劳动报酬占比对产业结构升级影响的实证研究
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摘要
本文以中国1999～2017年的省级面板数据为样本,基于系统广义矩估计和门槛效应实证分析了劳动报酬占比对产业结构升级的影响。结果表明:(1)劳动报酬占比可对产业结构升级产生显著正向影响,我国劳动报酬占比下降的趋势不利于产业结构升级;(2)劳动报酬占比对产业结构升级的影响存在区域差异;(3)劳动报酬占比对产业结构升级的影响存在单门槛效应,低于门槛值时,劳动报酬占比对产业结构升级产生显著负向影响;超过门槛值后,劳动报酬占比对产业结构升级产生显著正向影响。最后针对本文结论提出了相应的建议。
Taking China's provincial panel data from 1999 to 2017 as a sample,this paper empirically analyzes the impact of labor remuneration ratio on industrial structure upgrading based on system generalized moment estimation and threshold effect.The results show that:first,the proportion of labor remuneration can have a significant positive impact on the upgrading of industrial structure.The downward trend of the proportion of labor remuneration in China is not conducive to the upgrading of industrial structure.Second,there are regional differences in the impact of the proportion of labor remuneration on the upgrading of industrial structure.Third,the proportion of labor remuneration has a single threshold effect on the upgrading of industrial structure.When it is below the threshold,the proportion of labor remuneration has a significant negative impact on the upgrading of industrial structure.When it exceeds the threshold,the proportion of labor remuneration has a significant positive impact on the upgrading of industrial structure.At the end of this paper,some advisable suggestions for this articles research result are offered.
Taking China's provincial panel data from 1999 to 2017 as a sample,this paper empirically analyzes the impact of labor remuneration ratio on industrial structure upgrading based on system generalized moment estimation and threshold effect.The results show that:first,the proportion of labor remuneration can have a significant positive impact on the upgrading of industrial structure.The downward trend of the proportion of labor remuneration in China is not conducive to the upgrading of industrial structure.Second,there are regional differences in the impact of the proportion of labor remuneration on the upgrading of industrial structure.Third,the proportion of labor remuneration has a single threshold effect on the upgrading of industrial structure.When it is below the threshold,the proportion of labor remuneration has a significant negative impact on the upgrading of industrial structure.When it exceeds the threshold,the proportion of labor remuneration has a significant positive impact on the upgrading of industrial structure.At the end of this paper,some advisable suggestions for this articles research result are offered.
引文
[1]王佳菲.提高劳动者报酬的产业结构升级效应及其现实启示[J].经济学家,2010,(7):35～41.
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[15]周茂,陆毅,李雨浓.地区产业升级与劳动收入份额:基于合成工具变量的估计[J].经济研究,2018,(11):132～147.
[16]逯进,刘璐,郭志仪.中国人口老龄化对产业结构的影响机制——基于协同效应和中介效应的实证分析[J].中国人口科学,2018,(3):15～25,126.
[17]文雁兵,陆雪琴.中国劳动收入份额变动的决定机制分析——市场竞争和制度质量的双重视角[J].经济研究,2018,(9):83～98.
[18]张桂文,王青,张荣.中国农业劳动力转移的减贫效应研究[J].中国人口科学,2018,(4):18～29,126.
[19]干春晖,郑若谷,余典范.中国产业结构变迁对经济增长和波动的影响[J].经济研究,2011,(5):4～16,31.
[20]Hansen B E.Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation[J].Econometrica,1998,68(3):575～603.
①林毅夫.中国经济发展的动力来自哪里[N].企业家日报,2018-02-12.
②姚景源.中国农业生产率只有荷兰1‰ 供给侧改革刻不容缓[N].环球时报,2017-06-03.
[2]汪浩瀚,潘源.金融发展对产业升级影响的非线性效应——基于京津冀和长三角地区城市群的比较分析[J].经济地理,2018,(9):59～66.
[3]金浩,李瑞晶,李媛媛.科技金融投入、高新技术产业发展与产业结构优化——基于省际面板数据PVAR模型的实证研究[J].工业技术经济,2017,(7):42～48.
[4]聂高辉,邱洋冬,龙文琪.非正规金融、技术创新与产业结构升级[J].科学学研究,2018,(8):1404～1413.
[5]李虹,邹庆.环境规制、资源禀赋与城市产业转型研究——基于资源型城市与非资源型城市的对比分析[J].经济研究,2018,(11):182～198.
[6]王立勇,高玉胭.财政分权与产业结构升级——来自“省直管县”准自然实验的经验证据[J].财贸经济,2018,(11):145～159.
[7]Kaldor N.A Model of Economic Growth[J].Economic Journal,1957,67(268):591～624.
[8]李稻葵,刘霖林,王红领.GDP中劳动份额演变的U型规律[J].经济研究,2009,(1):70～82.
[9]徐常建,袁易明.要素收入分配结构、居民消费与经济增长[J].经济经纬,2018,(6):121～126.
[10]王小鲁,樊纲.中国收入差距的走势和影响因素分析[J].经济研究,2005,(10):24～36.
[11]Li H,Zou H F.Income Inequality is not Harmful for Growth:Theory and Evidence[J].Review of Development Economics,2010,2(3):318～334.
[12]张恒.要素密集度、劳动报酬与中国制造业价值链上游化[J].科技进步与对策,2018,(6):58～64.
[13]Aghion P,Banerjee A,Piketty T.Dualism and Macroeconomic Volatility[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,1999,114(4):1359～1397.
[14]刘兰娟,董万好,徐鑫.财政科技投入对产业结构的影响——城镇化过程中劳动报酬占比的视角[J].上海财经大学学报,2013,(4):73～80.
[15]周茂,陆毅,李雨浓.地区产业升级与劳动收入份额:基于合成工具变量的估计[J].经济研究,2018,(11):132～147.
[16]逯进,刘璐,郭志仪.中国人口老龄化对产业结构的影响机制——基于协同效应和中介效应的实证分析[J].中国人口科学,2018,(3):15～25,126.
[17]文雁兵,陆雪琴.中国劳动收入份额变动的决定机制分析——市场竞争和制度质量的双重视角[J].经济研究,2018,(9):83～98.
[18]张桂文,王青,张荣.中国农业劳动力转移的减贫效应研究[J].中国人口科学,2018,(4):18～29,126.
[19]干春晖,郑若谷,余典范.中国产业结构变迁对经济增长和波动的影响[J].经济研究,2011,(5):4～16,31.
[20]Hansen B E.Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation[J].Econometrica,1998,68(3):575～603.
①林毅夫.中国经济发展的动力来自哪里[N].企业家日报,2018-02-12.
②姚景源.中国农业生产率只有荷兰1‰ 供给侧改革刻不容缓[N].环球时报,2017-06-03.