基于生态位模型的江苏省大气环境负荷的适宜度评价
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摘要
选取2001—2015年的相关数据,根据生态位态势理论,建立重点行业的大气环境经济综合效率生态位模型,分析了电力行业等江苏省大气污染重点行业SO_2和烟粉尘的环境经济污染综合效率生态位,同时利用适宜度模型,基于生态位模型,对江苏省大气环境负荷的程度进行了评价。结果表明:①2002—2015年,重点行业SO_2生态位较低的行业为电力行业、非金属行业和化学工业,烟尘生态位较低的行业为电力行业、非金属行业和木材加工行业;②与2002年相比,2015年三大产业的SO_2和烟尘生态位均呈上升趋势,烟尘生态位的"绝对值"呈上升趋势;③对SO_2、烟尘生态位较低的产业与生态位较高的产业进行对比分析,二者的生态位差呈现出波动上升趋势;④江苏省"十一五"期间大气环境负荷较高,"十五"和"十一五"呈下降趋势,十二五"呈上升趋势,2015年达到理想状态。
Based on thedata of 2001-2015, according to the theory of niche situation, a comprehensive ecological niche model associated with air environment for key industries was established, the comprehensive efficiency of the key industries of air pollution was analyzed, at the same time, based on the fitness model, the atmospheric environmental load based on niche model was evaluated. The results showed that in the past 2002-2015 years, the low niche industries of SO_2 in the key industries are electric power industry, non-metallic industry and chemical industry, the lower ecological niche of smoke and dust is power industry, non-metal industry and wood processing industry.Compared to 2002, the SO_2 and smoke dust niche of three industries increased and the "absolute value" of the niche was on the rise in 2015. A comparative analysis was conducted between the industries with lower SO_2 and smoke dust niche and higher niche industries, the ecological potential difference of the two showed a trend of fluctuation and became bigger and bigger year by year.The atmospheric environment load of Jiangsu during the 11~(th) Five-Year was relatively high, the 10~(th) and the 11~(th) Five-Year showed a downward trend, the 12~(th) Five-Year was the rising trend, and reached the ideal state in 2015.
Based on thedata of 2001-2015, according to the theory of niche situation, a comprehensive ecological niche model associated with air environment for key industries was established, the comprehensive efficiency of the key industries of air pollution was analyzed, at the same time, based on the fitness model, the atmospheric environmental load based on niche model was evaluated. The results showed that in the past 2002-2015 years, the low niche industries of SO_2 in the key industries are electric power industry, non-metallic industry and chemical industry, the lower ecological niche of smoke and dust is power industry, non-metal industry and wood processing industry.Compared to 2002, the SO_2 and smoke dust niche of three industries increased and the "absolute value" of the niche was on the rise in 2015. A comparative analysis was conducted between the industries with lower SO_2 and smoke dust niche and higher niche industries, the ecological potential difference of the two showed a trend of fluctuation and became bigger and bigger year by year.The atmospheric environment load of Jiangsu during the 11~(th) Five-Year was relatively high, the 10~(th) and the 11~(th) Five-Year showed a downward trend, the 12~(th) Five-Year was the rising trend, and reached the ideal state in 2015.
引文
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[3]Gibbs D,Deutz P.Reflections on Implementing Industrial Ecology through Eco-industrial Park Development [J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2007,15(17):1683-1695.
[4]Shi H,Moriguichi Y,Yang J.Industrial Ecology in China,PartⅠ:Research[J].Journal of Industrial Ecology,2002,6(3-4):7-11.
[5]江珂.不同污染类型工业行业的环境污染分解分析[J].生态经济,2010(4):96-99.
[6]田颖,沈红军.江苏省水泥制造业经济发展与大气环境变化相关性分析[J].环境监控与预警,2016,8(4):13-16.
[7]田颖,沈红军.江苏省工业发展与大气污染物排放的时空演变关系[J].环境监控与预警,2017,9(5):5-9.
[8]赵彤,丁萍.区域产业结构转变对生态环境影响的实证分析-以江苏省为例[J].工业技术经济,2008,12(27):90-93.
[9]陈绍愿,林建平,杨丽娟,等.基于生态位理论的城市竞争策略研究[J].人文地理,2006,21(2):72-76.
[10]倪九派,魏朝富,谢德体.土地利用的生态位及调控机制的研究[J].农业工程学报,2005,21(S):113-115.
[11]李艳萍,葛又松.基于生态位理论探析江苏省沿江城市发展[J].河北师范大学学报(自然科学版),2005,29(6):631-636.
[12]张侠,葛向东,濮励杰,等.土地利用的经济生态位分析和耕地保护机制研究[J].自然资源学报,2002,17(6):677-683.
[13]李自珍,韩晓卓,李文龙.具有生态位构建作用的种群进化动力学模型及其应用研究[J].应用数学和力学,2006,27(3):293-299.
[14]郭燕青,姚远,徐菁鸿.基于生态位适宜度的创新生态系统评价模型[J].2015(15):13-16.
[15]周青,陈畴镛.中国区域技术创新生态系统适宜度的实证研究[J].科学学研究,2008,26(S1):242-246.
[16]苌千里.基于生态位适宜度理论的区域创新系统评价研究[J].经济研究导刊,2012(13):170-171.
[17]朱春全.生态位态势理论与扩充假说[J].生态学报,1997,17(3):324-332.
[18]陈逸,黄贤金,陈志刚,等.基于生态位理论的区域土地利用时空演变研究[J].生态经济学报,2007,5(1-4):51-55.
[19]赵奥.基于生态位适宜度的辽宁省生态环境负荷水平测度[J].大连民族大学学报,2017,19(2):119-123.
[20]赵奥.辽宁省工业化进程与生态环境负荷的交互相应研究[J].南昌师范学院学报(社会科学),2017,38(1):23-26.