碳税约束下的企业多周期生产决策研究
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摘要
碳税政策不仅得到了越来越多的国家或地区应用,也给高碳企业在经营管理中带来了机遇和挑战.研究了碳税政策背景下企业动态批量决策的预测时阈问题.构建了碳税约束下的成本最小化模型并转化为相应的网络流问题,分析得出最优解的特性,在此基础上,构造再生集且设计出前向动态规划算法寻找预测时阈.通过计算以及算例,分析了在碳税政策约束下影响预测时阈的各个因素,并得到碳税政策并不会增加企业的预测时阈,从而不会增加企业的预测成本等重要结论.
The policy of carbon tax has been more and more used by many countries,which also brings the opportunities and challenges to the enterprise in the management at the same time. The paper analyzes the dynamic lot-size problem and forecast horizon under the policy of carbon tax. We build the models of minimal cost of carbon tax and transform the corresponding problem of network flow. We obtain some necessary conditions on the optimal solution a T-period problem, this enable us to establish a highly efficient forward algorithm to evaluate forecast horizon and the corresponding decision horizon. Finally, the paper analyses various factors affecting forecast horizon under the policy of carbon tax through calculation and numerical example. And there are some important conclusions such as the policy of carbon tax making forecast horizon and forecasting cost unchanged.
The policy of carbon tax has been more and more used by many countries,which also brings the opportunities and challenges to the enterprise in the management at the same time. The paper analyzes the dynamic lot-size problem and forecast horizon under the policy of carbon tax. We build the models of minimal cost of carbon tax and transform the corresponding problem of network flow. We obtain some necessary conditions on the optimal solution a T-period problem, this enable us to establish a highly efficient forward algorithm to evaluate forecast horizon and the corresponding decision horizon. Finally, the paper analyses various factors affecting forecast horizon under the policy of carbon tax through calculation and numerical example. And there are some important conclusions such as the policy of carbon tax making forecast horizon and forecasting cost unchanged.
引文
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[2]赵黎明,殷建立.碳交易和碳税情景下碳减排二层规划决策模型研究[J].管理科学,2016,29(1):137-146.
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[4]焦建玲,汪耘欣,李兰兰.碳税政策对考虑消费者偏好的闭环供应链影响[J].软科学,2016,30(2):107-111.
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[18]Chand S.Decision/forecast horizon results for a single facility dynamic location/relocation problem[J].Operations Research Letters,1988,7(5):247-251.
[19]Daskin M S,Hopp W J,Medina B.Forecast horizons and dynamic facility location planning[J].Annals of Operations Research,1992,(40):125-151.
[2]赵黎明,殷建立.碳交易和碳税情景下碳减排二层规划决策模型研究[J].管理科学,2016,29(1):137-146.
[3]姜跃,韩水华.碳税规制下供应商参与对企业减排决策的影响分析[J].软科学,2016,30(6):43-48.
[4]焦建玲,汪耘欣,李兰兰.碳税政策对考虑消费者偏好的闭环供应链影响[J].软科学,2016,30(2):107-111.
[5]杨惠霄,骆建文.碳税政策下的供应链减排决策研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,2016,36(12):3092-3102.
[6]魏守道,杨仕辉.碳税政策下低碳技术研发形式比较[J].中国管理科学,2015,23:771-777.
[7]魏守道,周建波.碳税政策下供应链低碳技术研发策略选择[J].管理学报,2016,13(12):1834-1841.
[8]慕银平.需求替代的两产品动态批量最优预测时阈研究[J].管理科学学报,2011,14(3):10-23.
[9]Wagner H M,Whitin T M.Dynamic version of the economic lot size model[J].Management Science,1958,5(1):89-96.
[10]Zabel E.Some generalizations of an inventory planning horizon theorem[J].Management Science,1964,10(3):465-471.
[11]Eppen G D,Gould F J,Pashigian B P.Extensions of the planning horizon theorem in the dynamic lot size model[J].Management Science,1969,15(5):268-277.
[12]Lundin R A,Morton T E.Planning horizons for the dynamic lot size model:Zabel vs.protective procedures and computational results[J].Operations Research,1975,23(4):711-734.
[13]Chand S,Morton T E.Minimal forecast horizon procedures for dynamic lot size Models[J].Naval Research Logistics Quarterly,1986,33(1):111-122.
[14]Rajagopalan S.Deterministic capacity expansion under deterioration[J].Management Science,1992,38(4):525-539.
[15]Rajagopalan S.Capacity expansion with alternative technology choices[J].European Journal of Operational Research,1994,(77):392-403.
[16]Sethi S,Chand S.Planning horizon procedures for machine replacement Models[J].Management Science,1979,25(2):140-151.
[17]Chand S,Sethi S.Planning horizon procedures for machine replacement models with several possible replacement alternatives[J].Naval Research Logistics Quarterly,1982,29(3):483-593.
[18]Chand S.Decision/forecast horizon results for a single facility dynamic location/relocation problem[J].Operations Research Letters,1988,7(5):247-251.
[19]Daskin M S,Hopp W J,Medina B.Forecast horizons and dynamic facility location planning[J].Annals of Operations Research,1992,(40):125-151.