京津冀协同发展的产业流动与政策模拟——从投入产出视角出发
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摘要
科学规划京津冀三地间产业流动既是"非首都功能"疏解的基础,也是京津冀协同发展的重要环节。本文基于投入产出方法,对京津冀三地产业结构进行全面的分析,探讨了地区产业短板,并结合碳排放与水消耗两个指标,对适合疏解的产业提出建议。在文章假设下,对北京待疏解产业产出向河北地区流动进行模拟,通过投入产出规划调整模型与地区间投入产出模型测算,得出政府应加强省际价值流动、进口两手抓的结论。
Planning industrial flows among Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is the basis for the relocation of"non-capital functions" and an important part of the coordinated development of the district. Based on the in-put-output method, this article makes a comprehensive analysis of the industrial structure of the three re-gions and discusses the shortcomings of the regional industry. Combining the carbon emission and water con-sumption, recommendations for industries that are suitable for relocating were proposed. The flow of indus-trial output from Beijing to Hebei was simulated. Through the input-output planning adjustment model and the Inter-Region input-output model, it is concluded that the government should strengthen the inter-provincial value flow and import simultaneously.
Planning industrial flows among Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is the basis for the relocation of"non-capital functions" and an important part of the coordinated development of the district. Based on the in-put-output method, this article makes a comprehensive analysis of the industrial structure of the three re-gions and discusses the shortcomings of the regional industry. Combining the carbon emission and water con-sumption, recommendations for industries that are suitable for relocating were proposed. The flow of indus-trial output from Beijing to Hebei was simulated. Through the input-output planning adjustment model and the Inter-Region input-output model, it is concluded that the government should strengthen the inter-provincial value flow and import simultaneously.
引文
[1]张盛君.产业关联视角下京津冀产业协同发展研究[J].区域经济,2006-03-10.
[2]王苏舰,王玢,赵霜,徐丽萍.京津冀区域产业结构平衡性分析基于京津冀区域间投入产出模型的分析[C].2012城市发展与规划大会论文集.
[3] Saige Wang, Bin Chen. Energy–water nexus of urban agglomeration based on multiregional input–output tables and ecological[J].Applied Energy,178(2016)773-783.
[4]王艳阳,王会肖,蔡燕.北京市水足迹计算与分析[J].中国生态农业学报,2011-07-15.
[5]石敏俊,张卓颖.中国省区间投入产出模型与区域经济联系[M].北京:科学出版社,2012.
[6]李善同.2007年中国地区扩展投入产出表:编制与应用[M].北京:经济科学出版社,2015.
[2]王苏舰,王玢,赵霜,徐丽萍.京津冀区域产业结构平衡性分析基于京津冀区域间投入产出模型的分析[C].2012城市发展与规划大会论文集.
[3] Saige Wang, Bin Chen. Energy–water nexus of urban agglomeration based on multiregional input–output tables and ecological[J].Applied Energy,178(2016)773-783.
[4]王艳阳,王会肖,蔡燕.北京市水足迹计算与分析[J].中国生态农业学报,2011-07-15.
[5]石敏俊,张卓颖.中国省区间投入产出模型与区域经济联系[M].北京:科学出版社,2012.
[6]李善同.2007年中国地区扩展投入产出表:编制与应用[M].北京:经济科学出版社,2015.