空气泡沫驱矿场试验风险量化评估方法
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摘要
当前空气泡沫驱主要限于室内机理及相关工艺的研究,而矿场实施经验较少.虽然国内外并未报道过较大安全事故,但其安全风险问题仍是决定该技术是否可以得到推广的关键.国内外缺少针对空气泡沫驱的安全评价,其防护措施的制定也存在盲目性.在充分了解空气泡沫驱油的原理和工艺后,针对各个环节可能存在的风险进行分析,建立了双层风险评估指标体系.应用层次分析法对风险指标的重要性和发生可能性进行度量,并进一步对风险发生后可能造成的人员伤亡、经济损失和环境危害进行损值评定,最终得到整个空气泡沫驱风险评估体系的评价值,建立一种适合空气泡沫驱的风险评估模型,以根据需要采取相应的安全技术措施.
The current air foam flooding is mainly limited to the mechanism and related technology research, but the field experience is less. No large safety accident happened about application of air foam flooding for IOR in China and abroad, however, people have always been focusing on risks of this technique, which are also the major precondition of whether this technique can extend to large scale application. There is not enough research on this subject, neither is there systematic protection measures. This paper analyzed the risks basing on full understanding of principles and techniques of air foam displacement, and then designed Risk Indexes to establish double risk assessment index system. Applying analytic hierarchy process(AHP) to measure the importance and possibility of risk indexes, and further to assess the Risk Damage Value of casualties, economic losses and environmental damage Finally, the Evaluation Value of the whole air foam flooding risk assessment system can be obtained, a risk assessment model of air foam flooding was then established to take appropriate security measures as required.
The current air foam flooding is mainly limited to the mechanism and related technology research, but the field experience is less. No large safety accident happened about application of air foam flooding for IOR in China and abroad, however, people have always been focusing on risks of this technique, which are also the major precondition of whether this technique can extend to large scale application. There is not enough research on this subject, neither is there systematic protection measures. This paper analyzed the risks basing on full understanding of principles and techniques of air foam displacement, and then designed Risk Indexes to establish double risk assessment index system. Applying analytic hierarchy process(AHP) to measure the importance and possibility of risk indexes, and further to assess the Risk Damage Value of casualties, economic losses and environmental damage Finally, the Evaluation Value of the whole air foam flooding risk assessment system can be obtained, a risk assessment model of air foam flooding was then established to take appropriate security measures as required.
引文
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[14]王晓峰.层次分析法在石油企业风险评估中的应用[J].中国高新技术企业,2012(1):14-17.
[15]吉亚娟,周乐平,赵泽宗,等.注空气采油工艺的风险分析及安全控制技术[J].石油化工安全环保技术,2007, 23(3):19-22.
[16]徐琳瑜,陈家军,王红旗.油田开发的一种区域风险评价方法及应用[J].应用基础与工程科学学报,1999(3):252-258.
[17]王涛.基于PHA-LEC法的油田地面工程作业场所潜在风险分析[J].安全与环境工程,2013, 20(3):143-148.
[2]王杰祥,王腾飞,韩蕾,等.特低渗油藏空气泡沫驱提高采收率实验研究[J].西南石油大学学报(自然科学版),2013, 35(5).
[3]东晓虎,刘慧卿,庞占喜,等.不同含水期轻质油藏空气泡沫驱试验[J].中国石油大学学报:自然科学版,2013, 37(4):124-128.
[4]张莉,郭兰磊,任韶然.埕东油田强化泡沫驱矿场驱油效果[J].大庆石油学院学报,2010, 34(1):47-50.
[5]林伟民,史江恒,肖良,等.中高渗油藏空气泡沫调驱技术[J].石油钻采工艺,2009, 31(A01):115-116.
[6]熊晓洲,高东辉.空气压缩机系统的防燃防爆[J].流体机械,1989(9):43-45.
[7]汪德山.空压机排气管路的防爆措施[J].铁路节能环保与安全卫生,1987(1).
[8]栾振辉,孟庆虎.空压机安全运行的技术保障[J].煤矿安全,2004, 35(4):40-42.
[9]兰玉波,刘春林,赵永胜.大庆油田泡沫复合驱矿场试验评价研究[J].天然气工业,2006,26(6):102-104.
[10]高海涛,李雪峰,赵斌,等.中渗特高含水油藏空气泡沫调驱先导试验[J].油田化学,2010, 27(4):377-380.
[11]李琪,于琳琳,刘志坤,等.钻井风险因素综合评价方法及模型建立[J].天然气工业,2008, 28(5):120-122.
[12]苟三权.油田开发项目的风险分析方法综述[J].石油钻探技术,2007, 35(2):87-89.
[13] Saaty T L. Making and validating complex decisions with the AHP/ANP[J]. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering, 2005, 14(1):1-36.
[14]王晓峰.层次分析法在石油企业风险评估中的应用[J].中国高新技术企业,2012(1):14-17.
[15]吉亚娟,周乐平,赵泽宗,等.注空气采油工艺的风险分析及安全控制技术[J].石油化工安全环保技术,2007, 23(3):19-22.
[16]徐琳瑜,陈家军,王红旗.油田开发的一种区域风险评价方法及应用[J].应用基础与工程科学学报,1999(3):252-258.
[17]王涛.基于PHA-LEC法的油田地面工程作业场所潜在风险分析[J].安全与环境工程,2013, 20(3):143-148.