factors of spawning and feeding ground have an impact on the Chub mackerelUsing residual production model,the impact of environmental factors on Chub mackerel resources was analyzed.【Result and Conclusion】The results show that the key factors of the spawning ground and the feeding affect the intrinsic growth rate(r),and the key factors of the spawning ground affect the environmental capacity(K),which affects the remaining production and resources;in 2011,2012 and 2015,Chub mackerel production was suffered from overfishing.The annual maximum sustainable yield(MSY),maximum economic output(MEY),and bioeconomic reference point(BE) and their corresponding fishing effort fMSY,fMEY,and fBE vary with environmental factors.This paper suggests that environmental factors should be considered in fisheries management and management measures should be adjusted in a timely manner.
【Objectives】Establish a residual yield model based on environmental factors,and analyze the impact of environmental factors on the resources of Chub mackerels from the East China sea and Yellow Sea.【Method】Based on production statistics data and spawning ground and feeding ground sea surface temperature(SST),gradient of sea surface temperature(GSST) of the feeding ground and sea surface height(SSH) of the feeding ground of Chub mackerel from 2006 to 2015.We assume that the environmental factors of spawning and feeding ground have an impact on the Chub mackerelUsing residual production model,the impact of environmental factors on Chub mackerel resources was analyzed.【Result and Conclusion】The results show that the key factors of the spawning ground and the feeding affect the intrinsic growth rate(r),and the key factors of the spawning ground affect the environmental capacity(K),which affects the remaining production and resources;in 2011,2012 and 2015,Chub mackerel production was suffered from overfishing.The annual maximum sustainable yield(MSY),maximum economic output(MEY),and bioeconomic reference point(BE) and their corresponding fishing effort fMSY,fMEY,and fBE vary with environmental factors.This paper suggests that environmental factors should be considered in fisheries management and management measures should be adjusted in a timely manner.
引文
[1]KIPARISSIS S,TSERPES G,TSIMENIDIS N.Aspects on the demography of Chub Mackerel(Scomber japonicas Houttuyn,1782)in the Hellenic Seas[J].Belgian Journal of Zoology,2000,130(130):3.
[2]李纲.东黄海日本鲐资源评估与管理决策研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2011.
[3]李纲.我国近海日本鲐资源评估及风险评价[D].上海:上海海洋大学,2008.
[4]WADA T,MATSUBAR T A,MATSUMIYA Y,et al.Influence of environment on stock fluctuations of Japanese sardine,Sardinopsmelanostictus[J].Can.Spe.c Publ.FishAquat.Sci.1995,121:387-394.
[5]李纲,陈新军.夏季东海渔场日本鲐产量与海洋环境因子的关系[J].海洋学研究,2009,27(1):3-10.
[6]李纲,郑晓琼,朱国平,等.基于水温因子的东、黄海日本鲐剩余产量模型建立[J].上海海洋大学学报,2011,20(1):108-113.
[7]郑晓琼,李纲,陈新军.基于环境因子的东、黄海日本鲐剩余产量模型及应用[J].海洋湖沼通报,2010(3):41-48.
[8]杨红,章守宇,戴小杰,等.夏季东海水团变动特征及对鲐鲹渔场的影响[J].水产学报,2001,25(3):209-214.
[9]黒田啓行,依田真里,安田十也,等.平成28(2016)年度マサバ対馬暖流系群の資源評価[EB/OL].[2018-08-03].http://abchan.fra.go.jp/digests28/details/2806.pdf,2018,8,3.
[10]王从军,陈新军,李纲.东、黄海鲐鱼生物经济社会综合模型的优化配置研究[J].上海海洋大学学报,2013,22(4):623-628.
[11]易炜,郭爱,陈新军.不同环境因子权重对东海日本鲐栖息地模型的影响研究[J].海洋学报,2017,39(12):90-97.
[12]陈新军,刘必林,田思泉,等.利用基于表温因子的栖息地模型预测西北太平洋柔鱼(Ommastrephes bartramii)渔场[J].海洋与湖沼,2009,40(6):707-713.
[13]郑元甲.东海大陆架生物资源与环境[M].上海:上海科学技术出版社,2003.
[14]张孝威.日本鲐[M].北京:农业出版社,1983.
[15]田思泉,陈新军.不同名义CPUE计算法对CPUE标准化的影响[J].上海海洋大学学报,2010,19(2):240-245.
[16]DUEL H,SPECKEN B P M,DENNEMAN W,et al.The habitat evaluation procedure as a tool for ecologicalrehab:Ilitation of wetlands in the Netherlands[J].Water Science and Technology,1995,31(8):387-391.
[17]PELLA J.A generalized stock production model[J].Inter-Am Trop Tuna Comm.Bull.1969,13:416-497.
[18]王玉.剩余产量模型的研究[D].青岛:中国海洋大学,2013.
[19]SHELTON A O.Modelling and quantitative methods in fisheries[M].2nd Ed.Boca Raton:Chapman&Hall/Chapman and Hall/CRC,2001:1033-1034.
[20]HOGGARTH D D,ABEYASEKERA S,ARTHUR R I,et al.Stock assessment for fishery management.Aframework guide to the stock assessment tools of the Fisheries Management Science Programme(FMSP)[J].Biomass&Bioenergy,2006,51(2):183-188.
[21]LLUCH-BELDA D,CRAWFORD R J M,KAWASAKIT,et al.World-wide fluctuations of sardine and anchovy stocks:the regime problem[J].South African Journal of Marine Science,1989,8(1):195-205.
[22]YATSU A,WATANABE T,ISHIDA M,et al.Environmental effects on recruitment and productivity of Japanese sardine Sardinopsmelanostictus and chub mackerel Scomberjaponicus with recommendations for management[J].Fisheries Oceanography,2005,14(4):263-278.
[23]BARTSCH J.The influence of spatio-temporal egg production variability on the modelled survival of the early life history stages of mackerel(Scomber scombrus)in the eastern North Atlantic[J].Ices Journal of Marine Science,2005,62(6):69-70.
[24]苏杭,陈新军,汪金涛.海表水温变动对东、黄海鲐鱼栖息地分布的影响[J].海洋学报,2015,37(6):88-96.
[25]陈新军.渔业资源与渔场学[M].北京:海洋出版社,2004:149-157.
[26]POLITO P S,SATO O T,LIU W T.Characterization and validation of the heat storage variability from TOPEX/Poseidon at four oceanographic sites[J].Journal of Geophysical Research,2000,105(C7):16911-16921.
[2]李纲.东黄海日本鲐资源评估与管理决策研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2011.
[3]李纲.我国近海日本鲐资源评估及风险评价[D].上海:上海海洋大学,2008.
[4]WADA T,MATSUBAR T A,MATSUMIYA Y,et al.Influence of environment on stock fluctuations of Japanese sardine,Sardinopsmelanostictus[J].Can.Spe.c Publ.FishAquat.Sci.1995,121:387-394.
[5]李纲,陈新军.夏季东海渔场日本鲐产量与海洋环境因子的关系[J].海洋学研究,2009,27(1):3-10.
[6]李纲,郑晓琼,朱国平,等.基于水温因子的东、黄海日本鲐剩余产量模型建立[J].上海海洋大学学报,2011,20(1):108-113.
[7]郑晓琼,李纲,陈新军.基于环境因子的东、黄海日本鲐剩余产量模型及应用[J].海洋湖沼通报,2010(3):41-48.
[8]杨红,章守宇,戴小杰,等.夏季东海水团变动特征及对鲐鲹渔场的影响[J].水产学报,2001,25(3):209-214.
[9]黒田啓行,依田真里,安田十也,等.平成28(2016)年度マサバ対馬暖流系群の資源評価[EB/OL].[2018-08-03].http://abchan.fra.go.jp/digests28/details/2806.pdf,2018,8,3.
[10]王从军,陈新军,李纲.东、黄海鲐鱼生物经济社会综合模型的优化配置研究[J].上海海洋大学学报,2013,22(4):623-628.
[11]易炜,郭爱,陈新军.不同环境因子权重对东海日本鲐栖息地模型的影响研究[J].海洋学报,2017,39(12):90-97.
[12]陈新军,刘必林,田思泉,等.利用基于表温因子的栖息地模型预测西北太平洋柔鱼(Ommastrephes bartramii)渔场[J].海洋与湖沼,2009,40(6):707-713.
[13]郑元甲.东海大陆架生物资源与环境[M].上海:上海科学技术出版社,2003.
[14]张孝威.日本鲐[M].北京:农业出版社,1983.
[15]田思泉,陈新军.不同名义CPUE计算法对CPUE标准化的影响[J].上海海洋大学学报,2010,19(2):240-245.
[16]DUEL H,SPECKEN B P M,DENNEMAN W,et al.The habitat evaluation procedure as a tool for ecologicalrehab:Ilitation of wetlands in the Netherlands[J].Water Science and Technology,1995,31(8):387-391.
[17]PELLA J.A generalized stock production model[J].Inter-Am Trop Tuna Comm.Bull.1969,13:416-497.
[18]王玉.剩余产量模型的研究[D].青岛:中国海洋大学,2013.
[19]SHELTON A O.Modelling and quantitative methods in fisheries[M].2nd Ed.Boca Raton:Chapman&Hall/Chapman and Hall/CRC,2001:1033-1034.
[20]HOGGARTH D D,ABEYASEKERA S,ARTHUR R I,et al.Stock assessment for fishery management.Aframework guide to the stock assessment tools of the Fisheries Management Science Programme(FMSP)[J].Biomass&Bioenergy,2006,51(2):183-188.
[21]LLUCH-BELDA D,CRAWFORD R J M,KAWASAKIT,et al.World-wide fluctuations of sardine and anchovy stocks:the regime problem[J].South African Journal of Marine Science,1989,8(1):195-205.
[22]YATSU A,WATANABE T,ISHIDA M,et al.Environmental effects on recruitment and productivity of Japanese sardine Sardinopsmelanostictus and chub mackerel Scomberjaponicus with recommendations for management[J].Fisheries Oceanography,2005,14(4):263-278.
[23]BARTSCH J.The influence of spatio-temporal egg production variability on the modelled survival of the early life history stages of mackerel(Scomber scombrus)in the eastern North Atlantic[J].Ices Journal of Marine Science,2005,62(6):69-70.
[24]苏杭,陈新军,汪金涛.海表水温变动对东、黄海鲐鱼栖息地分布的影响[J].海洋学报,2015,37(6):88-96.
[25]陈新军.渔业资源与渔场学[M].北京:海洋出版社,2004:149-157.
[26]POLITO P S,SATO O T,LIU W T.Characterization and validation of the heat storage variability from TOPEX/Poseidon at four oceanographic sites[J].Journal of Geophysical Research,2000,105(C7):16911-16921.