基于演化博弈的流域生态补偿标准研究——以湘江流域为例
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摘要
流域生态补偿作为生态补偿政策实施的主要领域,是保护流域生态资源、改善区域经济发展质量的重要举措。本文从演化博弈基本分析出发,建立引入"奖励-惩罚"机制的演化博弈模型,对流域生态补偿上下游各利益主体之间的利益相关决策行为进行剖析,使用湘江流域的水质数据,通过建立参数回归数学模型和利用局部线性回归方法,获得在不同区间内的奖励和惩罚经济成本,结果显示:水质下降时,应惩罚92.55万元,水质上升时应奖励122.728万元,水质明显恶化时,应严惩508.76万元。
引文
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[2]徐大伟,常亮,侯铁珊等.基于WTP和WTA的流域生态补偿标准测算——以辽河为例[J].资源科学,2012(7):1354-1361.
[3]李昌峰,张娈英,赵广川,莫李娟.基于演化博弈理论的流域生态补偿研究——以太湖流域为例[J].中国人口、资源与环境,2014(01):171-176.
[4]孔凡斌.中国生态补偿机制:理论、实践与政策设计[M].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2010.
[5]Tan L ,Qingguo Z ,Ying Z .Modelling a Compensation Standard for a Regional Forest Ecosystem:A Case Study in Yanqing District,Beijing,China[J].International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health,2018(4):565.
[6]Dandan Y ,Yicheng F ,Biu L ,et al.Theoretical Study of Watershed Eco-Compensation Standards[J].IOP Conference Series:Materials Science and Engineering,2018:301.
[7]Xie,X.,Xie,H.,Shu,C.,Wu,Q.,& Lu,H.(2017).Estimation of Ecological Compensation Standards for Fallow Heavy Metal-Polluted Farmland in China Based on Farmer Willingness to Accept.Sustainability[J].2017(10).doi:10.3390/su9101859
[8]Biénabe E,Hearne R R.Public preferences for biodiversity conservation and scenic beauty within a framework of environmental services payments[J].Forest Policy & Economics,2006(4):335-348.
[9]Yu B ,Xu L ,Wang X .Ecological compensation for hydropower resettlement in a reservoir wetland based on welfare change in Tibet,China[J].Ecological Engineering,2016.
[10]Villarroya,Ana,E-mail:avillarroya@alumni.unav.e.Ecological compensation and Environmental Impact Assessment in Spain[J].Environmental Impact Assessment Review,2010(1):3-21.
[11]Costanza R,D'Arge R,Groot R D,et al.The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital[J].Nature,1999(15):253-260.
[12]He Q ,Zeng C ,Xie P ,et al.An assessment of forest biomass carbon storage and ecological compensation based on surface area:A case study of Hubei Province,China[J].Ecological Indicators,2018:392-400.
[13]Guan X,Liu W,Chen M.Study on the ecological compensation standard for river basin water environment based on total pollutants control[J].Ecological Indicators,2016:446-452.
[14]陈艳萍,周颖.基于水质水量的流域生态补偿标准测算——以黄河流域宁夏回族自治区为例[J].中国农业资源与区划,2016(4):119-126.
[15]Yang G,Huang J,Li J,et al.Study on ecological compensation standard of green water management based on SWAT model[J].水利学报,2016(6):809-815.
[16]Robert N,Stenger A.Can payments solve the problem of undersupply of ecosystem services?[J].Forest Policy & Economics,2013(4):83-91.
[17]王丽,刘通.洞庭湖生态保护补偿研究[J].中国经贸导刊(理论版),2017(35):15-17.
[18]田雅翔,戴宇.流域生态补偿机制绩效评价研究——以湘江为例[J].商,2016(28):104-105.