人口城镇化与土地城镇化的耦合关系及其空间差异——以中原城市群为例
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摘要
文章以中原城市群30个地市为研究对象,采用变异系数法、发展水平评价模型、耦合度模型,借助ArcGIS平台,对人口城镇化与土地城镇化的非均衡性、空间异质性及耦合关系进行空间可视化表达。结果显示:人口城镇化与土地城镇化非均衡现象较为明显,两者呈现"中心—外围"特征;发展度以"包围势态"布局,且多属于滞后发展型和初级发展型;良好均衡型耦合关系表现为旗布星峙,蚌埠市、济源市、淮北市3个城市为均衡过度型和初级均衡型;协调度等级中,中级和初级呈点对称分布,其他等级呈散点分布。未来应坚持发展特色产业,提高地区开放度水平,实现乡村就地城镇化;完善人口导入和土地集约利用机制;调动社会民间资本,打造城镇化建设资金筹措平台,促使专项资金使用规范化。
Taking 30 cities of central plains urban agglomeration as the research object,this paper uses the method of coefficient of variation,the evaluation model of development level and the coupling degree model,and uses ArcGIS platform to visualize the non-equilibrium,spatial heterogeneity and coupling relationship between population urbanization and land urbanization.The results showed that the population urbanization and land urbanization disequilibrium phenomenon is more obvious,which is the "center–periphery" characteristics;The development degree is based on the "encircling state" layout,and most of them belong to the lagging development type and the primary development type;A well-balanced type coupling performance are widely distributed.Bengbu,Jiyuan,Huaibei belong to the balance of excess type and primary balance;The coordination degree of grades,the intermediate and primary is symmetrical,the other grades are scattered.In the future,we should adhere to the development of characteristic industries,improve the level of regional openness,realize the urbanization in rural areas,improve the mechanism of population introduction and intensive land use,mobilize social private capital,build financing platform for urbanization,and promote the standardized use of special funds.
Taking 30 cities of central plains urban agglomeration as the research object,this paper uses the method of coefficient of variation,the evaluation model of development level and the coupling degree model,and uses ArcGIS platform to visualize the non-equilibrium,spatial heterogeneity and coupling relationship between population urbanization and land urbanization.The results showed that the population urbanization and land urbanization disequilibrium phenomenon is more obvious,which is the "center–periphery" characteristics;The development degree is based on the "encircling state" layout,and most of them belong to the lagging development type and the primary development type;A well-balanced type coupling performance are widely distributed.Bengbu,Jiyuan,Huaibei belong to the balance of excess type and primary balance;The coordination degree of grades,the intermediate and primary is symmetrical,the other grades are scattered.In the future,we should adhere to the development of characteristic industries,improve the level of regional openness,realize the urbanization in rural areas,improve the mechanism of population introduction and intensive land use,mobilize social private capital,build financing platform for urbanization,and promote the standardized use of special funds.
引文
[1]蔡为民,吴云青,刘瑶,等.农地流转与城镇化的互动关系和耦合协调性研究--基于中国2000-2014年的时间序列数据[J].干旱区资源与环境,2017(5):33-38.
[2]李灿,张凤荣,王枫,等.快速城镇化过程中建设用地空间安全预警分析[J].中国土地科学,2015(6):49-56.
[3]马孝先.中国城镇化的关键影响因素及其效应分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014(12):117-124.
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[5]马艳梅,吴玉鸣,吴柏钧.长三角地区城镇化可持续发展综合评价--基于熵值法和象限图法[J].经济地理,2015(6):47-53.
[6]江波.“以人为核心”的城镇化:内涵、价值与路径[J].苏州大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2017(3):41-47.
[7]Glaeser E L,Kahn M E.Sprawl and urban growth[R].Massachusetts:NBER,2003.
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[13]王兴杰.中国土地城镇化和人口城镇化相对效率评价[J].生态经济,2016(4):14-17.
[14]王书明,郭起剑.江苏城镇化发展质量评价研究[J].生态经济,2018(3):97-102.
[15]陈如铁,杨青山,宋宁,等.辽宁省新型城镇化路径及其影响因素[J].经济地理,2017(3):71-80.
[16]潘爱民,刘友金.湘江流域人口城镇化与土地城镇化失调程度及特征研究[J].经济地理,2014(5):63-68.
[17]王兴芬.中国土地城镇化与人口城镇化协调发展的实证研究--基于协调发展模型[J].技术经济与管理研究,2017(1):102-106.
[18]许芬.中国人口城镇化滞后土地城镇化的根源--基于城乡间要素不平等交换视角的分析[J].城市问题,2016(7):12-17.
[19]严思齐,吴群.土地城镇化与人口城镇化的非协调性和互动关系[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016(11):28-36.
[20]Brueckner J K.Urban sprawl:Lessons from urban economics[M]//Mills E S,Kremer M.Brookings-wharton papers on urban affairs Washington DC:Brookings Institution Press,2001.
[21]党国英.提高城镇化质量必须深化土地制度改革[J].农村工作通讯,2015(10):52.
[22]刘欢,邓宏兵,李小帆.长江经济带人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调发展时空差异研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016(5):160-166.
[23]陈春,于立,张锐杰,等.中国城镇化加速阶段中期土地城镇化与人口城镇化的协调程度[J].长江流域资源与环境,2016(11):1654-1661.
[24]李明月,胡竹枝.广东省人口城市化与土地城市化速率比对[J]城市问题,2012(4):33-36.
[25]张鹏岩,杨丹,李二玲,等.人口城镇化与土地城镇化的耦合协调关系--以中原经济区为例[J].经济地理,2017(8):145-154.
[26]钟阳,王智勇.人口城镇化进程中的驱动因素研究--基于地级市的时空计量模型分析[J].软科学,2016(1):26-30.
[27]郭付友,李诚固,陈才,等.2003年以来东北地区人口城镇化与土地城镇化时空耦合特性[J].经济地理,2015(9):49-56.
[2]李灿,张凤荣,王枫,等.快速城镇化过程中建设用地空间安全预警分析[J].中国土地科学,2015(6):49-56.
[3]马孝先.中国城镇化的关键影响因素及其效应分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014(12):117-124.
[4]李子联.人口城镇化滞后于土地城镇化之谜--来自中国省际面板数据的解释[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2013(11):94-101.
[5]马艳梅,吴玉鸣,吴柏钧.长三角地区城镇化可持续发展综合评价--基于熵值法和象限图法[J].经济地理,2015(6):47-53.
[6]江波.“以人为核心”的城镇化:内涵、价值与路径[J].苏州大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2017(3):41-47.
[7]Glaeser E L,Kahn M E.Sprawl and urban growth[R].Massachusetts:NBER,2003.
[8]Weber A.The theory of the location of industries[M].Chicago:Chicago University Press,1909.
[9]乔小勇.“人的城镇化”与“土地城镇化”发展关系研究[J].中国科技论坛,2015(6):117-123.
[10]Martellozzo F,Ramankutty N,Hall R,et al.Urbanization and the loss of prime farmland:A case study in the Calgary-Edmonton corridor of Alberta[J].Regional Environmental Change,201515(5):881-893.
[11]Islam M S,Rana M M P,Ahmed R.Environmental perception during rapid population growth and urbanization:A case study of Dhaka city[J].Environment,Development and Sustainability2014,16(2):443-453.
[12]陈莹,杨芳玲.中国城镇化与土地财政耦合协调关系研究--基于省级面板数据的分析[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2018(1):106-114.
[13]王兴杰.中国土地城镇化和人口城镇化相对效率评价[J].生态经济,2016(4):14-17.
[14]王书明,郭起剑.江苏城镇化发展质量评价研究[J].生态经济,2018(3):97-102.
[15]陈如铁,杨青山,宋宁,等.辽宁省新型城镇化路径及其影响因素[J].经济地理,2017(3):71-80.
[16]潘爱民,刘友金.湘江流域人口城镇化与土地城镇化失调程度及特征研究[J].经济地理,2014(5):63-68.
[17]王兴芬.中国土地城镇化与人口城镇化协调发展的实证研究--基于协调发展模型[J].技术经济与管理研究,2017(1):102-106.
[18]许芬.中国人口城镇化滞后土地城镇化的根源--基于城乡间要素不平等交换视角的分析[J].城市问题,2016(7):12-17.
[19]严思齐,吴群.土地城镇化与人口城镇化的非协调性和互动关系[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016(11):28-36.
[20]Brueckner J K.Urban sprawl:Lessons from urban economics[M]//Mills E S,Kremer M.Brookings-wharton papers on urban affairs Washington DC:Brookings Institution Press,2001.
[21]党国英.提高城镇化质量必须深化土地制度改革[J].农村工作通讯,2015(10):52.
[22]刘欢,邓宏兵,李小帆.长江经济带人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调发展时空差异研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016(5):160-166.
[23]陈春,于立,张锐杰,等.中国城镇化加速阶段中期土地城镇化与人口城镇化的协调程度[J].长江流域资源与环境,2016(11):1654-1661.
[24]李明月,胡竹枝.广东省人口城市化与土地城市化速率比对[J]城市问题,2012(4):33-36.
[25]张鹏岩,杨丹,李二玲,等.人口城镇化与土地城镇化的耦合协调关系--以中原经济区为例[J].经济地理,2017(8):145-154.
[26]钟阳,王智勇.人口城镇化进程中的驱动因素研究--基于地级市的时空计量模型分析[J].软科学,2016(1):26-30.
[27]郭付友,李诚固,陈才,等.2003年以来东北地区人口城镇化与土地城镇化时空耦合特性[J].经济地理,2015(9):49-56.