耕地集约利用的变化、态势与驱动力分析——以河南省为例
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摘要
以河南省为例,从影响农户耕地行为的各种相关因素出发,运用综合指数评价法、主成分分析法、聚类分析法和ArcGIS和因子分析法,构建耕地集约利用指标体系和耕地集约利用驱动力模型,以2004-2013年为研究期间,对河南省耕地利用时空变化格局及驱动因子进行分析.研究结果表明:(1)2004-2013年河南省耕地集约利用度整体提高.(2)河南省耕地集约利用度空间差异显著,整体呈现东北高西南低的特点.(3)社会经济因素是耕地集约利用的主要驱动因子,自然环境因素、耕作制度因素次之.
The intensive use of cultivated land is of great significance for food security,supplying of agricultural products and sustainable development of economy and society.Taking Henan as the research object,in order to study the temporal and spatial change characteristics and driving forces of cultivated land intensive use in Henan province from 2004 to 2013,based on the farmers' perspective,from various factors that affect farmland behaviors,the comprehensive index system,principal component analysis method,cluster analysis method and factor analysis method were used to construct the cultivated land use index system and the driving force model of intensive use of cultivated land.Analysis results showed that:(1)From 2004 to 2013,the intensive use of cultivated land in Henan was raised as a whole,the intensive use of cultivated land in different cities had significant differences,as time goes on,the differences of the intensive use of cultivated land between different cities increased significantly.(2)From2004 to 2013,the spatial differences of intensive use was significant in Henan province,which showed the characteristics of northeast high-southwest low,Pingdingshan had the highest utilization rate of arable land,and the lowest was Zhumadian;high-intensity intensive use area showed the trend of shifting from the southwest of Henan province to the northeast over time.The"Huanghuai Four Cities"(Zhoukou,Zhumadian,Shangqiu,and Xinyang),which were the core areas of grain production in Henan province,had seen an increase in the intensive use of cultivated land,because the natural conditions for agricultural development were relatively superior and the labor resources were relatively abundant.With the construction and development of the Central Plains Economic Zone,the intensive use of cultivated land in the core area of Zhengzhou had been changed from highly intensive utilization to low intensive utilization.(3)Social economy,natural environment,and tillage system were three driving factors that affected the intensive use of cultivated land in Henan province.Population and agricultural productiontechnology and other social and economic factors were the main driving factors that affected the intensive use of cultivated land,and natural environment factors and tillage system factors also had important influence on the intensive use of cultivated land in Henan province.
The intensive use of cultivated land is of great significance for food security,supplying of agricultural products and sustainable development of economy and society.Taking Henan as the research object,in order to study the temporal and spatial change characteristics and driving forces of cultivated land intensive use in Henan province from 2004 to 2013,based on the farmers' perspective,from various factors that affect farmland behaviors,the comprehensive index system,principal component analysis method,cluster analysis method and factor analysis method were used to construct the cultivated land use index system and the driving force model of intensive use of cultivated land.Analysis results showed that:(1)From 2004 to 2013,the intensive use of cultivated land in Henan was raised as a whole,the intensive use of cultivated land in different cities had significant differences,as time goes on,the differences of the intensive use of cultivated land between different cities increased significantly.(2)From2004 to 2013,the spatial differences of intensive use was significant in Henan province,which showed the characteristics of northeast high-southwest low,Pingdingshan had the highest utilization rate of arable land,and the lowest was Zhumadian;high-intensity intensive use area showed the trend of shifting from the southwest of Henan province to the northeast over time.The"Huanghuai Four Cities"(Zhoukou,Zhumadian,Shangqiu,and Xinyang),which were the core areas of grain production in Henan province,had seen an increase in the intensive use of cultivated land,because the natural conditions for agricultural development were relatively superior and the labor resources were relatively abundant.With the construction and development of the Central Plains Economic Zone,the intensive use of cultivated land in the core area of Zhengzhou had been changed from highly intensive utilization to low intensive utilization.(3)Social economy,natural environment,and tillage system were three driving factors that affected the intensive use of cultivated land in Henan province.Population and agricultural productiontechnology and other social and economic factors were the main driving factors that affected the intensive use of cultivated land,and natural environment factors and tillage system factors also had important influence on the intensive use of cultivated land in Henan province.
引文
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