摘要
基于层次分析法提出了一种配电线路鸟害故障预测模型。在历年的配电系统运维工作中,积累了大量的鸟害故障数据,从浙江某地区2010—2016年10kV配电线路鸟害故障数据出发,统计了配电线路鸟害故障分布规律。通过分析样本中各故障杆塔与地理特征间的距离,利用层次分析法建立了故障预测模型,并对预测结果做了分级与验证。最后对浙江某地区配电线路鸟害防治工作提出方向和建议。
Put forward a faultforecasting model of bird damage based on the analytic hierarchy process(AHP). A large number of bird damage data had been accumulated in the years of power distribution system operation and maintenance work, from a region of Zhejiang 2010—2016 10 kV distribution line bird damage data, statistics on the distribution of bird damage in distribution lines. By analyzing the distance between the towers and the geographic features in the samples, the fault forecasting model is established by using the analytic hierarchy process(AHP), and the prediction results were graded and verified. Finally, put forward preventions and suggestions on the bird damage in the distribution line from a region of Zhejiang.
引文
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