基于需求视角的广西资源消耗、城市规模与经济增长关系的实证研究
|
摘要
基于需求视角,利用广西2002—2017年14个地级市面板数据对广西资源消耗、城市规模与经济增长之间的关系进行实证,研究发现:广西资源消耗与经济增长呈正相关关系,即广西存在"资源福音",但城市规模的扩大抑制了资源消耗。进一步考察广西资源消耗与经济增长、资源消耗与城市规模之间的关系,发现均呈倒"U"型关系。为驱动广西经济新增长,需要适当控制城市规模扩张、合理勘探与开发新资源并开展国际合作。
Based on demand perspective, by using Guangxi's 14 cities panel data in 2002-2017, this research elaborates the relationship between resource consumption, city size and economic growth. The study found that: the relationship between resource consumption and economic growth in Guangxi is positive under the demand perspective, which is called "resource blessing" in Guangxi, but the expansion of city size would hinder the resource consumption. After further empirical study on resource consumption and economic growth, resource consumption and city size, all result showed that there is an inverted u-shaped relationship. In order to achieve the new economic growth in Guangxi, it put forward some measures such as appropriately control of the city size expansion, rational exploration and development of new resources, and international cooperation.
Based on demand perspective, by using Guangxi's 14 cities panel data in 2002-2017, this research elaborates the relationship between resource consumption, city size and economic growth. The study found that: the relationship between resource consumption and economic growth in Guangxi is positive under the demand perspective, which is called "resource blessing" in Guangxi, but the expansion of city size would hinder the resource consumption. After further empirical study on resource consumption and economic growth, resource consumption and city size, all result showed that there is an inverted u-shaped relationship. In order to achieve the new economic growth in Guangxi, it put forward some measures such as appropriately control of the city size expansion, rational exploration and development of new resources, and international cooperation.
引文
[1]Auty R M.Sustaining development in mineral economies:The resource curse thesis[M].London:Routledge,1993.
[2]Sachs J D,Warner A M.Fundamental sources of long-run growth[J].American Economic Review,1997,87(2):184-188.
[3]Sachs J D,Warner A M.The big push,natural resource booms and growth[J].Journal of Development Economics,1998,59(1):43-76.
[4]Sachs J D,Warner A M.The course of natural resource[J].European Review,2001,45(4):827-838.
[5]Papyrakis E,Gerlagh R.The resource course hypothesis and its transmission channels[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2004,32(1):181-193.
[6]邵帅,杨莉莉.自然资源丰裕、资源产业依赖与中国区域经济增长[J].管理世界,2010(9):26-44.
[7]徐康宁,邵军.自然禀赋与经济增长:对“资源诅咒”命题的再检验[J].世界经济,2006(11):38-47.
[8]胡援成,肖德勇.经济发展门槛与自然资源诅咒--基于我国省际层面的面板数据实证研究[J].管理世界,2007(4):15-23.
[9]李强,丁春林.资源禀赋、市场分割与经济增长[J].经济经纬,2017(3):129-134.
[10]Hausmann R,Rigobon R.An alternative interpretation of the“resource curse”:Theory and policy implications[EB/OL].[2018-03-04].http://www.nber.org/papers/w9424.pdf.
[11]Al-Iriani M.Energy-GDP relationship revisited:An example from GCC countries using panel causality[J].Energy Policy,2006,34(17):3342-3350.
[12]Ang J B.CO2 emissions,energy consumption,and output in France[J].Energy Economics,2007,35(10):4772-4778.
[13]Belke A,Dobnik F,Dregerb C.Energy consumption and economic growth:New insights into the cointegration relationship[J].Energy Economics,2011,33(5):782-789.
[14]王远,周婧,王义琛,等.江苏省资源消费与经济增长的协整分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2010(6):47-52.
[15]李强,徐康宁.资源禀赋、资源消费与经济增长[J].产业经济研究,2013(4):81-90.
[16]赵新刚,刘平阔.经济增长与能源强度:基于面板平滑转换回归模型的实证分析[J].中国管理科学,2014(6):103-113.
[17]梁涵玮,倪玥琦,董亮,等.经济增长与资源消费的脱钩关系--基于演化视角的中日韩美比较研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018(5):8-16.
[18]梁朝晖.中国城市电力消费的影响因素--基于地级城市面板数据的实证分析[J].上海经济研究,2010(7):22-30.
[19]Jones D W.Urbanization and energy use in economic development[J].Energy Journal,1989,10(1):29-44.
[20]Jones D W.How urbanization affects energy use in developing countries[J].Energy Policy,1991,19(7):621-630.
[21]Jones D W.Urbanization and energy[J].Encyclopedia of Energy,2004,29(4):329-335.
[22]Larivière I,Lafrance G.Modelling the electricity consumption of cities:Effect of urban density[J].Energy Economics,1991,21(1):53-66.
[23]姚昕,潘是英,孙传旺.城市规模、空间集聚与电力强度[J].经济研究,2017(11):165-177.
[24]郭存芝,黄青,何荧非.资源型城市能耗增长因素分解及差异分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017(1):73-82.
[25]刘爱梅,杨德才.城市规模、资源配置与经济增长[J].当代经济科学,2011(1):106-113.
[26]高健,吴佩林.城市人口规模对城市经济增长的影响[J].城市问题,2016(6):4-13.
[27]Fujita M J,Thisse J F.Economics of agglomeration:Cities,industrial location,and globalization[M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,2013.
[28]王俊,李佐军.拥挤效应、经济增长与最优城市规模[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014(7):45-51.
[29]Chen H,Jia B,Lau S.Sustainable urban form for Chinese compact cities:Challenges of a rapid urbanized economy[J].Habitat International,2008,32(1):28-40.
[2]Sachs J D,Warner A M.Fundamental sources of long-run growth[J].American Economic Review,1997,87(2):184-188.
[3]Sachs J D,Warner A M.The big push,natural resource booms and growth[J].Journal of Development Economics,1998,59(1):43-76.
[4]Sachs J D,Warner A M.The course of natural resource[J].European Review,2001,45(4):827-838.
[5]Papyrakis E,Gerlagh R.The resource course hypothesis and its transmission channels[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2004,32(1):181-193.
[6]邵帅,杨莉莉.自然资源丰裕、资源产业依赖与中国区域经济增长[J].管理世界,2010(9):26-44.
[7]徐康宁,邵军.自然禀赋与经济增长:对“资源诅咒”命题的再检验[J].世界经济,2006(11):38-47.
[8]胡援成,肖德勇.经济发展门槛与自然资源诅咒--基于我国省际层面的面板数据实证研究[J].管理世界,2007(4):15-23.
[9]李强,丁春林.资源禀赋、市场分割与经济增长[J].经济经纬,2017(3):129-134.
[10]Hausmann R,Rigobon R.An alternative interpretation of the“resource curse”:Theory and policy implications[EB/OL].[2018-03-04].http://www.nber.org/papers/w9424.pdf.
[11]Al-Iriani M.Energy-GDP relationship revisited:An example from GCC countries using panel causality[J].Energy Policy,2006,34(17):3342-3350.
[12]Ang J B.CO2 emissions,energy consumption,and output in France[J].Energy Economics,2007,35(10):4772-4778.
[13]Belke A,Dobnik F,Dregerb C.Energy consumption and economic growth:New insights into the cointegration relationship[J].Energy Economics,2011,33(5):782-789.
[14]王远,周婧,王义琛,等.江苏省资源消费与经济增长的协整分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2010(6):47-52.
[15]李强,徐康宁.资源禀赋、资源消费与经济增长[J].产业经济研究,2013(4):81-90.
[16]赵新刚,刘平阔.经济增长与能源强度:基于面板平滑转换回归模型的实证分析[J].中国管理科学,2014(6):103-113.
[17]梁涵玮,倪玥琦,董亮,等.经济增长与资源消费的脱钩关系--基于演化视角的中日韩美比较研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018(5):8-16.
[18]梁朝晖.中国城市电力消费的影响因素--基于地级城市面板数据的实证分析[J].上海经济研究,2010(7):22-30.
[19]Jones D W.Urbanization and energy use in economic development[J].Energy Journal,1989,10(1):29-44.
[20]Jones D W.How urbanization affects energy use in developing countries[J].Energy Policy,1991,19(7):621-630.
[21]Jones D W.Urbanization and energy[J].Encyclopedia of Energy,2004,29(4):329-335.
[22]Larivière I,Lafrance G.Modelling the electricity consumption of cities:Effect of urban density[J].Energy Economics,1991,21(1):53-66.
[23]姚昕,潘是英,孙传旺.城市规模、空间集聚与电力强度[J].经济研究,2017(11):165-177.
[24]郭存芝,黄青,何荧非.资源型城市能耗增长因素分解及差异分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017(1):73-82.
[25]刘爱梅,杨德才.城市规模、资源配置与经济增长[J].当代经济科学,2011(1):106-113.
[26]高健,吴佩林.城市人口规模对城市经济增长的影响[J].城市问题,2016(6):4-13.
[27]Fujita M J,Thisse J F.Economics of agglomeration:Cities,industrial location,and globalization[M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,2013.
[28]王俊,李佐军.拥挤效应、经济增长与最优城市规模[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014(7):45-51.
[29]Chen H,Jia B,Lau S.Sustainable urban form for Chinese compact cities:Challenges of a rapid urbanized economy[J].Habitat International,2008,32(1):28-40.