基于农村电商生态系统的农民增收扶贫研究
|
摘要
实施乡村振兴乃当今国家战略,其核心思想是缩小城乡差距,增加农民收入。基于系统动力学对农村电商生态系统进行仿真,并就如何提升农民收入开展方案设计及策略研究。首先从政府、企业、农民三维视角,提出基于PPP理论、供应链理论和能力理论的理论架构,并构建合理研究假设;其次,采用系统动力学构建农村电商生态系统模型并进行仿真和结果校验;最后基于系统动力学仿真结果,分析影响农民增收的关键因素,并给出农民增收的相关建议。
Narrowing the gap between urban and rural areas and increasing farmers' income are the vital task of national strategies. Based on the problem of increasing farmers' income, the rural e-commerce ecosystem model was constructed based on system dynamics. First of all, based on the three aspect from government, enterprises and farmers, aggregating the PPP mode, the symbiosis theory and poverty theory, this paper build the theoretical hypothesis to provide guidance for research of rural e-commerce ecosystem. Then using the rural e-commerce ecosystem model to debug the model parameters,the experimental results are simulated and verified.Finally, based on the experiment results, the paper analyzes the influential factors of increasing farmers' income and puts forward some suggestions for future research.
Narrowing the gap between urban and rural areas and increasing farmers' income are the vital task of national strategies. Based on the problem of increasing farmers' income, the rural e-commerce ecosystem model was constructed based on system dynamics. First of all, based on the three aspect from government, enterprises and farmers, aggregating the PPP mode, the symbiosis theory and poverty theory, this paper build the theoretical hypothesis to provide guidance for research of rural e-commerce ecosystem. Then using the rural e-commerce ecosystem model to debug the model parameters,the experimental results are simulated and verified.Finally, based on the experiment results, the paper analyzes the influential factors of increasing farmers' income and puts forward some suggestions for future research.
引文
[1]魏后凯.如何走好新时代乡村振兴之路[J].人民论坛·学术前沿,2018(3):14-18.
[2] 李晓龙,郑威.农民收入影响因素的理论、实证与对策[J].中国农业资源与区划,2016(5):90-95.
[3] 曾亿武,万粒,郭红东.农业电子商务国内外研究现状与展望[J].中国农村观察,2016(3):82-93.
[4] 曾亿武,郭红东,金松青.电子商务有益于农民增收吗?——来自江苏沭阳的证据[J].中国农村经济,2018(2):49-64.
[5] 杜江,张伟科,范锦玲.农村金融发展对农民收入影响的双重特征分析——基于面板门槛模型和空间计量模型的实证研究[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2017(6):35-43.
[6] Ashok Gulati, Tirtha Chatterjee, Siraj Hussain. Supporting Indian Farmers:Price Support or Direct Income/ Investment Support[J]. Indian Council For Research On International Economic Relations (ICRIER), 2018.
[7] Denis Nadolnyak,Xuan Shen,Valentina Hartarska.Farm Income and Output and Lending by the Farm Credit System[J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 2017,77(1):125-136.
[8] 陈红红,夏咏,辛冲冲.新疆农业资金投入与农民收入效应关系的实证研究[J].中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(2):124-132.
[9] 王伟,黄婉芬.广东生鲜农产品物流供应链模式发展现状研究[J].中国物流与采购,2018(04):74-75.
[10] 孙东升,孔凡丕,钱静斐.发展土地股份合作与三产融合是保障粮食安全和粮农增收的有效途径[J].农业经济问题,2017(12):4-7.
[11] Shaoling Fu,Yuanzhu Zhan,Kim Hua Tan. Managing Social Responsibility in Chinese Agriculture Supply Chains Through the “A Company+Farmers” Model[J].European Business Review,2017,29(3):344-359.
[12] 李云新,戴紫芸,丁士军.农村一二三产业融合的农户增收效应研究——基于对345个农户调查的PSM分析[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2017(4):37-44.
[13] 刘俊文.农民专业合作社对贫困农户收入及其稳定性的影响——以山东、贵州两省为例[J]. 中国农村经济,2017(2):44-45.
[14] Eric Yaw Naminse, Jincai Zhuang. Does Farmer Entrepreneurship Alleviate Rural Poverty in China Evidence from Guangxi Province[J]. PLoS One,2018,13(3):e0194912.
[15] 邱海洋,齐泓深.绿色农业创业与农民增收——基于信息化的门槛效应[J].信阳师范学院学报(哲学社会科学版),2018(6):41-45.
[16] Darmadji. Entrepreneurship as New Approach to Support National Agriculture Development Program to Go Self Sufficient Food[J]. Agriculture and Agricultural Science Procedia 2016(9):72-82.
[17] 刘明辉,刘灿.人力资本积累对农民增收的门槛效应研究[J].软科学,2018,32(3):25-28,37.
[18] 陈华,王晓.中国PPP融资模式存在问题及路径优化研究[J].宏观经济研究,2018(3):81-88.
[19] 张延强,单志广,马潮江.智慧城市建设PPP模式实践研究[J].城市发展研究,2018,25(1):18-22.
[20] 杨旭,李竣.县级政府、供应链管理与农产品上行关系研究[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2018(3):81-89,156-157.
[21] 但斌,郑开维,吴胜男,邵兵家.“互联网+”生鲜农产品供应链C2B商业模式的实现路径——基于拼好货的案例研究[J].经济与管理研究,2018,39(2):65-78.
[22] 葛继红,杨森,徐慧君.化工园区对周边农民福利影响的模糊评价——基于森的可行能力和多维福利测度模型[J].江苏农业科学,2017,45(10):312-315.
[2] 李晓龙,郑威.农民收入影响因素的理论、实证与对策[J].中国农业资源与区划,2016(5):90-95.
[3] 曾亿武,万粒,郭红东.农业电子商务国内外研究现状与展望[J].中国农村观察,2016(3):82-93.
[4] 曾亿武,郭红东,金松青.电子商务有益于农民增收吗?——来自江苏沭阳的证据[J].中国农村经济,2018(2):49-64.
[5] 杜江,张伟科,范锦玲.农村金融发展对农民收入影响的双重特征分析——基于面板门槛模型和空间计量模型的实证研究[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2017(6):35-43.
[6] Ashok Gulati, Tirtha Chatterjee, Siraj Hussain. Supporting Indian Farmers:Price Support or Direct Income/ Investment Support[J]. Indian Council For Research On International Economic Relations (ICRIER), 2018.
[7] Denis Nadolnyak,Xuan Shen,Valentina Hartarska.Farm Income and Output and Lending by the Farm Credit System[J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 2017,77(1):125-136.
[8] 陈红红,夏咏,辛冲冲.新疆农业资金投入与农民收入效应关系的实证研究[J].中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(2):124-132.
[9] 王伟,黄婉芬.广东生鲜农产品物流供应链模式发展现状研究[J].中国物流与采购,2018(04):74-75.
[10] 孙东升,孔凡丕,钱静斐.发展土地股份合作与三产融合是保障粮食安全和粮农增收的有效途径[J].农业经济问题,2017(12):4-7.
[11] Shaoling Fu,Yuanzhu Zhan,Kim Hua Tan. Managing Social Responsibility in Chinese Agriculture Supply Chains Through the “A Company+Farmers” Model[J].European Business Review,2017,29(3):344-359.
[12] 李云新,戴紫芸,丁士军.农村一二三产业融合的农户增收效应研究——基于对345个农户调查的PSM分析[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2017(4):37-44.
[13] 刘俊文.农民专业合作社对贫困农户收入及其稳定性的影响——以山东、贵州两省为例[J]. 中国农村经济,2017(2):44-45.
[14] Eric Yaw Naminse, Jincai Zhuang. Does Farmer Entrepreneurship Alleviate Rural Poverty in China Evidence from Guangxi Province[J]. PLoS One,2018,13(3):e0194912.
[15] 邱海洋,齐泓深.绿色农业创业与农民增收——基于信息化的门槛效应[J].信阳师范学院学报(哲学社会科学版),2018(6):41-45.
[16] Darmadji. Entrepreneurship as New Approach to Support National Agriculture Development Program to Go Self Sufficient Food[J]. Agriculture and Agricultural Science Procedia 2016(9):72-82.
[17] 刘明辉,刘灿.人力资本积累对农民增收的门槛效应研究[J].软科学,2018,32(3):25-28,37.
[18] 陈华,王晓.中国PPP融资模式存在问题及路径优化研究[J].宏观经济研究,2018(3):81-88.
[19] 张延强,单志广,马潮江.智慧城市建设PPP模式实践研究[J].城市发展研究,2018,25(1):18-22.
[20] 杨旭,李竣.县级政府、供应链管理与农产品上行关系研究[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2018(3):81-89,156-157.
[21] 但斌,郑开维,吴胜男,邵兵家.“互联网+”生鲜农产品供应链C2B商业模式的实现路径——基于拼好货的案例研究[J].经济与管理研究,2018,39(2):65-78.
[22] 葛继红,杨森,徐慧君.化工园区对周边农民福利影响的模糊评价——基于森的可行能力和多维福利测度模型[J].江苏农业科学,2017,45(10):312-315.