中国对东盟国家直接投资的贸易效应研究
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摘要
以2003-2017年中国对东盟十国直接投资与进出口贸易的面板数据为样本,基于引力模型分析了中国对东盟国家直接投资对进出口贸易的影响和效应。结果表明,中国对东盟国家的直接投资具有显著的贸易促进效应,今后应优化对东盟国家的投资环境,因地制宜确定投资战略和领域,将贸易促进效应显著的产业作为直接投资的重点。
Based on the panel data of China's direct investment and import and export trade with the 10 ASEAN countries in 2003-2017, an analysis of the impact and effect of China's direct investment in ASEAN countries on import and export trade was made based on the gravity model. The results show that China's direct investment in ASEAN countries has a significant trade facilitation effect. In the future, the investment environment of ASEAN countries should be optimized, investment strategies and fields should be determined according to local conditions, and industries with significant trade promotion effects should be the focus of direct investment.
Based on the panel data of China's direct investment and import and export trade with the 10 ASEAN countries in 2003-2017, an analysis of the impact and effect of China's direct investment in ASEAN countries on import and export trade was made based on the gravity model. The results show that China's direct investment in ASEAN countries has a significant trade facilitation effect. In the future, the investment environment of ASEAN countries should be optimized, investment strategies and fields should be determined according to local conditions, and industries with significant trade promotion effects should be the focus of direct investment.
引文
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[17]项本武.对外直接投资的贸易效应研究—基于中国经验的实证分析[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2006(3):9-15.
[18]周听,牛蕊.中国企业对外直接投资及其贸易效应—基于面板引力模型的实证研究[J].国际经贸探索,2012,28(5):69-81.
[19]胡兵,乔晶.中国对外直接投资的贸易效应—基于动态面板模型系统GMM方法[J].经济管理,2013 (4):11-19.
[20]王长义,陈利霞.中国对东盟直接投资与贸易间关系的协整分析[J],山东财政学院学报,2013(9):12-15.
[21]张幼文.以要素流动理论研究贸易强国道路[J],世界经济研究,2016(10):3-6.
[2]Horst T.The Industrial Composition of US Exports and Subsidiary to the Canadian Market [J].American Economic Review,1972,62(1):37-45.
[3] Eaton J.Tamura A.Bilateralism and Regionalism in Japanese and U.S.Trade and Direct Foreign Investment Patterns [J].Journal of the Japanese and International Economies,1994,8(4):478-510.
[4]Buckley,P.J.,Casson,M.C..The optimal timing of a foreign direct investment [J].The Economic Journal,1981,91(361):75-78.
[5]BelderbosaR,Sleuwaegen L.Tariff Jumping DFI and Export Substitution:Japanese Electronics Firms in Europe [J].International Journal of Industrial Organization,1998,16(5):601-638.
[6]Blonigen B.A.In Search of Substitution between Foreign Production and Exports,Journal of International Economics,2001,53(1):81-104.
[7]MitzeT.Alecke,B.UntiedtG.Trade-FDI Linkages in a Simultaneous Equations System of Gravity Models for German Regional Data [J].International Economics,2010,12(2):121-162.
[8]Kojima.K..Direct Foreign Investment:Japanrsr Model versus American Model[M].New York:Praeger Publishers,1978.
[9]Dunning J H..Explaining Changing Patterns of International Production:anDefence of the Eclectic Theory[J].Oxford Bulletin of Economic and statistics,1979(41):269-296.
[10]Lipsey R.E,Weiss M.Y.Foreign Production and Exports of Individual Firms[J].Review of Economics and Statistics,1984,66(2):304-308.
[11]Helpman E.A Simple Theory of International Trade with Multinational Corporations[J].Journal of Politics,1982,92(3):451-471.
[12]Helpman E,Krugman P.R.Market Structure and Foreign Trade[M].Cambridge:MIT Press,1985.
[13] Sung-Hoon Lim & Hwy-Chang Moon.Effects of outward foreign direct investment on home country exports:The case of Korean firms[J].Multinational Businrss Review,2001(1):115-227.
[16]Head K,RiesJ.Overseas Investment and Firm Exports[J].Review of International Economics,2001,9(1):108-122.
[17]项本武.对外直接投资的贸易效应研究—基于中国经验的实证分析[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2006(3):9-15.
[18]周听,牛蕊.中国企业对外直接投资及其贸易效应—基于面板引力模型的实证研究[J].国际经贸探索,2012,28(5):69-81.
[19]胡兵,乔晶.中国对外直接投资的贸易效应—基于动态面板模型系统GMM方法[J].经济管理,2013 (4):11-19.
[20]王长义,陈利霞.中国对东盟直接投资与贸易间关系的协整分析[J],山东财政学院学报,2013(9):12-15.
[21]张幼文.以要素流动理论研究贸易强国道路[J],世界经济研究,2016(10):3-6.