装备体系结构脆性及其评价方法
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摘要
为了表征多元环境下装备体系在遭受自身或外部干扰和破坏后的抵抗能力,根据装备体系结构网络化的特点,在对其组成系统进行集对分析的基础上,对装备体系结构的脆性进行评价分析。该方法首先讨论了装备体系结构脆性及其传递机理,然后通过引入信息熵的概念来定量地评估了装备体系结构的脆性,用以衡量在危机因素发生时装备体系结构发生崩溃的不确定程度。最后,以舰载机保障体系为例,证明该脆性评价方法对于装备体系的设计具有一定的意义。
In order to reflect the ability to resist disruptions of the equipment System-of-Systems(SoS), which is always under multiple conditions, after the influence of both intra and extra disruptive events, according to the characteristics of networked equipment SoS architecture, an effective brittleness evaluation method was proposed on the basis of set pair analysis. In the method, brittleness of equipment SoS architecture and its trigger mechanism were discussed firstly, then, brittle entropy was introduced to evaluate the brittleness of equipment SoS architecture, so as to measure the degree of uncertainty whether the system fail when risk factors occurred. Finally, taking brittleness evaluation of aircraft support SoS architecture as an example, application of the method is meaningful for design of equipment SoS.
In order to reflect the ability to resist disruptions of the equipment System-of-Systems(SoS), which is always under multiple conditions, after the influence of both intra and extra disruptive events, according to the characteristics of networked equipment SoS architecture, an effective brittleness evaluation method was proposed on the basis of set pair analysis. In the method, brittleness of equipment SoS architecture and its trigger mechanism were discussed firstly, then, brittle entropy was introduced to evaluate the brittleness of equipment SoS architecture, so as to measure the degree of uncertainty whether the system fail when risk factors occurred. Finally, taking brittleness evaluation of aircraft support SoS architecture as an example, application of the method is meaningful for design of equipment SoS.
引文
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[14]Lv Haitao,Yin Chao,Cui Zongmin,et al.Risk assessment of security systems based on entropy theory and the Neyman Pearson criterion[J].Reliability Engineering and System Safety,2015,142(CSA):68-77
[2]潘星,蒋卓,杨艳京.基于弹性的体系组件重要度及恢复策[J].北京航空航天大学学报,2017,43(09):1713-1720.Pan Xing,Jiang Zhuo,Yang Yanjing.Resilience-based component importance and recovery strategy for system-ofsystems[J].Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,2017,43(09):1713-1720.(in Chinese)
[3]Liu Hu,Tian Yongliang,Gao Yuan,et al.System of systems oriented flight vehicle conceptual design:Perspectives and progresses[J].Chinese Journal of Aeronautics,2015,28(3):617-635.
[4]游光荣,初军田,吕少卿,等.关于武器装备体系研究[J].军事运筹与系统工程,2010,24(04):15-22.You Guangrong,Chu Juntian,Lv Shaoqin,et al.Research on weapon and equipment system of system[J].Military Operations Research and Systems Engineering,2010,24(04):15-22.(in Chinese)
[5]Delaurentis D,Robert C.A system of systems perspective for public policy decisions[J].Review of Policy Research,2004,21(6):829-837.
[6]Anjel T.Modeling and simulation of systems of systems:a survey[J].Cybernetics and Information Technologies,2013,13(2):3-36.
[7]孟超,张强,焦楷哲.基于元胞自动机的某装备供电系统脆性建模[J].科学技术与工程,2014,14(03):159-165.Meng Chao,Zhang Qiang,Jiao Kaizhe.Model construction of brittleness of power supply system based on cellular automata[J].Science Technology and Engineering,2014,14(03):159-165.(in Chinese)
[8]Wang Yuzhe,Zhou Lin,Wang Yi,et al.Brittleness of air defense equipment support command system[J].Complex Systems and Complexity Science,2013,10(4):41-48.
[9]Mosleh M,Ludlow P,Heydari B.Distributed resource management in systems of systems:an architecture perspective[J].Systems Engineering,2016,19(4):362-374.
[10]Liu Jian,Zhang Genbao,Li Dongying,et al.Reliability analysis for multi-state manufacturing system based on brittleness theory[J].Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems,2014,20(1):155-164.
[11]张华一,张晶晶.基于脆性风险熵的电力系统连锁故障预测[J].电力系统及其自动化学报,2015,27(4):39-43.Zhang Huayi,Zhang Jingjing.Brittle risk entropy based model for forcasting power system cascading failures[J].Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA,2015,27(4):39-43.(in Chinese)
[12]舒宇,谭跃进,李菊芳.武器装备体系结构描述方法研究[J]系统工程与电子技术,2008,30(9):1704-1707.Shu Yu,Tan Yuejin,Li Jufang.Study on an architecture description method of weapon equipment systems[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2008,30(9):1704-1707.(in Chinese)
[13]Liu Chunfeng,Zhang Liang,Yang Aimin,et al.The evaluation model of international science and technology cooperation based on set pair analysis[J].Journal of Interdisciplinary Mathematics,2014,17(1):95-108.
[14]Lv Haitao,Yin Chao,Cui Zongmin,et al.Risk assessment of security systems based on entropy theory and the Neyman Pearson criterion[J].Reliability Engineering and System Safety,2015,142(CSA):68-77