成绵乐客运专线沿线地区产业结构影响研究
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摘要
为了研究成绵乐客运专线的开通对沿线地区产业结构的影响,本文引入空间权重矩阵,构建了偏离-份额分析空间模型。在此基础上,以成绵乐客运专线沿线5个城市为研究对象,基于开通前后两个时间段的区域经济数据,计算了相应的空间权重矩阵,分析了城市间经济相互影响作用。接着通过对比分析两个时间段的三次产业经济增量、增长率以及相应的空间偏离-份额值,明确了成绵乐客运专线影响下该沿线5市的区域空间产业结构和空间竞争力的变化,以及结构效果和区域竞争效果变化。最后对区域产业结构、产业分工布局、城市规模体系等方面的优化提出了相应的建议。
A spatial weights matrix is introduced to construct a spatial shift-share analysis model, in order to study the impact on industrial structures along the Cheng-Mian-Le inter-city passenger dedicated line. The five cities along the Cheng-Mian-Le inter-city passenger dedicated line are taken as the research object.Based on the regional economic data of two time periods before and after the opening of the line, the spatial weights matrix is calculated, and the inter-city economic interaction is analyzed. By comparing three industrial economic growths, growth rates and their corresponding spatial shift-share values in the two time periods, the changes in the industrial structures and spatial competitiveness are determined. Moreover,changes in structural and regional competitive effects of the five cities along the line are clarified.Recommendations to optimize the regional industrial structure, industrial division of labor, and the system for urban scale are presented at the end of this paper.
A spatial weights matrix is introduced to construct a spatial shift-share analysis model, in order to study the impact on industrial structures along the Cheng-Mian-Le inter-city passenger dedicated line. The five cities along the Cheng-Mian-Le inter-city passenger dedicated line are taken as the research object.Based on the regional economic data of two time periods before and after the opening of the line, the spatial weights matrix is calculated, and the inter-city economic interaction is analyzed. By comparing three industrial economic growths, growth rates and their corresponding spatial shift-share values in the two time periods, the changes in the industrial structures and spatial competitiveness are determined. Moreover,changes in structural and regional competitive effects of the five cities along the line are clarified.Recommendations to optimize the regional industrial structure, industrial division of labor, and the system for urban scale are presented at the end of this paper.
引文
[1]张晓建.高速铁路对沿线产业集聚与扩散的效益影响分析--郑西高速铁路为例[D].成都:西南交通大学,2016.
[2]柴小春.高铁对沿线城市经济效应的影响[D]西安:长安大学,2014.
[3]白永平.兰新铁路沿线经济带区域经济差异变动的空间分析[J].干旱区地理,2013,36(1):147-155.
[4]王明慧.渝黔铁路对区域旅游经济联系强度的影响[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2013,11(4):10-12.
[5]张云鹏.郑西高速铁路沿线城市空间产业结构调整的影响研究[J].铁道运输与经济,2014,36(7):9-12.
[6]李丹.成绵乐城际客运专线对沿线区域经济一体化的影响机制研究[D].成都:西南交通大学,2016.
[7]曹竣凯.高速铁路对沿线区域经济发展影响研究[D].成都:西南交通大学,2014.
[8]陶晓明.区域产业结构演变与经济增长关系分析--以成绵乐发展带为例[J].农村经济与科技,2015,26(09):154-157.
[9]Daniel C K.Shift of manufacturing industries,in industrial location and national resources[J]National Resource Planning Board,1942.
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[12]Nazara S,Hewing J D.Spatial structure and taxonomy of decomposition in shift-share analysis[J].Growth and Change,2004(35):476-490.
[13]Moran P.The interpretation of statistical MAPS[J].J R STA SOC B,1948(10):243-251.
[14]Marlon G,Boarnet.Spillovers and the locational effects of public infrastructure[J].Journal of Regional Science,1998,38(3):381-400.
[15]吴继英,赵喜仓.偏离-份额分析法空间模型及其应用[J].统计研究,2009,26(4):73-79.
[16]游士兵,杨涛,黄炳南,等.基于空间偏离-份额法的区域产业结构研究[J].统计与决策,2010(17):117-120.
[2]柴小春.高铁对沿线城市经济效应的影响[D]西安:长安大学,2014.
[3]白永平.兰新铁路沿线经济带区域经济差异变动的空间分析[J].干旱区地理,2013,36(1):147-155.
[4]王明慧.渝黔铁路对区域旅游经济联系强度的影响[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2013,11(4):10-12.
[5]张云鹏.郑西高速铁路沿线城市空间产业结构调整的影响研究[J].铁道运输与经济,2014,36(7):9-12.
[6]李丹.成绵乐城际客运专线对沿线区域经济一体化的影响机制研究[D].成都:西南交通大学,2016.
[7]曹竣凯.高速铁路对沿线区域经济发展影响研究[D].成都:西南交通大学,2014.
[8]陶晓明.区域产业结构演变与经济增长关系分析--以成绵乐发展带为例[J].农村经济与科技,2015,26(09):154-157.
[9]Daniel C K.Shift of manufacturing industries,in industrial location and national resources[J]National Resource Planning Board,1942.
[10]CreamerD B.Industrial location and national resources[M].Washington D.C,Government Printing Office,1943.
[11]崔功豪,魏清泉,刘科伟.区域分析与区域规划[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2006.
[12]Nazara S,Hewing J D.Spatial structure and taxonomy of decomposition in shift-share analysis[J].Growth and Change,2004(35):476-490.
[13]Moran P.The interpretation of statistical MAPS[J].J R STA SOC B,1948(10):243-251.
[14]Marlon G,Boarnet.Spillovers and the locational effects of public infrastructure[J].Journal of Regional Science,1998,38(3):381-400.
[15]吴继英,赵喜仓.偏离-份额分析法空间模型及其应用[J].统计研究,2009,26(4):73-79.
[16]游士兵,杨涛,黄炳南,等.基于空间偏离-份额法的区域产业结构研究[J].统计与决策,2010(17):117-120.