中国城市群发展研究——基于城市群引领新型城镇化的背景
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摘要
在城市群引领新型城镇化的背景下,本文依据中心地理论和位序——规模理论,以我国三大城市群和7个重点建设城市群为研究对象,进行了城市体系的首位度分析和位序——规模结构分析,在此基础上,利用城市群发展机制模型,对十大城市群发展演化进行了多元回归分析,研究表明,市场参数、政府因素、交通条件是重要的解释变量,以市场为主的社会消费总额和政府财政支出及固定资产的投资对城市体系演变影响很大,产业结构的演变和交通条件也是影响城市群城市体系演变的重要原因。最后,提出了优化中国城市群发展的政策建议。
With the background of urban agglomeration's leading new urbanization,in the light of central place theory and rank- size rule and with the research objects of three major urban agglomeration and seven key developing urban agglomeration,analysis is made on urban cities' primacy ratio and rank- size structure. With this basis and the model of urban agglomeration development mechanism,multiple regression analysis is made on ten major urbans agglomeration's development and evolution. The research illustrates that market parameter,government factor and transporation condition are important explanatory variable; social consume amount dominated by market as well as investment of governmental expenditure and fixed assets play an important role,besides,the development of industrial structure and transportation condition also have great influences in the evolution of urban agglomeration system. Finally,the strategy of how to optimize China's urban agglomeration development is put forward.
With the background of urban agglomeration's leading new urbanization,in the light of central place theory and rank- size rule and with the research objects of three major urban agglomeration and seven key developing urban agglomeration,analysis is made on urban cities' primacy ratio and rank- size structure. With this basis and the model of urban agglomeration development mechanism,multiple regression analysis is made on ten major urbans agglomeration's development and evolution. The research illustrates that market parameter,government factor and transporation condition are important explanatory variable; social consume amount dominated by market as well as investment of governmental expenditure and fixed assets play an important role,besides,the development of industrial structure and transportation condition also have great influences in the evolution of urban agglomeration system. Finally,the strategy of how to optimize China's urban agglomeration development is put forward.
引文
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7 .王厚军,李小玉,何兴元,等.辽宁中部城市群城市体系等级规模结构[J].生态学杂志,2009,(3):490 ~496
8 .曾鹏,陈芬.我国十大城市群等级规模结构特征比较研究[J].科技进步与对策,2013,(5):42~46
9 .欧国立.城市交通基础设施对城市聚集与扩展的影响机理研究[D].北京交通大学,2009
10 .赵维良.基于生态位的城市发展协调度评价[J].工业技术经济,2011,(2):123~128
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2 .M.Jefferson.The Law of the Primate City[J].Geographical Review,1939,(29):226~232
3 .ZiPf,G.K..Human Beilaviorand the Principle of Least Effort[M].New York,Addison-Weley Press,1949
4 .许学强,周一星,宁越敏.城市地理学[M].北京:高等教育出版社,1997
5 .郝寿义,安虎森.区域经济学[M].经济科学出版社,2004:349~351
6 .周一星,杨齐.我国城镇等级体系变动的回顾及其省区地域类型[J].地理学报,1986,(41):97~111
7 .王厚军,李小玉,何兴元,等.辽宁中部城市群城市体系等级规模结构[J].生态学杂志,2009,(3):490 ~496
8 .曾鹏,陈芬.我国十大城市群等级规模结构特征比较研究[J].科技进步与对策,2013,(5):42~46
9 .欧国立.城市交通基础设施对城市聚集与扩展的影响机理研究[D].北京交通大学,2009
10 .赵维良.基于生态位的城市发展协调度评价[J].工业技术经济,2011,(2):123~128
11 .房国忠,刘贵清.日美城市群产业空间演化对中国城市群发展的启示[J].当代经济研究,2009,(9):53 ~56