近15a江苏省水源涵养功能时空变化与影响因素探析
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摘要
定量评估生态系统服务功能是合理利用自然资源、促进人地关系与可持续发展的基础。以江苏省为研究区,基于InVEST模型产水模块,定量分析了江苏省2000~2015年产水功能和水源涵养功能的时空变化特征,并采用回归分析和主成分分析法评估了水源涵养功能与社会经济要素之间的关系。结果表明:(1)江苏省多年平均产水量为571×10~8m~3/a,水源涵养总量78. 39×10~8m~3/a;(2) 2000~2010年江苏省水源涵养功能呈下降趋势,2010~2015年有所回升,考虑到降水因素,江苏省实际水源涵养功能持续降低;(3)土地利用变化使15a来水源涵养功能下降15. 2×10~8m~3,降低幅度为16. 9%;(4)流域尺度上水源涵养功能与江苏社会经济因素相关关系不显著。研究结果可以为土地利用优化、流域水资源管理提供科学参考和支持。
Quantitative evaluation of ecosystem service is the basis of reasonable use of natural resources,promoting the coordination of the man-land relationship and socio-economic sustainable development. The variations of water yield function and water conservative function in Jiangsu Province between 2000 and 2015 were analyzed through InVEST water yield model,and the relationship between water conservative function and social economic factors was further established by using regression analysis and principal component analysis. The results showed an average water yield of 571×10~8 m~3/a,and a total water conservative of 78. 39×10~8 m~3/a. The water conservative function of Jiangsu Province had been a downward trend between 2000 and 2010,and seems to start to pick up from 2000 to 2015,which,considered the precipitation condition,is actually a steady decline.The declined water conservative function,obviously reduced 15. 2×10~8 m~3 during the nearly 15 years and lowered as much as 16. 9 percent,is mainly a result of the land use change. There was probably a weak correlation among water retention function and the socio-economic factors in basin scale. The research results may provide a scientific guide and theoretical reference for optimizing land use and water resource management.
Quantitative evaluation of ecosystem service is the basis of reasonable use of natural resources,promoting the coordination of the man-land relationship and socio-economic sustainable development. The variations of water yield function and water conservative function in Jiangsu Province between 2000 and 2015 were analyzed through InVEST water yield model,and the relationship between water conservative function and social economic factors was further established by using regression analysis and principal component analysis. The results showed an average water yield of 571×10~8 m~3/a,and a total water conservative of 78. 39×10~8 m~3/a. The water conservative function of Jiangsu Province had been a downward trend between 2000 and 2010,and seems to start to pick up from 2000 to 2015,which,considered the precipitation condition,is actually a steady decline.The declined water conservative function,obviously reduced 15. 2×10~8 m~3 during the nearly 15 years and lowered as much as 16. 9 percent,is mainly a result of the land use change. There was probably a weak correlation among water retention function and the socio-economic factors in basin scale. The research results may provide a scientific guide and theoretical reference for optimizing land use and water resource management.
引文
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[12]王小琳.基于InVEST模型的贵州省水源涵养功能研究[D].贵州师范大学,2016.WANG X L. Modelling water conservation function base on the InVEST model:case studies in Guizhou[D]. Guizhou Normal University,2016.
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[17] TALLIS H T,RICKETTS T,GUERRY A D et al. InVEST 2. 5.3 User’s Guide[M]. Stanford:The Natural Capital Project,2003.
[18]白杨,初东,田良,等.武汉城市圈的水源涵养功能重要性评价研究[J].地球信息科学,2014,16(2):233-241.BAI Y,CHU D,TIAN L,et al. Assessing the importance of water conservation function in Wuhan City Circle[J]. Journal of Geo-information Science,2014,16(2):233-241.
[19]王雅,蒙吉军,齐杨,等.基于InVEST模型的生态系统管理综述[J].生态学杂志,2015,34(12):3526-3532.WANF Y, MENG J J, QI Y, et al. Review of ecosystem management based on the InVEST model[J]. Chinese Journal of Ecology 2015,34(12):3526-3532.
[20]王纪伟,刘康,翁耐义.基于InVEST模型的汉江上游森林生态系统水源涵养服务功能研究[J].水土保持通报,2014,34(5):213-217.WANG J W,LIU K,WENG N Y. Research on water conservation service function of forest ecological system in Upstream of Hanjiang River Based on InVEST model[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,34(5):213-217.
[21] HOYER R,CHANG H J. Assessment of freshwater ecosystem services in the Tualatin and Yamhill basins under climate change and urbanization[J]. Applied Geography,2014(53):402-416.
[22] GOLDSTEINA H T,GOLDSTEIN J H,CALDARONE G,et al.Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions[J]. Proceeding of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2012,109(19):7565-7570.
[23] JOHN W R,LINDA M,TOM H. OLIVER,et al. National scale evaluation of the InVEST nutrient retention model in the United Kingdom[J]. Science of the Total Environment,2017,610-611(2018):666-677.
[24]包玉斌,李婷,柳辉,等.基于InVEST模型的陕北黄土高原水源涵养功能时空变化[J].地理研究,2016,35(4):664-676.BAO Y B,LI T,LIU H,et al. Spatial and temporal changes of water conservation of Loess Plateau in northern Shaanxi province by InVEST model[J]. Geographical Research,2016,35(4):664-676.
[25]文志,赵赫,刘磊,等.土地利用变化对海南土壤水源涵养功能的影响[J].应用生态学报,2017,28(12)4025-4033.WEN Z,ZHAO H,LIU L,et al. Effects of land use changes on soil water conservation in Hainan Island,China[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2017,28(12):4025-4033.
[26]陈姗姗,刘康,包玉斌,等.商洛市水源涵养服务功能空间格局与影响因素[J].地理科学,2016,36(10):1546-1554.CHEN S S,LIU K,BAO Y B,et al. Spatial pattern and influencing factors of water conservation service function in Shangluo City[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica,2016,36(10):1546-1554.
[27]王倩,魏巍,刘洁,等.江苏省水资源利用相对效率时间分异与影响因素[J].水土保持通报,2017,37(1):308-314.WANG Q,WEI W,LIU J,et al. Temporal change of relative efficiency of water resourse use and influencing factors in Jiangsu Province[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,37(1):308-314.
[28]操信春,束锐,郭相平,等.基于BWSI与GWSI的江苏省农业生产水资源压力评价[J].长江流域资源与环境,2017,26(6):856-864.CAO X C,SHU R,GUO X P,et al. Water stresses evaluation of agricultural production in Jiangsu Province BWSI and GWSI[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin,2017,26(6):856-864.
[29]江苏省水利厅.江苏省水资源公报2014[EB/OL]. http://www. jswater. gov. cn/art/2015/6/18/art_1075_56767. html.
[30]孙小银,郭洪伟,廉利姝,等.南四湖流域产水量空间格局与驱动因素分析[J].自然资源学报,2017,32(4):669-679.SUN X Y,GUO H W,LIAN L S,et al. The spatial pattern of water yield and its driving factors in Nansi Lake Basin[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2017,32(4):669-679.
[31] ZHANG L,HICKEL K,DAWES W R. A rational function approach for estimating mean annual evapotranspiration[J].Water Resources Research,2004,40(2):W02502.
[32]马腾飞.河北省经济发展与环境质量关系实证分析研究[D].燕山大学,2013.MA T F. The study on relationship of hebei province between economic development and environmental quality[D]. Yanshan University,2013.
[33]王鹏,况福民,邓育武,等.基于主成分分析的衡阳市土地生态安全评价[J].经济地理,2015,35(1):168-172.WANG P, KUANG F M, DENG Y W, et al. Assessment of land eco-security of the hengyang city on the principal component[J]. Economic Geography,2015,35(1):168-172.
[2]李双成,刘金龙,张才玉,等.生态系统服务研究动态及地理学研究范式[J].地理学报,2011,66(12):1618-1630.LI S C,LIU J L,ZHANG C Y,et al. The research trends of ecosystem services and the paradigm in geography[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences,2011,66(12):1618-1630.
[3]吕一河,胡健,孙飞翔,等.水源涵养与水源调节:和而不同的陆地生态系统水文服务[J].生态学报,2015,35(15):5191-5196.LY H,HU J,SUN F X,et al. Water retention and hydrological regulation:harmony but not the same in terrestrial hydrological ecosystem services[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2015,35(15):5191-5196.
[4]刘斌涛,陶和平,孔博.云南省水资源时空分布格局及综合评价[J].自然资源学报,2014,29(3):454-465.LIU B T,TAO H P,KONG B. Research on the water resource security and its temporal-spatial distributions of Yunnan Province,China[J]. Journal of Natural Resources,2014,29(3):454-465.
[5] PAMELA A G,CHAELES J V,IAN H,et al. Freshwater ecosystem services supporting humans:pivoting from water crisis to water solutions[J]. Global Environmental Change,2015,34(September 2015):108-118.
[6]潘韬,吴绍洪,戴尔阜,等.基于InVEST模型的三江源区生态系统水源供给时空变化[J]:应用生态学报,2013,24(1):183-189.PAN T,WU S H,DAI E F,et al. Spatio-temporal variation of water source supply service in Three Rivers Source Area of China based on InVEST model[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2013,24(1):183-189.
[7] COSTANZA R,DARGE R,DEGROOT R,et al. The value of the world’s ecosystem services and nature capital[J]. Nature,1997,387(6630):253-260.
[8] KNOX J B. Man’s impact on his global environment[R].California Univ.,Livermore(USA). Lawrence Livermore Lab,1976.
[9] NELSON E,MENDOZA G,REGETZ,et al. Modeling multiple ecosystem services, biodiversity conservation, commodity production,and tradeoffs at landscape scales[J]. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment,2009,7(1):4-11.
[10]张嘉宾.关于西双版纳傣族自治州森林涵养水源功能的计量与评价[J].林业资源管理,1982:29-33.ZHANG J B. Research on the Forest Water Retention Function in Dai Autonomous Prefecture of Xishuangbanna[J]. Forestry Resource Management,1982:29-33.
[11]欧阳志云,王效科,苗鸿.中国陆地生态服务功能及其生态经济价值的初步研究[J].生态学报,1999,19(5):607-613.OUYANG Z Y,WANG X K,MIAO H. A primary study on Chinese terrestrial ecosystem services and their ecologicaleconomic values[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,1999,19(5):607-613.
[12]王小琳.基于InVEST模型的贵州省水源涵养功能研究[D].贵州师范大学,2016.WANG X L. Modelling water conservation function base on the InVEST model:case studies in Guizhou[D]. Guizhou Normal University,2016.
[13] LEH M D K,MATLOCK M D,CUMMINGS E C,et al. Quantifying and mapping multiple ecosystem services change in West Africa[J]. Agriculture Ecosystems&Environment, 2013,165:6-18.
[14] GOLDSTEIN J H,CALDARONE G,DUARTE T K,et al.Integrating ecosystem-service trade-offs into land-use decisions[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,2012,109(19):7565-7570.
[15]张海博.基于SEBS与SCS模型的区域水源涵养量估算研究——以北京北部山区为例[D].中国环境科学研究院,2012.ZHANG H B. Estimation of regional water conservation based on SEBS and SCS model:a case study of mountainous area in northern Beijing[D]. Chinese Research Academy of Environment Sciences,2012.
[16]胡晓明.基于InVEST模型的生态系统服务功能评估与模拟——以吉林省龙湾自然保护区为例[D].东北师范大学,2015.HU X M. Ecosystem services evaluation and simulation based on the InVEST model:case study in Longwan Nature Reserve,Jilin[D]. Northeast Normal University,2015.
[17] TALLIS H T,RICKETTS T,GUERRY A D et al. InVEST 2. 5.3 User’s Guide[M]. Stanford:The Natural Capital Project,2003.
[18]白杨,初东,田良,等.武汉城市圈的水源涵养功能重要性评价研究[J].地球信息科学,2014,16(2):233-241.BAI Y,CHU D,TIAN L,et al. Assessing the importance of water conservation function in Wuhan City Circle[J]. Journal of Geo-information Science,2014,16(2):233-241.
[19]王雅,蒙吉军,齐杨,等.基于InVEST模型的生态系统管理综述[J].生态学杂志,2015,34(12):3526-3532.WANF Y, MENG J J, QI Y, et al. Review of ecosystem management based on the InVEST model[J]. Chinese Journal of Ecology 2015,34(12):3526-3532.
[20]王纪伟,刘康,翁耐义.基于InVEST模型的汉江上游森林生态系统水源涵养服务功能研究[J].水土保持通报,2014,34(5):213-217.WANG J W,LIU K,WENG N Y. Research on water conservation service function of forest ecological system in Upstream of Hanjiang River Based on InVEST model[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2014,34(5):213-217.
[21] HOYER R,CHANG H J. Assessment of freshwater ecosystem services in the Tualatin and Yamhill basins under climate change and urbanization[J]. Applied Geography,2014(53):402-416.
[22] GOLDSTEINA H T,GOLDSTEIN J H,CALDARONE G,et al.Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions[J]. Proceeding of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2012,109(19):7565-7570.
[23] JOHN W R,LINDA M,TOM H. OLIVER,et al. National scale evaluation of the InVEST nutrient retention model in the United Kingdom[J]. Science of the Total Environment,2017,610-611(2018):666-677.
[24]包玉斌,李婷,柳辉,等.基于InVEST模型的陕北黄土高原水源涵养功能时空变化[J].地理研究,2016,35(4):664-676.BAO Y B,LI T,LIU H,et al. Spatial and temporal changes of water conservation of Loess Plateau in northern Shaanxi province by InVEST model[J]. Geographical Research,2016,35(4):664-676.
[25]文志,赵赫,刘磊,等.土地利用变化对海南土壤水源涵养功能的影响[J].应用生态学报,2017,28(12)4025-4033.WEN Z,ZHAO H,LIU L,et al. Effects of land use changes on soil water conservation in Hainan Island,China[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2017,28(12):4025-4033.
[26]陈姗姗,刘康,包玉斌,等.商洛市水源涵养服务功能空间格局与影响因素[J].地理科学,2016,36(10):1546-1554.CHEN S S,LIU K,BAO Y B,et al. Spatial pattern and influencing factors of water conservation service function in Shangluo City[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica,2016,36(10):1546-1554.
[27]王倩,魏巍,刘洁,等.江苏省水资源利用相对效率时间分异与影响因素[J].水土保持通报,2017,37(1):308-314.WANG Q,WEI W,LIU J,et al. Temporal change of relative efficiency of water resourse use and influencing factors in Jiangsu Province[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,37(1):308-314.
[28]操信春,束锐,郭相平,等.基于BWSI与GWSI的江苏省农业生产水资源压力评价[J].长江流域资源与环境,2017,26(6):856-864.CAO X C,SHU R,GUO X P,et al. Water stresses evaluation of agricultural production in Jiangsu Province BWSI and GWSI[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin,2017,26(6):856-864.
[29]江苏省水利厅.江苏省水资源公报2014[EB/OL]. http://www. jswater. gov. cn/art/2015/6/18/art_1075_56767. html.
[30]孙小银,郭洪伟,廉利姝,等.南四湖流域产水量空间格局与驱动因素分析[J].自然资源学报,2017,32(4):669-679.SUN X Y,GUO H W,LIAN L S,et al. The spatial pattern of water yield and its driving factors in Nansi Lake Basin[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2017,32(4):669-679.
[31] ZHANG L,HICKEL K,DAWES W R. A rational function approach for estimating mean annual evapotranspiration[J].Water Resources Research,2004,40(2):W02502.
[32]马腾飞.河北省经济发展与环境质量关系实证分析研究[D].燕山大学,2013.MA T F. The study on relationship of hebei province between economic development and environmental quality[D]. Yanshan University,2013.
[33]王鹏,况福民,邓育武,等.基于主成分分析的衡阳市土地生态安全评价[J].经济地理,2015,35(1):168-172.WANG P, KUANG F M, DENG Y W, et al. Assessment of land eco-security of the hengyang city on the principal component[J]. Economic Geography,2015,35(1):168-172.