中国林业产业集聚影响因素作用机制的实证研究——基于空间杜宾模型
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摘要
林业产业集聚有利于林业产业健康快速发展,研究林业发展离不开对林业产业集聚的研究。我国林业产业集聚特征显著,通过区位商、莫兰指数测度,各省林业产业集聚表现出空间相关性特征。依据我国30个省份2005—2016年林业产业统计资料,采用空间杜宾模型进行分析。结果表明:本地和临近地区的已有林业产业基础对林业产业集聚影响显著,劳动力资源条件同样显著,自然资源因素不显著,而交通基础设施因素产生负向显著影响。将SDM模型与OLS、FE、SAR、SEM等模型的结果分别进行对比分析,认为基于SDM模型的结论更加可信,并据此提出了相关建议。
Forestry industrial agglomeration contributed to the healthy and rapid development of forestry industry,and these two aspects linked together. By using LQ and Moran's I,the forestry industry agglomeration of the 30 provinces in China showed spatial correlation. Based on the 2005-2016 Chinese forestry statistical data and the Spatial Durbin Model( SDM),this paper got the following conclusions. Forestry industrial agglomeration of one region was affected by forestry industry former scale of local and neighborhood,it did not only in direction but in degree. The human resource condition had a similar influence. Natural resource factor had no significant impact but transportation infrastructure factor influenced it negatively. This paper analyzed results of the SDM,OLS,FE,SAR and SEM model etc. By contrast with other models,the results of the SDM model were more credible,and thereby suggestions were put forward.
Forestry industrial agglomeration contributed to the healthy and rapid development of forestry industry,and these two aspects linked together. By using LQ and Moran's I,the forestry industry agglomeration of the 30 provinces in China showed spatial correlation. Based on the 2005-2016 Chinese forestry statistical data and the Spatial Durbin Model( SDM),this paper got the following conclusions. Forestry industrial agglomeration of one region was affected by forestry industry former scale of local and neighborhood,it did not only in direction but in degree. The human resource condition had a similar influence. Natural resource factor had no significant impact but transportation infrastructure factor influenced it negatively. This paper analyzed results of the SDM,OLS,FE,SAR and SEM model etc. By contrast with other models,the results of the SDM model were more credible,and thereby suggestions were put forward.
引文
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[28]魏素豪,宗刚.我国林业产业集聚的空间计量分析[J].统计与决策,2017,(8)∶130-133.
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[30]Fujita M. A Monopolistic Competition Model of Spatial Agglomeration:Differentiated Product Approach[J]. Regional Science&Urban Economics,1988,18(1)∶87-124.
[31]Henderson J V. The Sizes and Types of Cities[J]. American Economic Review,1974,64(4)∶640-656.
[2]Fogarty M S,Garofalo G A. Urban Spatial Structure and Productivity Growth in the Manufacturing Sector of Cities[J]. Journal of Urban Economics,1988,23(1)∶60-70.
[3]Ciccone A,Hall R E. Productivity and the Density of Economic Activity[J]. American Economic Review,1996,86(1)∶54-70.
[4]Ottaviano G I P,Pinelli D. Market Potential and Productivity:Evidence from Finnish Regions[J]. Regional Science&Urban Economics,2006,36(5)∶636-657.
[5]Braunerhjelm P,Borgman B. Agglomeration,Diversity and Regional Growth[R]. Working Paper,2006.
[6]PORTER M E. Clusters and the New Economics of Competition[J].Harvard Business Review,1998,76(6)∶77.
[7]王丽丽.中国产业集聚与全要素生产率增长[D].济南:山东大学硕士学位论文,2010.
[8]Krugman P. Increasing Returns and Economic Geography[J]. Journal of Political Economy,1991,99(3)∶483-499.
[9]吕拉昌,魏也华.产业集群理论的争论、困惑与评论[J].人文地理,2007,22(4)∶21-26.
[10]苗长虹,崔立华.产业集聚:地理学与经济学主流观点的对比[J].人文地理,2003,18(3)∶42-46.
[11]朱俏俏,孙慧.资源型产业集聚的动态溢出效应研究[J].工业技术经济,2016,(3)∶36-46.
[12]董景荣,王亚飞,刘冬冬.中国装备制造业产业集聚与技术进步路径选择的关系研究[J].当代经济管理,2017,39(3)∶68-73.
[13]钟昌宝,钱康.长江经济带物流产业集聚及其影响因素研究——基于空间杜宾模型的实证分析[J].华东经济管理,2017,31(5)∶78-86.
[14]纪玉俊,李振洋.地区区位优势、海洋产业集聚与区域海洋经济分异——基于新经济地理学中心—外围模型的研究[J].中国海洋大学学报(社会科学版),2016,(2)∶33-40.
[15]王香花,张伟婷,苏彩平.基于区位熵与集中度的山西省林业产业集群测度[J].林业经济,2015,(10)∶71-73.
[16]王玉芳,江雪.基于区位商法的黑龙江省林业产业集群的测度[J].林业经济问题,2012,32(6)∶498-503.
[17]汪浩.林业产业集聚与经济增长的关系研究[J].统计与决策,2011,(3)∶140-141.
[18]李小平.中国木材加工产业集聚的空间格局演变及影响因素研究[D].北京:北京林业大学硕士学位论文,2013.
[19]赵庆超.中国各省区木材加工及木竹藤棕草制品产业竞争力研究[D].北京:中国林业科学研究院硕士学位论文,2014.
[20]王兆君,刘帅.我国木材加工产业集群演进动力机制实证分析[J].经济问题探索,2014,(4)∶40-45.
[21]洪燕真,戴永务.福建林业产业集群测度实证研究[J].林业经济,2014,(5)∶84-89.
[22]尹剑锋,王兆君.国外林业产业集群研究综述[J].世界林业研究,2013,26(5)∶8-12.
[23]王战男.吉林省林业产业集群效应研究[D].北京:北京林业大学硕士学位论文,2011.
[24]张占贞.东北国有林区林业产业集群生态系统演进与成长研究[D].吉林:东北林业大学硕士学位论文,2011.
[25]Anselin L. Spatial Econometrics:Methods and Models[J]. Economic Geography,1988,65(2)∶160-162.
[26]于斌斌.金融集聚促进了产业结构升级吗:空间溢出的视角——基于中国城市动态空间面板模型的分析[J].国际金融研究,2017,358(2)∶12-23.
[27]张成林,宋维明.中国林业外资利用效率研究——基于省级面板数据的空间模型分析[J].北京林业大学学报(社会科学版),2017,16(2)∶64-70.
[28]魏素豪,宗刚.我国林业产业集聚的空间计量分析[J].统计与决策,2017,(8)∶130-133.
[29]孔凡斌,荀龙巧,廖文梅.林业经济增长理论与实证研究:综述与展望[J].林业经济问题,2013,33(2)∶187-192.
[30]Fujita M. A Monopolistic Competition Model of Spatial Agglomeration:Differentiated Product Approach[J]. Regional Science&Urban Economics,1988,18(1)∶87-124.
[31]Henderson J V. The Sizes and Types of Cities[J]. American Economic Review,1974,64(4)∶640-656.