内蒙古旅游经济与文化产业耦合协调度测评
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摘要
在构建内蒙古旅游经济和文化产业发展水平评价指标体系的基础上,采用改进的TOPSIS法、秩和比法(RSR)分别对其在2004-2015年的发展水平进行综合评价与分档;运用耦合协调度模型测算两者在该时段内的协调发展程度,并使用Logistic模型对其2016-2025年耦合协调度进行预测。研究发现:(1)2004-2015年,内蒙古旅游经济和文化产业发展水平都有较明显的提升;两者均在2004年处于下档水平,在2005-2013期间处于中档水平,在2014-2015年处于上档水平。(2)2004-2015年间,内蒙古旅游经济与文化产业的耦合协调度等级由严重失调演化为初步协调。(3)2016-2025年,内蒙古旅游经济和文化产业将向更高级的耦合协调方向演化。
Based on the evaluation index system for the development level of tourism economy and cultural industry in Inner Mongolia,the improved TOPSIS method and the RSR method were used to comprehensively evaluate and bracket the development level of tourism economy and cultural industry from 2004 to 2015. This research used coupling coordination model to measure the coupling coordination degree between tourism economy and cultural industry during this period,and used Logistic model to predict its development of coupling and coordination from 2016 to 2025. The result showed that:(1) The development level of tourism economy and culture industry in Inner Mongolia had been improved significantly. Both of them were at the lower level in 2004 and in the middle level from 2005 to 2013,and then were at the upper level from 2014 to 2015.(2) The level of coupling coordination between tourism economy and cultural industry in Inner Mongolia transformed from the serious maladjustment into the initial coordination.(3) Tourism economy and cultural industry in Inner Mongolia will evolve towards a more advanced development of coupling and coordination.
Based on the evaluation index system for the development level of tourism economy and cultural industry in Inner Mongolia,the improved TOPSIS method and the RSR method were used to comprehensively evaluate and bracket the development level of tourism economy and cultural industry from 2004 to 2015. This research used coupling coordination model to measure the coupling coordination degree between tourism economy and cultural industry during this period,and used Logistic model to predict its development of coupling and coordination from 2016 to 2025. The result showed that:(1) The development level of tourism economy and culture industry in Inner Mongolia had been improved significantly. Both of them were at the lower level in 2004 and in the middle level from 2005 to 2013,and then were at the upper level from 2014 to 2015.(2) The level of coupling coordination between tourism economy and cultural industry in Inner Mongolia transformed from the serious maladjustment into the initial coordination.(3) Tourism economy and cultural industry in Inner Mongolia will evolve towards a more advanced development of coupling and coordination.
引文
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[3]张琰飞,朱海英.西南地区文化产业与旅游产业耦合协调度实证研究[J].地域研究与开发,2013,32(2):16-21.
[4]周叶.基于灰色系统理论的江西文化产业与旅游产业耦合发展[J].江西社会科学,2014(3):41-45.
[5]南宇,孙建飞,张萍.丝绸之路背景下甘南藏族自治州旅游产业与文化产业融合问题研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2017,31(3):203-208.
[6]柴国君,陈通.内蒙古文化产业与区域经济的耦合关联分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2015,29(11):73-78.
[7]侯兵,周晓倩.长三角地区文化产业与旅游产业融合态势测度与评价[J].经济地理,2015,35(11):211-217.
[8]李凌雁,翁钢民.我国旅游与文化产业融合发展水平测度及时空差异分析[J].地理与地理信息科学,2015,31(6):94-99.