乡村振兴战略背景下农地规模经营与农业绿色发展
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摘要
基于1999—2016年我国省域面板数据,运用非径向、非角度SBM模型和GML生产率指数方法对我国农业绿色全要素生产率进行测算,并将其作为衡量农业绿色发展的重要指标;构建Tobit回归模型,从全国和地区层面分析农地经营规模对农业绿色发展的影响。结果表明:(1)自1999年以来,我国省域农业绿色全要素生产率呈现增长趋势,且增长源泉来自技术进步;地区间农业绿色全要素生产率差异明显,呈现东部、中部、西部依次递减趋势。(2)农地经营规模对不同地区的农业绿色发展具有不同的作用结果,农地经营规模提高了东部地区农业绿色发展,降低了中部地区农业绿色发展,对全国和西部地区无显著影响。据此提出,各地区应根据自身不同经济发展水平、自然环境、资源条件等内容采取不同形式的农地规模经营类型,促进农业绿色发展。
Based on China's provincial panel data from 1999 to 2016,using non-radial,non-angle SBM model and GML productivity index method,this paper measured the green TFP of China's agriculture,and took it as an important indicator to measure the green development of agriculture. A Tobit regression model was constructed to analyze the impact of farmland management scale on agricultural green development at national and regional levels. The results showed that:(1)Since 1999,the province's agricultural green total factor productivity had a growth trend,and the source of growth came from technological progress. The difference in total factor productivity of agricultural green between regions was obvious,showing a decreasing trend in the east,middle and west.(2)the scale of farmland management had different effects on the green development of agriculture in different regions. The scale of farmland management increased the green development of agriculture in the eastern region,reduced the green development of agriculture in the central region,and had no significant impact on the entire country and the western region. Based on this,each region should adopt different types of agricultural land scale management according to its different levels of economic development,natural environment and resource conditions to promote green development of agriculture.
Based on China's provincial panel data from 1999 to 2016,using non-radial,non-angle SBM model and GML productivity index method,this paper measured the green TFP of China's agriculture,and took it as an important indicator to measure the green development of agriculture. A Tobit regression model was constructed to analyze the impact of farmland management scale on agricultural green development at national and regional levels. The results showed that:(1)Since 1999,the province's agricultural green total factor productivity had a growth trend,and the source of growth came from technological progress. The difference in total factor productivity of agricultural green between regions was obvious,showing a decreasing trend in the east,middle and west.(2)the scale of farmland management had different effects on the green development of agriculture in different regions. The scale of farmland management increased the green development of agriculture in the eastern region,reduced the green development of agriculture in the central region,and had no significant impact on the entire country and the western region. Based on this,each region should adopt different types of agricultural land scale management according to its different levels of economic development,natural environment and resource conditions to promote green development of agriculture.
引文
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[23]刘玉铭,刘伟.对农业生产规模效益的检验——以黑龙江省数据为例[J].经济经纬,2007,(2)∶110-113.
[24]王琴,陈建丽,杨莉.规模经营能否提升农业全要素生产率——基于新疆地方和生产建设兵团视角[J].求索,2016,(9)∶119-123.
[25]李晓阳,许属琴.经营规模、金融驱动与农业全要素生产率[J].软科学,2017,31(8)∶5-8.
[26]周晓时,李谷成,刘成.人力资本、耕地规模与农业生产效率[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2018,(2)∶8-17,154.
[27]于法稳.习近平绿色发展新思想与农业的绿色转型发展[J].中国农村观察,2016,(5)∶2-9,94.
[28]张宇,朱立志.关于“乡村振兴”战略中绿色发展问题的思考[J].新疆师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2019,(1)∶56-62(优先出版).
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[30]梁流涛.考虑“非意欲”产出的农业土地生产效率评价及其时空特征分析[J].资源科学,2012,34(12)∶2249-2255.
[31]潘丹,应瑞瑶.资源环境约束下的中国农业全要素生产率增长研究[J].资源科学,2013,35(7)∶1329-1338.
[32]Oh D H. A Global Malmquist-luenberger Productivity Index[J]. Journal of Productivity Analysis,2010,34(3)∶183-197.
[33]杜江.中国农业全要素生产率增长及其时空分异[J].科研管理,2015,36(5)∶87-98.
[34]叶初升,惠利.农业生产污染对经济增长绩效的影响程度研究——基于环境全要素生产率的分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(4)∶116-125.
[35]张利平.绿色发展理念下我国农业低碳化路径创新[J].学习论坛,2016,32(5)∶38-41.
[36]武倩,李茜.基于内源式发展理念的农业绿色发展研究——以山西省平陆县为例[J].中国农学通报,2017,33(2)∶155-159.
[37]Chung Y,Fare R,Grosskopf S. Productivity and Undesirable 0utputs:A Directional Distance Function Aproach[J]. Journal of Environmental Management,1997,51(3)∶229-240.
[38]张林,冉光和,蓝震森.碳排放约束与农业全要素生产率增长及分解[J].华南农业大学学报(社会科学版),2015,14(3)∶22-32.
[39]吴昊王月,何艳秋,陈柔.中国农业碳排放绩效评价及随机性收敛研究——基于SBM-Undesirable模型与面板单位根检验[J].中国生态农业学报,2017,25(9)∶1381-1391.
[40]高鸣,陈秋红.贸易开放、经济增长、人力资本与碳排放绩效——来自中国农业的证据[J].农业技术经济,2014,(11)∶101-110.
[41]刘德娟,周琼.碳排放约束下农业全要素生产率测算与收敛性检验[J].福建农业学报,2017,32(1)∶99-106.
[42]West T O,Post W M. Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration Rates by Tillage and Crop Rotation[J]. Soil Sci Soc Am J,2002,66(6)∶1930-1946.
[43]IPCC. IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Volume4:Agriculture,Forestry and other Land Use[Z]. Geneva,Switzerland:IPCC,2006.
[44]伍芬琳,李琳,张海林,等.保护性耕作对农田生态系统净碳释放量的影响[J].生态学杂志,2007,(12)∶2035-2039.
[45]段华平,张悦,赵建波,等.中国农田生态系统的碳足迹分析[J].水土保持学报,2011,25(5)∶203-208.
[46]王智平.中国农田N2O排放量的估算[J].农村生态环境,1997,(2)∶52-56.
[47]于克伟,陈冠雄,杨思河,等.几种旱地农作物在农田N2O释放中的作用及环境因素的影响[J].应用生态学报,1995,(4)∶387-391.
[48]庞军柱,王效科,牟玉静,等.黄土高原冬小麦地N2O排放[J].生态学报,2011,31(7)∶1896-1903.
[49]王少彬,苏维瀚.中国地区氧化亚氮排放量及其变化的估算[J].环境科学,1993,14(3)∶42-46,92-93.
[50]熊正琴,邢光熹,鹤田治雄,等.种植夏季豆科作物对旱地氧化亚氮排放贡献的研究[J].中国农业科学,2002,35(9)∶1104-1108.
[51]邱炜红,刘金山,胡承孝,等.种植蔬菜地与裸地氧化亚氮排放差异比较研究[J].生态环境学报,2010,19(12)∶2982-2985.
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[2]倪国华,蔡日方.农户究竟需要多大的农地经营规模?——农地经营规模决策图谱研究[J].经济研究,2015,50(3)∶159-171.
[3]杨素群.农业经营适度规模解析[J].唯实,1998,(3)∶25-28.
[4]张瑞芝,钱忠好.农业适度经营规模初探[J].扬州大学学报(人文社会科学版),1999,(1)∶76-80.
[5]石晓平,郎海如.农地经营规模与农业生产率研究综述[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2013,13(2)∶76-84.
[6]夏益国,宫春生.粮食安全视阈下农业适度规模经营与新型职业农民——耦合机制、国际经验与启示[J].农业经济问题,2015,36(5)∶56-64,111.
[7]刘凤芹.农业土地规模经营的条件与效果研究:以东北农村为例[J].管理世界,2006,(9)∶71-79,171-172.
[8]齐城.中国粮食比较优势与政策支持水平实证分析[J].中国农村经济,2008,(12)∶42-49.
[9]孔令成,郑少锋.家庭农场的经营效率及适度规模——基于松江模式的DEA模型分析[J].西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版),2016,16(5)∶107-118.
[10]王微恒,朱会义.中国省域农户土地经营规模与地区专业化实证分析[J].地理学报,2017,72(2)∶269-278.
[11]Sen A K. An Aspect of Indian Agriculture[J]. Economic Weekly,1962,(14)∶243-226.
[12]Pranab K. Bardhan Size,Productivity,and Returns to Scale:An Analysis of Farm-level Data in Indian Agriculture[J]. Journal of Political Economy,1973,81(6)∶1370-1386.
[13]Berry R A,Cline W R. Agrarian Structure and Productivity in Developing Countries[J]. Population&Development Review,1979,5(4)∶710.
[14]Christopher Barrett M,Rosenzweig R. On Price Risk and the Inverse Farm Size-productivity Relationship[J]. Wisconsin-madison Agricultural and Applied Economics Staff Papers,1996,51(2)∶193-215.
[15]Collier P. Malfunctioning of African Rural Factor Markets:Theory and a Kenyan Example[J]. Oxford Bulletin of Economics&Statistics,2010,45(2)∶141-172.
[16]辛良杰,李秀彬,朱会义,等.农户土地规模与生产率的关系及其解释的印证——以吉林省为例[J].地理研究,2009,28(5)∶1276-1284.
[17]Sen A K. Size of Holding and Productivity[J]. Economic Weekly,1964,(14)∶323-326.
[18]Rudra A. More on Returns to Scale in Indian Agriculture[J]. Economic&Political Weekly,1968,3(43)∶A33-A38.
[19]Newell A,Pandya K,Symons J. Farm Size and the Intensity of Land Use in Gujarat[J]. Oxford Economic Papers,1997,49(2)∶307-315.
[20]Hayami Y,Kawagoe T. Farm Mechanization,Scale Economies and Polarization:The Japanese Experience[J]. Journal of Development Economics,1989,31(2)∶221-239.
[21]Rao V,Chotigeat T. The Inverse Relationship Between Size of Land Holdings and Agricultural Productivity[J]. American Journal of Agricultural Economics,1981,63(3)∶571-574.
[22]Solow R M. Technical Change and Aggregate Production Function[J].Review of Economics&Statistics,1957,39(3)∶312-320.
[23]刘玉铭,刘伟.对农业生产规模效益的检验——以黑龙江省数据为例[J].经济经纬,2007,(2)∶110-113.
[24]王琴,陈建丽,杨莉.规模经营能否提升农业全要素生产率——基于新疆地方和生产建设兵团视角[J].求索,2016,(9)∶119-123.
[25]李晓阳,许属琴.经营规模、金融驱动与农业全要素生产率[J].软科学,2017,31(8)∶5-8.
[26]周晓时,李谷成,刘成.人力资本、耕地规模与农业生产效率[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2018,(2)∶8-17,154.
[27]于法稳.习近平绿色发展新思想与农业的绿色转型发展[J].中国农村观察,2016,(5)∶2-9,94.
[28]张宇,朱立志.关于“乡村振兴”战略中绿色发展问题的思考[J].新疆师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2019,(1)∶56-62(优先出版).
[29]李谷成,陈宁陆,闵锐.环境规制条件下中国农业全要素生产率增长与分解[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011,21(11)∶153-160.
[30]梁流涛.考虑“非意欲”产出的农业土地生产效率评价及其时空特征分析[J].资源科学,2012,34(12)∶2249-2255.
[31]潘丹,应瑞瑶.资源环境约束下的中国农业全要素生产率增长研究[J].资源科学,2013,35(7)∶1329-1338.
[32]Oh D H. A Global Malmquist-luenberger Productivity Index[J]. Journal of Productivity Analysis,2010,34(3)∶183-197.
[33]杜江.中国农业全要素生产率增长及其时空分异[J].科研管理,2015,36(5)∶87-98.
[34]叶初升,惠利.农业生产污染对经济增长绩效的影响程度研究——基于环境全要素生产率的分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(4)∶116-125.
[35]张利平.绿色发展理念下我国农业低碳化路径创新[J].学习论坛,2016,32(5)∶38-41.
[36]武倩,李茜.基于内源式发展理念的农业绿色发展研究——以山西省平陆县为例[J].中国农学通报,2017,33(2)∶155-159.
[37]Chung Y,Fare R,Grosskopf S. Productivity and Undesirable 0utputs:A Directional Distance Function Aproach[J]. Journal of Environmental Management,1997,51(3)∶229-240.
[38]张林,冉光和,蓝震森.碳排放约束与农业全要素生产率增长及分解[J].华南农业大学学报(社会科学版),2015,14(3)∶22-32.
[39]吴昊王月,何艳秋,陈柔.中国农业碳排放绩效评价及随机性收敛研究——基于SBM-Undesirable模型与面板单位根检验[J].中国生态农业学报,2017,25(9)∶1381-1391.
[40]高鸣,陈秋红.贸易开放、经济增长、人力资本与碳排放绩效——来自中国农业的证据[J].农业技术经济,2014,(11)∶101-110.
[41]刘德娟,周琼.碳排放约束下农业全要素生产率测算与收敛性检验[J].福建农业学报,2017,32(1)∶99-106.
[42]West T O,Post W M. Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration Rates by Tillage and Crop Rotation[J]. Soil Sci Soc Am J,2002,66(6)∶1930-1946.
[43]IPCC. IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Volume4:Agriculture,Forestry and other Land Use[Z]. Geneva,Switzerland:IPCC,2006.
[44]伍芬琳,李琳,张海林,等.保护性耕作对农田生态系统净碳释放量的影响[J].生态学杂志,2007,(12)∶2035-2039.
[45]段华平,张悦,赵建波,等.中国农田生态系统的碳足迹分析[J].水土保持学报,2011,25(5)∶203-208.
[46]王智平.中国农田N2O排放量的估算[J].农村生态环境,1997,(2)∶52-56.
[47]于克伟,陈冠雄,杨思河,等.几种旱地农作物在农田N2O释放中的作用及环境因素的影响[J].应用生态学报,1995,(4)∶387-391.
[48]庞军柱,王效科,牟玉静,等.黄土高原冬小麦地N2O排放[J].生态学报,2011,31(7)∶1896-1903.
[49]王少彬,苏维瀚.中国地区氧化亚氮排放量及其变化的估算[J].环境科学,1993,14(3)∶42-46,92-93.
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