配电线路鸟害故障预测模型研究
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摘要
基于层次分析法提出了一种配电线路鸟害故障预测模型。在历年的配电系统运维工作中,积累了大量的鸟害故障数据,从浙江某地区2010—2016年10kV配电线路鸟害故障数据出发,统计了配电线路鸟害故障分布规律。通过分析样本中各故障杆塔与地理特征间的距离,利用层次分析法建立了故障预测模型,并对预测结果做了分级与验证。最后对浙江某地区配电线路鸟害防治工作提出方向和建议。
Put forward a faultforecasting model of bird damage based on the analytic hierarchy process(AHP). A large number of bird damage data had been accumulated in the years of power distribution system operation and maintenance work, from a region of Zhejiang 2010—2016 10 kV distribution line bird damage data, statistics on the distribution of bird damage in distribution lines. By analyzing the distance between the towers and the geographic features in the samples, the fault forecasting model is established by using the analytic hierarchy process(AHP), and the prediction results were graded and verified. Finally, put forward preventions and suggestions on the bird damage in the distribution line from a region of Zhejiang.
Put forward a faultforecasting model of bird damage based on the analytic hierarchy process(AHP). A large number of bird damage data had been accumulated in the years of power distribution system operation and maintenance work, from a region of Zhejiang 2010—2016 10 kV distribution line bird damage data, statistics on the distribution of bird damage in distribution lines. By analyzing the distance between the towers and the geographic features in the samples, the fault forecasting model is established by using the analytic hierarchy process(AHP), and the prediction results were graded and verified. Finally, put forward preventions and suggestions on the bird damage in the distribution line from a region of Zhejiang.
引文
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[2]田宝林,刘长有.基于区间数层次分析法的机场应急能力评价模型[J].中国安全科学学报,2011,21(3):170-176.
[3]王少华,叶自强.架空输电线路鸟害故障及其防治技术措施[J].高压电器,2011,47(2):61-67.
[4]王峰,黄福勇,曾昊,等.湖南省输电线路鸟害障碍分析及防治[J].高压电器,2011,47(10):97-101,105.
[5]杨晶,王文勇.层次分析法在自然保护区生态评价中的应用[J].工业安全与环保,2007,33(5):27-29.
[6]刘洁.渤海海域海上石油平台溢油污染等级评估方法研究[D].青岛:中国海洋大学,2010.
[7]李俊防.复合绝缘子防鸟害关键因素分析及防范措施[J].电气技术,2015,16(11):125-127,131.
[8]耿志伟,薛伟.基于可拓层次分析法的东北林区贮木场火险等级评价研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2013,9(10):103-108.
[9]钱卫良,魏峰,张龙超.10k V配电网鸟害情况分析与应对[J].湖州师范学院学报,2015,37(12):145-147.
[10]李秋平.关于20k V线路裸导线运行的防鸟害研究[J].电气技术,2016,17(8):136-139.
[11]巢亚锋,徐志强,岳一石,等.湖南输电线路鸟害故障特征分析及防范措施[J].高电压技术,2016,42(12):3853-3860.
[12]刘笑园.长兴县10k V配电线路鸟害引起跳闸的原因分析及防范措施[J].上海电力学院学报,2014,30(S1):113-114,126.