云南水电外送的受端市场综合竞争力分析
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摘要
针对电力外送受端市场竞争力分析研究不足和定性分析说服力不足的问题,以云南水电外送为例,基于云南水电的SWOT分析,在选取了能够充分地表征受端市场综合竞争力的评价指标的前提下,采用综合分析法和TOPSIS法,对云南水电在各受端市场的综合竞争力进行了量化评估,并得出了各受端市场的综合竞争力,为云南水电外送受端市场的理性决策提供定量评估的依据。
In the light of poor analysis on market competitiveness at the receiving end of power transmission and insufficient qualitative analysis, taking Yunnan power transmission from hydropower stations as an example, according to a SWOT analysis on the Yunnan power transmission, under the premise that evaluation indexes fully characterizing the comprehensive competitiveness of receiving market are selected, the paper makes a quantitative evaluation of the comprehensive competitiveness of the Yunnan power transmission in different receiving markets with comprehensive analysis method and TOPSIS method, and gets the comprehensive competitive edge for the different receiving markets, providing a basis for the quantitative assessment of a rational decision-making for the Yunnan power transmission to the receiving markets.
In the light of poor analysis on market competitiveness at the receiving end of power transmission and insufficient qualitative analysis, taking Yunnan power transmission from hydropower stations as an example, according to a SWOT analysis on the Yunnan power transmission, under the premise that evaluation indexes fully characterizing the comprehensive competitiveness of receiving market are selected, the paper makes a quantitative evaluation of the comprehensive competitiveness of the Yunnan power transmission in different receiving markets with comprehensive analysis method and TOPSIS method, and gets the comprehensive competitive edge for the different receiving markets, providing a basis for the quantitative assessment of a rational decision-making for the Yunnan power transmission to the receiving markets.
引文
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[12]TENNBAKK B. Power trade and competition in Northern Europe[J]. Energy Policy, 2000,28(12):857-866.
[13]牛东晓,关哲,任峰,等.基于马尔科夫过程的电力企业市场竞争预测[J].华北电力大学学报(自然科学版),2004,31(1):66-68.NIU Dongxiao, GUAN Zhe, REN Feng, et al. Power market competition prediction based on markov process[J].Journal of North China Electric Power University(Natural Science), 2004, 31(1):66-68.
[2]周小谦.在国家电力公司电网建设专家委员会第六次全体会议上的讲话(摘要)[J].电网技术,2002, 26(2):1-7.ZHOU Xiaoqian. Speech at the Sixth Plenary Meeting of the State Grid Corporation of Power Grid Construction Experts Committee(Abstract)[J]. Power System Technology,2002, 26(2):1-7.
[3]张森林.电力市场双边交易若干问题研究[D].广州:华南理工大学,2011.
[4]金庆祥.省内外电力市场分析[J].云南电业,1999, 4(12):49-52.JIN Qingxiang. Analysis on the domestic and foreign electricity markets in the province[J]. Yunnan Electric Power,1999,4(12):49-52.
[5]李彦军,余瑞祥.我国西北地区西电东送能力及市场竞争力分析[J].软科学,2004,18(4):88-90.LI Yanjun, YU Ruixiang. Analysis of west-to-east electricity transmission capacity and market competitiveness in Northwest China[J]. Soft Science, 2004,18(4):88-90.
[6]白建华,王耀华,张风营,等.我国主要煤电基地电力外送规模及目标市场优化研究[J].中国电力,2007,40(12):10-13.BAI Jianhua, WANG Yaohua, ZHANG Fengying, et al.Research on the outsourcing scale and target market optimization of main coal and electricity bases in China[J]. China Electricity, 2007,40(12):10-13.
[7]杨小力.西北电力外送市场发展趋势研究[J].生产力研究,2010,25(7):95-96.YANG Xiaoli. Research on the development trend of northwest electric power delivery market[J]. Productivity Research, 2010,25(7):95-96.
[8]JIAO LI, QI D, ZHANG Y, et al. Study of power market using modern industrial organization theory[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2001,(20):14-18.
[9]DAVID A K. Competitive bidding in electricity supply[J].IEEE Proceedings Generation, Transmission and Distribution, 1993, 140(5):421-426.
[10]HONG Y Y, TSAI S W, WENG M T. Bidding strategy based on artificial intelligence for a competitive electric market[J]. IEE Proceedings-Generation, Transmission and Distribution, 2002, 148(2):159-164.
[11]苑志勇,陈铁英,罗云峰.基于Nash均衡的电力市场竞价策略分析[J].华中科技大学学报(自然科学版),2005,33(1):52-54.YUAN Zhiyong, CHEN Tieying, LUO Yunfeng. Nash equilibrium-based power market bidding strategy analysis[J]. Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology(Natural Science), 2005,33(1):52-54.
[12]TENNBAKK B. Power trade and competition in Northern Europe[J]. Energy Policy, 2000,28(12):857-866.
[13]牛东晓,关哲,任峰,等.基于马尔科夫过程的电力企业市场竞争预测[J].华北电力大学学报(自然科学版),2004,31(1):66-68.NIU Dongxiao, GUAN Zhe, REN Feng, et al. Power market competition prediction based on markov process[J].Journal of North China Electric Power University(Natural Science), 2004, 31(1):66-68.