基于地统计分析的1974～2004年东北三省夏季气温时空演变规律
|
摘要
[目的]基于地统计分析,研究1974～2004年东北三省夏季气温时空演变规律。[方法]采取气候倾向率与地统计分析结合的方法,对东北三省1974～2004年夏季平均气温时空演变规律进行探讨分析。[结果]东北三省夏季气温多年平均分布总体上呈现由南向北、由西向东递减的趋势;东北三省平均气温总体呈上升趋势,且以辽宁省增幅最大;1994年夏季平均气温要显著高于其他年份,气候较为异常;东北三省地区增温速度的整体趋势是自吉林省东南部向其他地区逐渐降低。[结论]该研究有助于认识东北三省气温时空结构和变化特征。
[Objective] The research aimed to study spatio-temporal change characteristics of summer mean temperature in northeast China during 1974-2004 based on geostatistics.[Method] By combining climate tendency rate and geostatistics,spatio-temporal change characteristics of summer mean temperature in northeast China during 1974-2004 were discussed.[Result] Summer mean temperature distribution in northeast China for many years showed a trend of decreasing from south and west to north and east.Summer mean temperature in northeast China overall showed rise trend,and the biggest temperature rise magnitude was in Liaoning Province.Mean summer temperature in 1994 was significantly higher than that in other years,and climate was abnormal.The rise speed of summer mean temperature in northeast China showed a trend of decreasing from southeast Jilin Province to other areas.[Conclusion] The research contributed to recognize spatio-temporal structure and change characteristics of the temperature in northeast China.
[Objective] The research aimed to study spatio-temporal change characteristics of summer mean temperature in northeast China during 1974-2004 based on geostatistics.[Method] By combining climate tendency rate and geostatistics,spatio-temporal change characteristics of summer mean temperature in northeast China during 1974-2004 were discussed.[Result] Summer mean temperature distribution in northeast China for many years showed a trend of decreasing from south and west to north and east.Summer mean temperature in northeast China overall showed rise trend,and the biggest temperature rise magnitude was in Liaoning Province.Mean summer temperature in 1994 was significantly higher than that in other years,and climate was abnormal.The rise speed of summer mean temperature in northeast China showed a trend of decreasing from southeast Jilin Province to other areas.[Conclusion] The research contributed to recognize spatio-temporal structure and change characteristics of the temperature in northeast China.
引文
[1]陈冬花,邹陈,王苏颖,等.基于DEM的伊犁河谷气温空间插值研究[J].光谱学与光谱分析,2011,31(7):1925-1929.
[2]廖顺宝,李泽辉,游松财,等.气温数据栅格化的方法及其比较[J].资源科学,2003,25(6):83-88.
[3]XU Z X,WANG D J,GAO J.Homogeneity test on temperature series in Li-aoning Province[J].Meteorological and Environmental Research,2010,1(8):17-20.
[4]ZHANG T W,WANG J L,XIANG X J,et al.Characteristic analysis of thetemperature variation in Baoji City in past 52 years[J].Meteorological andEnvironmental Research,2010,1(2):1-3.
[5]孙建奇,王会军.东北夏季气温变异的区域差异及其与大气环流和海表温度的关系[J].地球物理学报,2006,49(3):662-671.
[6]沈柏竹,刘实,廉毅,等.2009年中国东北夏季低温及其与前期海气系统变化的联系[J].气象学报,2011,69(2):320-333.
[7]张茜,李栋梁.东北及邻近地区夏季气温异常的新特征及对大气环流的响应[J].高原气象,2011,30(6):1604-1614.
[8]庞子琴,郭品文.不同年代际背景下AO与冬季中国东北气温的关系[J].大气科学学报,2010,33(4):469-476.
[9]袁文涛,刘滨辉,刘燕玲,等.黑龙江省1960-2000年地表温度的变化趋势[J].东北林业大学学报,2011,39(2):67-71.
[10]张正斌,陈兆波,孙传范,等.气候变化与东北地区粮食新增[J].中国生态农业学报,2011,19(1):193-196.
[11]刘景利,王志明,陈明,等.1951～2007年东北地区有效积温时空变化特征[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(25):15655-15656,15680.
[12]杨凤海,王帅,刘晓庆,等.基于ArcGIS的近10年黑龙江省旬平均气温插值与建库[J].黑龙江农业科学,2009(5):120-124.
[13]于成龙,张海林,刘丹,等.黑龙江省极端温度时空演变特征分析[J].东北林业大学学报,2008,36(10):33-35,40.
[14]张庆洲,王振民,李泊洋,等.内蒙北山地区泛克里格法化探数据处理效果[J].西部探矿工程,2012,24(3):138-140.
[15]肖志强,赵彦锋.武都区高温时空演变特征及灾害风险区划[J].农业灾害研究,2012,2(3):65-67.
[16]LIU S F,SU Y,ZHANG N.Analysis of Temperature Variation in Zhangqiu City during the Past30Years[J].Agricultural Science&Technology,2012,13(6):1339-1341.
[17]乌文奇,郭鲁彦,李伟,等.内蒙古通辽市五十年气温变化的研究[J].畜牧与饲料科学,2012,33(1):6-7.
[2]廖顺宝,李泽辉,游松财,等.气温数据栅格化的方法及其比较[J].资源科学,2003,25(6):83-88.
[3]XU Z X,WANG D J,GAO J.Homogeneity test on temperature series in Li-aoning Province[J].Meteorological and Environmental Research,2010,1(8):17-20.
[4]ZHANG T W,WANG J L,XIANG X J,et al.Characteristic analysis of thetemperature variation in Baoji City in past 52 years[J].Meteorological andEnvironmental Research,2010,1(2):1-3.
[5]孙建奇,王会军.东北夏季气温变异的区域差异及其与大气环流和海表温度的关系[J].地球物理学报,2006,49(3):662-671.
[6]沈柏竹,刘实,廉毅,等.2009年中国东北夏季低温及其与前期海气系统变化的联系[J].气象学报,2011,69(2):320-333.
[7]张茜,李栋梁.东北及邻近地区夏季气温异常的新特征及对大气环流的响应[J].高原气象,2011,30(6):1604-1614.
[8]庞子琴,郭品文.不同年代际背景下AO与冬季中国东北气温的关系[J].大气科学学报,2010,33(4):469-476.
[9]袁文涛,刘滨辉,刘燕玲,等.黑龙江省1960-2000年地表温度的变化趋势[J].东北林业大学学报,2011,39(2):67-71.
[10]张正斌,陈兆波,孙传范,等.气候变化与东北地区粮食新增[J].中国生态农业学报,2011,19(1):193-196.
[11]刘景利,王志明,陈明,等.1951～2007年东北地区有效积温时空变化特征[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(25):15655-15656,15680.
[12]杨凤海,王帅,刘晓庆,等.基于ArcGIS的近10年黑龙江省旬平均气温插值与建库[J].黑龙江农业科学,2009(5):120-124.
[13]于成龙,张海林,刘丹,等.黑龙江省极端温度时空演变特征分析[J].东北林业大学学报,2008,36(10):33-35,40.
[14]张庆洲,王振民,李泊洋,等.内蒙北山地区泛克里格法化探数据处理效果[J].西部探矿工程,2012,24(3):138-140.
[15]肖志强,赵彦锋.武都区高温时空演变特征及灾害风险区划[J].农业灾害研究,2012,2(3):65-67.
[16]LIU S F,SU Y,ZHANG N.Analysis of Temperature Variation in Zhangqiu City during the Past30Years[J].Agricultural Science&Technology,2012,13(6):1339-1341.
[17]乌文奇,郭鲁彦,李伟,等.内蒙古通辽市五十年气温变化的研究[J].畜牧与饲料科学,2012,33(1):6-7.