环境规制下产业结构变迁的跨区协同效应——基于空间杜宾模型的研究
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摘要
采用2004—2016年我国省际面板数据,通过构建空间杜宾模型,实证检验我国及我国东、中、西部环境规制对产业结构变迁的影响。结果表明:总体而言,随着我国环境规制强度的提高,产业结构变迁轨迹呈先上升后下降的倒"U"型趋势,环境规制强度过高不利于产业结构升级;分区域来看,环境规制对三大经济区自身与相邻地区产业结构变迁的影响不同,东部地区呈"U"型关系,中西部则呈倒"U"型关系,直接效应和间接效应表现出协同效应,中部地区尤为突出。提高环境规制强度、制定多元化跨区域的环境政策,将有助于产业结构转型升级。
The spatial Durbin model was built based on the 2004 to 2016 Chinese provincial panel data. To examine the impact of environmental regulations on the industrial structure changes in China,and the eastern,central,western regions. The results showed that: As a whole,with the improvement of Chinese environmental regulation intensity,the trajectory of industrial structure change showed an inverted U-shaped trend of rising and then decreasing,and the high environmental regulation intensity was not conducive to industrial structure upgrading. From a regional perspective,environmental regulation had different effects on the industrial structure changes of the three major economic zones and the neighboring regions. The eastern region presented a U-shaped relationship,while the central and western regions exhibited an inverted U-shaped relationship. The industrial structure changes in the three major economic zones showed synergistic effects,especially in the central region. The research results showed that improving the intensity of environmental regulation and formulating diversified and cross-regional environmental policies would contribute to the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure.
The spatial Durbin model was built based on the 2004 to 2016 Chinese provincial panel data. To examine the impact of environmental regulations on the industrial structure changes in China,and the eastern,central,western regions. The results showed that: As a whole,with the improvement of Chinese environmental regulation intensity,the trajectory of industrial structure change showed an inverted U-shaped trend of rising and then decreasing,and the high environmental regulation intensity was not conducive to industrial structure upgrading. From a regional perspective,environmental regulation had different effects on the industrial structure changes of the three major economic zones and the neighboring regions. The eastern region presented a U-shaped relationship,while the central and western regions exhibited an inverted U-shaped relationship. The industrial structure changes in the three major economic zones showed synergistic effects,especially in the central region. The research results showed that improving the intensity of environmental regulation and formulating diversified and cross-regional environmental policies would contribute to the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure.
引文
[1]范玉波,刘小鸽.基于空间替代的环境规制产业结构效应研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(10)∶30-38.
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[18]李东坤,邓敏.中国省际OFDI、空间溢出与产业结构升级——基于空间面板杜宾模型的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题,2016,(1)∶121-133.
[19]Lesage J P,Pace R K. Introduction to Spatial Econometrics[M].CRC Press,2009∶513-514.
[20]Lee L F,Yu J. Estimation of Spatial Autoregressive Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects[J]. Journal of Econometrics,2010,154(2)∶165-185.
[2]郑金铃.分权视角下的环境规制竞争与产业结构调整[J].当代经济科学,2016,38(1)∶77-85.
[3]纪玉俊,刘金梦.环境规制促进了产业升级吗?——人力资本视角下的门限回归检验[J].经济与管理,2016,30(6)∶81-87.
[4]原毅军,谢荣辉.环境规制的产业结构调整效应研究——基于中国省际面板数据的实证检验[J].中国工业经济,2014,(8)∶57-69.
[5]钟茂初,李梦洁,杜威剑.环境规制能否倒逼产业结构调整——基于中国省际面板数据的实证检验[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(8)∶107-115.
[6]韩晶,陈超凡.环境规制促进产业升级了吗?——基于产业技术复杂度的视角[J].北京师范大学学报(社会科学版),2014,(1)∶148-160.
[7]王文普.环境规制、空间溢出与地区产业竞争力[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2013,23(8)∶123-130.
[8]沈坤荣,金刚,方娴.环境规制引起了污染就近转移吗?[J].经济研究,2017,(5)∶44-59.
[9]赵霄伟.环境规制、环境规制竞争与地区工业经济增长——基于空间Durbin面板模型的实证研究[J].国际贸易问题,2014,(7)∶82-92.
[10]Elhorst J P. Applied Spatial Econometrics:Raising the Bar[J]. Spatial Economic Analysis,2010,5(1)∶9-28.
[11]Elhorst J P. Matlab Software for Spatial Panels[J]. International Regional Science Review,2014,37(3)∶389-405.
[12]干春晖,郑若谷,余典范.中国产业结构变迁对经济增长和波动的影响[J].经济研究,2011,(5)∶4-16.
[13]肖兴志,李少林.环境规制对产业升级路径的动态影响研究[J].经济理论与经济管理,2013,(6)∶102-112.
[14]徐敏,姜勇.中国产业结构升级能缩小城乡消费差距吗?[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2015,(3)∶3-21.
[15]杨丹萍,杨丽华.对外贸易、技术进步与产业结构升级:经验、机理与实证[J].管理世界,2016,(11)∶172-173.
[16]王丽,张岩.对外直接投资与母国产业结构升级之间的关系研究——基于1990—2014OECD国家的样本数据考察[J].世界经济研究,2016,(11)∶60-69.
[17]王双燕,魏晓平,赵雷英.外商直接投资、环境规制与产业结构高级化[J].首都经济贸易大学学报,2016,18(1)∶26-32.
[18]李东坤,邓敏.中国省际OFDI、空间溢出与产业结构升级——基于空间面板杜宾模型的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题,2016,(1)∶121-133.
[19]Lesage J P,Pace R K. Introduction to Spatial Econometrics[M].CRC Press,2009∶513-514.
[20]Lee L F,Yu J. Estimation of Spatial Autoregressive Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects[J]. Journal of Econometrics,2010,154(2)∶165-185.