基于LMDI分解模型的技术融合驱动因素研究
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摘要
从技术角度选取技术广度、技术融合深度、技术规模和技术交叉融合强度4个驱动因素,采用Kaya恒等式和LMDI分解模型对技术融合度驱动因素进行分析。以工程领域BIM技术为实证对象,得到如下结论:技术广度对于技术融合度的驱动程度最大;技术广度、技术融合深度、技术规模3项为正向驱动,而技术融合交叉强度为双向驱动;在驱动因素作用下,BIM专利在2012年前后发生了较大变化——通过CiteSpace软件对专利进行可视化分析验证,结果具有一致性,证明了该研究框架的可行性。
This paper selects four drivers of technology breadth,technology integration depth,technology scale and technology cross-integration strength from the technical point of view,and analyzes the drivers of technology integration degree by Kaya identity and LMDI decomposition model.Taking the field of BIM in construction as an example,the following conclusions are drawn:the breadth of technology is the most driven to the degree of technology convergence;the breadth of technology,the depth of technology integration and the scale of technology are both positive and the strength of technology integration is bidirectional;Driven by the driving forces,the BIM patent has undergone major changes around 2012 – then patents are visualized by CiteSpace software and the results are consistent with above conclusion,which proves the feasibility of the research framework.
This paper selects four drivers of technology breadth,technology integration depth,technology scale and technology cross-integration strength from the technical point of view,and analyzes the drivers of technology integration degree by Kaya identity and LMDI decomposition model.Taking the field of BIM in construction as an example,the following conclusions are drawn:the breadth of technology is the most driven to the degree of technology convergence;the breadth of technology,the depth of technology integration and the scale of technology are both positive and the strength of technology integration is bidirectional;Driven by the driving forces,the BIM patent has undergone major changes around 2012 – then patents are visualized by CiteSpace software and the results are consistent with above conclusion,which proves the feasibility of the research framework.
引文
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[32]何清华,杨德磊,郑弦.国外建筑信息模型应用理论与实践现状综述[J].科技管理研究,2015(3):136-141.
[33]LI X,WU P,SHEN G Q,et al.Mapping the knowledge domains of Building Information Modeling(BIM):a bibliometric approach[J].Automation in Construction,2017,84:195-206.
[34]RAFOLS I,MEYER M.Diversity and network coherence as indicators of interdisciplinarity:case studies in bionanoscience[J].Scientometrics,2009,82(2):263-287.
[35]黄鲁成,郭彦丽,吴菲菲,等.新兴技术跨领域评价方法研究---以3D打印技术为例[J].中国科技论坛,2015(5):42-47.
[2]STONE T,BOLLARD K,HARBOR J M.Launching interdisciplinary programs as college signature areas:an example[J].Innovative Higher Education,2009,34(5).
[3]HACKLIN F,WALLIN M W.Convergence and interdisciplinarity in innovation management:a review,critique,and future directions[J].Service Industries Journal,2013,33(7-8):774-788.
[4]NORDMANN A,BRULAND K,BIBEL W,et al.Converging technologies-shaping the future of european societies[R].Interim Report of the Scenarios Group,2004.
[5]HACKLIN F.Management of convergence in innovation:strategies and capabilities for value creation beyond blurring industry boundaries[M].Physica-Verlag GmbH,2010.
[6]ROHBECK J,SCHTZ H,WIEDEMANN P M ROCOMC,et al.Con-verging technologies for improving human per-formance.national science foundation.Arlington,Virginia[J].Metaphilosophy,2002.
[7]ATHREYE S,KEEBLE D.Technological convergence,globalisation and ownership in the UK computer industry[J].Technovation,2000,20(5):227-245.
[8]KARVONEN M,LEHTOVAARA M.Build-up of understanding of technological convergence evidence from printed intelligence industry[J].International Journal of Innovation&Technology Management,2012,9(03):26-208.
[9]BORS C,SAURINA C,TORRES R.Technological convergence:a strategic perspective[J].Technovation,2003,23(1):1-13.
[10]CURRAN C S.The anticipation of converging industries[M].Springer London,2013:63-125.
[11]PRESCHITSCHEK N,CURRAN C S,LEKER J.The importance of access to resources in a setting of industry convergence:The case of agriculture and chemistry[C].2011.
[12]扈春香.技术融合各影响因素的相互关系[J].科技管理研究,2011(5)(31):23-26.
[13]JEONG S,LEE S.What drives technology convergence?exploring the influence of technological and resource allocation contexts[J].Journal of Engineering and Technology Management,2015,36:78-96.
[14]B W.Research proposal:industry convergence-driving forces,factors and consequences[J].Nordic Academy of Management,2007.
[15]DUYSTERS G,HAGEDOORN J.Technological convergence in the it industry:the role of strategic technology alliances and technological competencies[J].International Journal of the Economics of Business,1998,5(3):355-368.
[16]MORILLO F,BORDONS M,GMEZ I.Interdisciplinarity in science:a tentative typology of disciplines and research areas[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science&Technology,2003,54(13):1237-1249.
[17]李姝影,方曙.测度技术融合与趋势的数据分析方法研究进展[J].数据分析与知识发现,2017(7):2-12.
[18]ERNST H.Patent information for strategic technology management[J].World Patent Information,2003,25(3):233-242.
[19]LEE S,KIM M S.Inter-technology networks to support innovation strategy:an analysis of Korea's new growth engines[J].Innovation,2010,12(1):88-104.
[20]CAVIGGIOLI F.Technology fusion:identification and analysis of the drivers of technology convergence using patent data[J].Technovation,2016,55-56:22-32.
[21]MAHONY T O.Decomposition of Ireland's carbon emissions from 1990to 2010:an extended Kaya identity[J].Energy Policy,2013,59:573-581.
[22]KAYA Y.Impact of carbon dioxide emission on GNPgrowth:interpretation of proposed scenarios[R].Paris,1990.
[23]ANG B W,ZHANG F Q,CHOI K H.Factorizing changes in energy and environmental indicators through decomposition[J].Energy,1998,23(6):489-495.
[24]ANG B W,LIU N.Handling zero values in the logarithmic mean Divisia index decomposition approach[J].Energy Policy,2007,35(1):238-246.
[25]赵志耘,杨朝峰.中国碳排放驱动因素分解分析[J].中国软科学,2012(6):175-183.
[26]孙才志,徐婷,王恩辰.基于LMDI模型的中国海洋产业就业变化驱动效应测度与机理分析[J].经济地理,2013(7):115-120.
[27]罗剑,牟绍波,杨贵中.基于LMDIⅠ的我国建筑业动态竞争力实证研究[J].宏观经济研究,2017(8):175-181.
[28]辛冲冲,陈志勇.我国财政支农支出与农业经济增长---基于LMDI分解法的研究[J].上海经济研究,2017(3):78-86.
[29]LEYDESDORFF L.Patent classifications as indicators of intellectual organization[J].Journal of the American Society for Information Science&Technology,2008,59(10):1582-1597.
[30]苗红,宋昱晓,黄鲁成.基于知识流动网络评价的技术融合趋势研究[J].科技进步与对策,2018,35(6):131-139.
[31]北京绿色建筑产业联盟.BIM技术概论[M].北京:中国建筑工业出版社,2016.
[32]何清华,杨德磊,郑弦.国外建筑信息模型应用理论与实践现状综述[J].科技管理研究,2015(3):136-141.
[33]LI X,WU P,SHEN G Q,et al.Mapping the knowledge domains of Building Information Modeling(BIM):a bibliometric approach[J].Automation in Construction,2017,84:195-206.
[34]RAFOLS I,MEYER M.Diversity and network coherence as indicators of interdisciplinarity:case studies in bionanoscience[J].Scientometrics,2009,82(2):263-287.
[35]黄鲁成,郭彦丽,吴菲菲,等.新兴技术跨领域评价方法研究---以3D打印技术为例[J].中国科技论坛,2015(5):42-47.