摘要
为了提高日光温室黄瓜果实生长的预测能力,根据温室黄瓜果实生长指标对温室小气候因子的响应,分析了温室黄瓜果实生长天数与温室小气候因子的关系,建立了基于多项温室小气候因子的黄瓜果实体积增量预测模型;并用独立的试验数据进行了预测检验。结果表明:同一棵植株不同时间段黄瓜发育所需天数的变异系数相对较大,最小值为37.3%,最大值为48.1%;同一时间段,不同植株之间黄瓜果实生长天数差异很小。综合分析相关性和独立性,选取同期11~34℃日有效积温及1 d前的气温日较差和日平均相对湿度为黄瓜果实体积增量的预测因子,据此建立的模型对温室黄瓜果实体积增量独立数据的预测值与实测值的符合度较好,相对误差为29.06%,决定系数为0.78,且具有较好的可移植性。上述模型可用于日光温室黄瓜生长和产量的分析预测。
In order to improve the prediction ability sunken sunlight greenhouse cucumber fruit growth,greenhouse cucumber fruit growth indicators response to the micro-climatic factors,to establish greenhouse cucumber fruit growth day number and small climatic factors of the relationship between model and the analysis,established based on a number of small climate factor cucumber fruit volume increment prediction model,and the independent test data prediction test. The results showed that: the coefficient of variation of the same plant in different periods of cucumber growth of days required is relatively large,the minimum value is 37. 3%,the maximum value is 48. 1%;the comprehensive and independent correlation analysis,selects the 11 ~ 34 ℃ effective accumulated temperature the same day,daily range of air temperature and daily average relative humidity both 1d ago as predictors of cucumber fruit volume increment,pursuant to which the model of greenhouse cucumber fruit volume increment predicted and measured values of the independent data fit better,relative error of 29. 06%,and the coefficient of determination was 0. 78,and has good portability. For the sunken greenhouse cucumber in the analysis and prediction of growth and yield model can be used.
引文
1 倪纪恒,陈学好,陈春宏,等.用辐热积法模拟温室黄瓜果实生长.农业工程学报,2009,25(5):192—196
2 Marcelis L F M.A simulation model for dry matter partitioning in cucumber.Annals of botany,1994;74:43—52
3 Marcelis L F M.Fruit growth and biomass allocation to the fruits in cucumber:1.Effect of fruit load and temperature.Scientia Horticulturae,1993;54:107—121
4 Marcelis L F M.Fruit growth and biomass allocation to the fruits in cucumber:2.Effect of irradiance.Scientia Horticulturae,1993;54:123 —130
5 王若青,林维申.黄瓜结果期不同叶位功能叶与果实的源库关系.园艺学报,1991;18(8):239—244
6 Marcelis L F M,Gijzen H.Evaluation under commercial conditions of a model of prediction of yield and quality of cucumber fruits.Scientia Horticulturae,1998;76:171—181
7 杨秋珍,李军.自控温室黄瓜茎蔓、叶片生长与有效积温关系的研究.生态农业研究,2000;8(4):4—6
8 杨秋珍,李军,李育民.自控温室黄瓜果长及果径增长与气象因子关系的研究.生态学研究,2000;8(4):7—10
9 谢祝捷,陈春宏,赵京音.自控温室黄瓜生长发育动态及基于有效积温的发育模型研究.上海农业学报,2007;23(2):46—49
10 张显真,杨晓峰.温室水果黄瓜叶片生长规律研究.气象与减灾研究,2008;31(3):43—47
11 李永秀,罗卫红,倪纪恒,等.用辐热积法模拟温室黄瓜叶面积、光合速率与干物质产量.农业工程学报,2005;21(12):131 —136
12 李永秀,罗卫红,倪继恒,等.温室黄瓜干物质分配与产量预测模拟模型初步研究.农业工程学报,2006;22(2):116—121
13 马万征,毛罕平,倪纪恒.不同果实负载下温室黄瓜干物质分配的模拟.农业工程学报,2010;26(10):259—263
14 明村豪,蒋芳玲,王广龙,等.黄瓜壮苗指标与辐热积关系的模拟模型.农业工程学报,2012;28(9):109—113
15 孙忠富,陈晴,王迎春.不同光照条件下温室黄瓜干物质生产模拟与试验研究.农业工程学报,2005;21(S):50—52
16 王倩,张海涛,刘旭,等.下沉式日光温室内温光环境分析.中国农业气象,2013;34(01):37—42
17 于军辉,董绪兵,魏家鹏,等.山东寿光半地下式日光温室主要生态因子变化特征.中国蔬菜,2011;(10):28—34
18 李化龙,陈端生,杨合法.日光温室黄瓜叶片和果实相关参数的模拟.中国农业大学学报,2003;8(S1):76—79
19 魏瑞江.日光温室黄瓜低温寡照灾害预警技术研究.兰州:兰州大学,2010
20 李倩,申双和,曹雯,等.南方塑料大棚冬春季温湿度的神经网络模拟.中国农业气象,2012;33(2):190—196
21 胥雪炎,李补喜.不同被解释变量选择对决定系数R2的影响研究.太原科技大学学报,2007;28(5):363—365
22 魏瑞江,王春乙,范增禄.石家庄地区日光温室冬季小气候特征及其与大气候的关系.气象,2010;36(1):97—102