住房压力和社会公平感对政府信任的影响研究
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摘要
高企的房价给民众带来沉重的住房压力,对政府信任造成消极影响。首次构建了住房压力通过社会公平感影响政府信任的理论模型,并利用2017年全国问卷调查的"当代中国社会公平感状况"数据进行实证检验,得出主要研究结论:住房压力负向影响政府信任,住房压力越大的个体越不信任政府;住房压力负向影响社会公平感,住房压力越大的个体社会公平感越低。社会公平感正向影响政府信任,社会公平感越高的个体对政府的信任程度越高。社会公平感在住房压力对政府信任的影响之间发挥部分中介作用,住房压力不但能够直接影响政府信任,而且能够通过社会公平感间接影响政府信任。研究结果揭示了缓解民众住房压力和维护社会公平的重要性。
The high housing price has brought heavy housing pressure to the public and exerted a negative impact on trust in government. The first theoretical model of housing pressure influencing government trust through a sense of social fairness was constructed. An empirical test was conducted on the 2017 national questionnaire survey data of " the sense of social fairness in contemporary China",and the main research conclusions were drawn. First,the housing pressure exerts a negative effect on trust in government. People who have higher housing pressure distrust the government more. Second,the housing pressure exerts a negative effect on public perceived social fairness. People who have higher housing pressure perceived more social unfairness.Third,the perceived social fairness exerts a positive effect on trust in government. People who perceive more social fairness have higher levels of trust in government. The perceived social fairness plays an intermediary role in the impact of housing pressure on government trust. Housing pressure can not only directly affect government trust,but also indirectly affect government trust through the perceived social fairness. The research results reveal the importance of relieving people's housing pressure and maintaining social fairness.
The high housing price has brought heavy housing pressure to the public and exerted a negative impact on trust in government. The first theoretical model of housing pressure influencing government trust through a sense of social fairness was constructed. An empirical test was conducted on the 2017 national questionnaire survey data of " the sense of social fairness in contemporary China",and the main research conclusions were drawn. First,the housing pressure exerts a negative effect on trust in government. People who have higher housing pressure distrust the government more. Second,the housing pressure exerts a negative effect on public perceived social fairness. People who have higher housing pressure perceived more social unfairness.Third,the perceived social fairness exerts a positive effect on trust in government. People who perceive more social fairness have higher levels of trust in government. The perceived social fairness plays an intermediary role in the impact of housing pressure on government trust. Housing pressure can not only directly affect government trust,but also indirectly affect government trust through the perceived social fairness. The research results reveal the importance of relieving people's housing pressure and maintaining social fairness.
引文
[1]况伟大,陈晶,葛玉好.贫富差距、供求弹性与房价[J].经济理论与经济管理,2018,(3):13.
[2]朱梦冰,李实.中国城乡居民住房不平等分析[J].经济与管理研究,2018,39(9).
[3]麻宝斌.社会正义与政府治理:在理想与现实之间[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2012:8.
[4][英]洛克.政府论:下篇[M].叶启芳,瞿菊农,译.北京:商务印书馆,1964:77.
[5]LUHMANN N.Trust[M]//DAVIS H,RAFFAN J,ROONEY K(Eds.).Trust and Power. Chichester:John Wiley&Sons,1979:4.
[6][英]吉登斯.现代性的后果[M].田禾,译.南京:译林出版社,2011:30.
[7]宋少鹏,麻宝斌.论政治信任的结构[J].行政与法,2008,(8):25.
[8]MILLER A H.Rejoinder to “Comment”By Jack Citrin:Political Discontent or Ritualism?[J].The American Political Science Review,1974,68(3):989.
[9]CITRIN J,STOKER L. Political Trust in a Cynical Age[J].Annual Review of Political Science,2018,21(1):50.
[10]LI L.Distrust in Government Leaders,Demand for Leadership Change,and Preference for Popular Elections in Rural China[J].Political Behavior,2011,33(2):305.
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[14]卢海阳,郑逸芳,黄靖洋.公共政策满意度与中央政府信任——基于中国16个城市的实证分析[J].中国行政管理,2016,(8):98.
[15]常雪,苏群,周春芳.房价、住房支付能力与刑事犯罪——基于中国省级面板数据的实证分析[J].上海财经大学学报,2018,20(1):74.
[16]吴义东,王先柱.青年群体住房租买选择及其购房压力研究[J].调研世界,2018,(4):13.
[17]赵奉军,高波.新时代住房问题内涵与长效机制建设[J].江苏行政学院学报,2018,(3):54.
[18]张媛媛,曹宗平,王凯风.城镇化、房价与城乡收入差距——基于2005—2015年省级面板数据的经验研究[J].经济问题探索,2018,(4):34.
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[20]张海东,杨城晨.住房与城市居民的阶层认同——基于北京、上海、广州的研究[J].社会学研究,2017,32(5).
[21]王先柱,王敏.青年群体住房获得:阶层固化能够打破吗[J].财经科学,2018,(1):62.
[22]黄建宏.哪类青年易陷入住房贫困——对转型期住房贫困生成逻辑的再探[J].中国青年研究,2018,(3):60.
[23][美]阿尔蒙德,维伯.公民文化——五个国家的政治态度和民主制[M].徐湘林,戴龙基,唐亮,等,译.北京:华夏出版社,1989:95.
[24]麻宝斌.社会公平正义测评的理论前提与基本逻辑[J].中共天津市委党校学报,2012,(5).
[25][瑞典]罗斯坦.政府质量:执政能力与腐败、社会信任和不平等[M].蒋小虎,译.北京:新华出版社,2012:177.
[26]孟天广,杨明.转型期中国县级政府的客观治理绩效与政治信任——从“经济增长合法性”到“公共产品合法性”[J].经济社会体制比较,2012,(4):133.
[27]KEELE L. Social Capital and the Dynamics of Trust in Government[J]. American Journal of Political Science,2007,51(2):252.
[28]USLANER E M. The Moral Foundations of Trust[M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,2002:38.
[29]SU Z,CAO Y,HE J,et al.Perceived Social Mobility and Political Trust in China[J]. African and Asian Studies,2015,14(4):333.
[30]ZMERLI S,CASTILLO J C.Income Inequality,Distributive Fairness and Political Trust in Latin America[J].Social Science Research,2015,52(2):190.
[31]KINCAID J,COLE R L.Citizen Evaluations of Federalism and the Importance of Trust in the Federation Government for Opinions on Regional Equity and Subordination in Four Countries[J]. Publius-the Journal of Federalism,2016,46(1).
[32]MACKINNON D P,LOCKWOOD C M,HOFFMAN J M,et al. A Comparison of Methods to Test Mediation and Other Intervening Variable Effects[J]. Psychological Methods,2002,7(1):87.
[33]MACKINNON D P. Introduction to Statistical Mediation Analysis[M].New York:Taylor&Francis Group,2008:333.
[34]吴明隆.结构方程模型——AMOS的操作与应用[M].重庆:重庆大学出版社,2010:39.
[35]HAYES A F,SCHARKOW M.The Relative Trustworthiness of Inferential Tests of the Indirect Effect in Statistical Mediation Analysis:Does Method Really Matter?[J].Psychological Science,2013,24(10):1922.
[36]黄静,崔光灿,张传勇.房价上涨、住房财产差距与动态流动性[J].上海财经大学学报,2017,19(1).
[37]WU X. Income Inequality and Distributive Justice:A Comparative Analysis of Mainland China and Hong Kong[J].The China Quarterly,2009,200(10):1050.
[38]麻宝斌.走出政策执行不力的体制困境[J].探索与争鸣,2015,(11):28.
[39]麻宝斌.直面深层矛盾,深化行政体制改革[J].新长征,2018,(8):48.
[2]朱梦冰,李实.中国城乡居民住房不平等分析[J].经济与管理研究,2018,39(9).
[3]麻宝斌.社会正义与政府治理:在理想与现实之间[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2012:8.
[4][英]洛克.政府论:下篇[M].叶启芳,瞿菊农,译.北京:商务印书馆,1964:77.
[5]LUHMANN N.Trust[M]//DAVIS H,RAFFAN J,ROONEY K(Eds.).Trust and Power. Chichester:John Wiley&Sons,1979:4.
[6][英]吉登斯.现代性的后果[M].田禾,译.南京:译林出版社,2011:30.
[7]宋少鹏,麻宝斌.论政治信任的结构[J].行政与法,2008,(8):25.
[8]MILLER A H.Rejoinder to “Comment”By Jack Citrin:Political Discontent or Ritualism?[J].The American Political Science Review,1974,68(3):989.
[9]CITRIN J,STOKER L. Political Trust in a Cynical Age[J].Annual Review of Political Science,2018,21(1):50.
[10]LI L.Distrust in Government Leaders,Demand for Leadership Change,and Preference for Popular Elections in Rural China[J].Political Behavior,2011,33(2):305.
[11]GODEFROIDT A,LANGER A,MEULEMAN B.Developing Political Trust in a Developing Country:The Impact of Institutional and Cultural Factors on Political Trust in Ghana[J].Democratization,2017,24(6):907.
[12]刘军岭.房价、住房产权条件与城镇居民社会信任[J].现代财经(天津财经大学学报),2017,37(2):26.
[13]KESTILA-KEKKONEN E,SODERLUND P. Political Trust,Individual-level Characteristics and Institutional Performance:Evidence from Finland,2004-13[J].Scandinavian Political Studies,2016,39(2):152.
[14]卢海阳,郑逸芳,黄靖洋.公共政策满意度与中央政府信任——基于中国16个城市的实证分析[J].中国行政管理,2016,(8):98.
[15]常雪,苏群,周春芳.房价、住房支付能力与刑事犯罪——基于中国省级面板数据的实证分析[J].上海财经大学学报,2018,20(1):74.
[16]吴义东,王先柱.青年群体住房租买选择及其购房压力研究[J].调研世界,2018,(4):13.
[17]赵奉军,高波.新时代住房问题内涵与长效机制建设[J].江苏行政学院学报,2018,(3):54.
[18]张媛媛,曹宗平,王凯风.城镇化、房价与城乡收入差距——基于2005—2015年省级面板数据的经验研究[J].经济问题探索,2018,(4):34.
[19]刘祖云,毛小平.中国城市住房分层:基于2010年广州市千户问卷调查[J].中国社会科学,2012,(2):94.
[20]张海东,杨城晨.住房与城市居民的阶层认同——基于北京、上海、广州的研究[J].社会学研究,2017,32(5).
[21]王先柱,王敏.青年群体住房获得:阶层固化能够打破吗[J].财经科学,2018,(1):62.
[22]黄建宏.哪类青年易陷入住房贫困——对转型期住房贫困生成逻辑的再探[J].中国青年研究,2018,(3):60.
[23][美]阿尔蒙德,维伯.公民文化——五个国家的政治态度和民主制[M].徐湘林,戴龙基,唐亮,等,译.北京:华夏出版社,1989:95.
[24]麻宝斌.社会公平正义测评的理论前提与基本逻辑[J].中共天津市委党校学报,2012,(5).
[25][瑞典]罗斯坦.政府质量:执政能力与腐败、社会信任和不平等[M].蒋小虎,译.北京:新华出版社,2012:177.
[26]孟天广,杨明.转型期中国县级政府的客观治理绩效与政治信任——从“经济增长合法性”到“公共产品合法性”[J].经济社会体制比较,2012,(4):133.
[27]KEELE L. Social Capital and the Dynamics of Trust in Government[J]. American Journal of Political Science,2007,51(2):252.
[28]USLANER E M. The Moral Foundations of Trust[M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,2002:38.
[29]SU Z,CAO Y,HE J,et al.Perceived Social Mobility and Political Trust in China[J]. African and Asian Studies,2015,14(4):333.
[30]ZMERLI S,CASTILLO J C.Income Inequality,Distributive Fairness and Political Trust in Latin America[J].Social Science Research,2015,52(2):190.
[31]KINCAID J,COLE R L.Citizen Evaluations of Federalism and the Importance of Trust in the Federation Government for Opinions on Regional Equity and Subordination in Four Countries[J]. Publius-the Journal of Federalism,2016,46(1).
[32]MACKINNON D P,LOCKWOOD C M,HOFFMAN J M,et al. A Comparison of Methods to Test Mediation and Other Intervening Variable Effects[J]. Psychological Methods,2002,7(1):87.
[33]MACKINNON D P. Introduction to Statistical Mediation Analysis[M].New York:Taylor&Francis Group,2008:333.
[34]吴明隆.结构方程模型——AMOS的操作与应用[M].重庆:重庆大学出版社,2010:39.
[35]HAYES A F,SCHARKOW M.The Relative Trustworthiness of Inferential Tests of the Indirect Effect in Statistical Mediation Analysis:Does Method Really Matter?[J].Psychological Science,2013,24(10):1922.
[36]黄静,崔光灿,张传勇.房价上涨、住房财产差距与动态流动性[J].上海财经大学学报,2017,19(1).
[37]WU X. Income Inequality and Distributive Justice:A Comparative Analysis of Mainland China and Hong Kong[J].The China Quarterly,2009,200(10):1050.
[38]麻宝斌.走出政策执行不力的体制困境[J].探索与争鸣,2015,(11):28.
[39]麻宝斌.直面深层矛盾,深化行政体制改革[J].新长征,2018,(8):48.