马铃薯病虫害发生规律认知水平影响因素分析——基于甘肃省362位马铃薯种植户的调查数据
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摘要
[目的]种植户作为病虫害防治的主体,对病虫害发生规律的认知程度关系病虫害是否能得到有效防控。在大力推进农村教育和适度规模经营的背景下,研究我国马铃薯种植户的受教育程度与种植规模对病虫害发生规律认知的影响有重要的现实意义。[方法]基于甘肃省马铃薯之乡——定西市3县24村的362位马铃薯种植户问卷调查数据,通过多元有序Probit模型对农户都不了解病害和虫害发生规律、仅了解病害或虫害发生规律、都了解病害和虫害发生规律等3种认知情况进行分析。[结果]受教育程度和种植规模均对种植户的病虫害发生规律认知产生正向显著的影响,与种植规模相比,受教育程度更明显地促进种植户对病虫害发生规律的认知。[结论]提高种植户的教育文化水平以及推动马铃薯适度规模化种植可能是提高对病虫害发生规律认知的有效途径。
Potato farmers are the main body of preventing and controlling plant diseases and insect pests and whether farmers carried out effective preventing and controlling diseases and insect pests depends seemingly on their cognition of plant diseases and insect pests occurrence rules. In the context of vigorously promoting rural education and appropriate scale operation,it is important and practical significance to investigate the influence of potato farmers' education level and farm size on their cognition of disease and insect pests occurrence rules. We studied farmers' neither disease and insect occurrence rules known,either disease and insect occurrence rules known and both disease and insect occurrence rules known and their influence factors via multiple ordered Probit model using a cross sectional sample of 362 Chinese potato farmers from 24 villages of three counties in Dingxi city,which is the potato town in Gansu province. We arrived at the conclusions that farmers' education level and their farm size revealed positive significant impacts on farmers' cognition of plant diseases and insect pests occurrence rules. Compared with the farmers' farm size,their education level was more likely to improve their cognition of plant diseases and insect pests occurrence rules. Therefore,it may be effective ways to increase farmers' education level and promote their appropriate farm size to raise farmers' cognition of plant diseases and insect pests occurrence rules.
Potato farmers are the main body of preventing and controlling plant diseases and insect pests and whether farmers carried out effective preventing and controlling diseases and insect pests depends seemingly on their cognition of plant diseases and insect pests occurrence rules. In the context of vigorously promoting rural education and appropriate scale operation,it is important and practical significance to investigate the influence of potato farmers' education level and farm size on their cognition of disease and insect pests occurrence rules. We studied farmers' neither disease and insect occurrence rules known,either disease and insect occurrence rules known and both disease and insect occurrence rules known and their influence factors via multiple ordered Probit model using a cross sectional sample of 362 Chinese potato farmers from 24 villages of three counties in Dingxi city,which is the potato town in Gansu province. We arrived at the conclusions that farmers' education level and their farm size revealed positive significant impacts on farmers' cognition of plant diseases and insect pests occurrence rules. Compared with the farmers' farm size,their education level was more likely to improve their cognition of plant diseases and insect pests occurrence rules. Therefore,it may be effective ways to increase farmers' education level and promote their appropriate farm size to raise farmers' cognition of plant diseases and insect pests occurrence rules.
引文
[1]卢肖平.马铃薯主粮化战略的意义、瓶颈与政策建议.华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2015(3):1-7.
[2]孙华,何茂萍,胡明成.全球变化背景下气候变暖对中国农业生产的影响.中国农业资源与区划,2015,36(7):51-57.
[3]黄冲,刘万才.近年我国马铃薯病虫害发生特点与监控对策.中国植保导刊,2016,36(6):48-52,29.
[4]于铁山.食品安全风险认知影响因素的实证研究———基于对武汉市食品安全风险认知调查.华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2015(6):101-108.
[5]张云熙,王献霞.农民对食品安全的风险认知及影响因素分析———基于云南2个村庄140户农户的调查.现代食品,2016(1):9-14.
[6] Duinen R,Filatova T,Geurts P,et al. Empirical analysis of farmers’drought risk perception:objective factors,personal circumstances,and social influence. Risk Analysis,2015,35(4):741-755.
[7]玛衣拉·吐尔逊,阿斯亚·托乎提,甫祺娜依·尤力瓦斯.棉区农户过量施肥风险认知的影响因素分析———基于新疆446个棉农的问卷调查.中国农业资源与区划,2016,37(4):38-42.
[8]叶明华,汪荣明,吴苹.风险认知、保险意识与农户的风险承担能力———基于苏、皖、川3省1554户农户的问卷调查.中国农村观察,2014(6):37-48.
[9]周萍入,齐振宏.消费者对转基因食品健康风险与生态风险认知实证研究.华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2012(1):5-10.
[10]肖娥芳.农户家庭农场经营风险认知状况及其影响因素研究.商业研究,2017(3):175-182.
[11]乔立娟.蔬菜产业生产经营主体风险管理研究.保定:河北农业大学,2014.
[12] Hou L,Huang J,Wang J. Farmers'perceptions of climate change in China:The influence of social networks and farm assets. Climate Reserach,2015(63):191-201.
[13]李楠楠,李同昇,于正松,等.基于Logistic-ISM模型的农户采用新技术影响因素———以甘肃省定西市马铃薯种植技术为例.地理科学进展,2014,33(4):542-551.
[14]夏莲,石晓平,冯淑怡,等.农业产业化背景下农户水资源利用效率影响因素分析———基于甘肃省民乐县的实证分析.中国人口资源与环境,2013,23(12):111-118.
[15]夏莲,石晓平,冯淑怡,等.涉农企业介入对农户参与小型农田水利设施投资的影响分析———以甘肃省民乐研究为例.南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2013,13(4):54-61.
[16] Peter J B. Factors influencing a potato farmer's choice of seed supplier:empirical evidence from the Philippines. Journal of International Food and Agribusiness Marketing,2001,12(2):71-91.
[17] Aitchison J,Silvey SD. The generalization of probit analysis to the case of multiple responses. Biometrika,1957(44):131-140.
[18]胡博,刘荣,丁维岱,等. Stata统计分析与应用.北京:电子工业出版社,2014. 228.
[2]孙华,何茂萍,胡明成.全球变化背景下气候变暖对中国农业生产的影响.中国农业资源与区划,2015,36(7):51-57.
[3]黄冲,刘万才.近年我国马铃薯病虫害发生特点与监控对策.中国植保导刊,2016,36(6):48-52,29.
[4]于铁山.食品安全风险认知影响因素的实证研究———基于对武汉市食品安全风险认知调查.华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2015(6):101-108.
[5]张云熙,王献霞.农民对食品安全的风险认知及影响因素分析———基于云南2个村庄140户农户的调查.现代食品,2016(1):9-14.
[6] Duinen R,Filatova T,Geurts P,et al. Empirical analysis of farmers’drought risk perception:objective factors,personal circumstances,and social influence. Risk Analysis,2015,35(4):741-755.
[7]玛衣拉·吐尔逊,阿斯亚·托乎提,甫祺娜依·尤力瓦斯.棉区农户过量施肥风险认知的影响因素分析———基于新疆446个棉农的问卷调查.中国农业资源与区划,2016,37(4):38-42.
[8]叶明华,汪荣明,吴苹.风险认知、保险意识与农户的风险承担能力———基于苏、皖、川3省1554户农户的问卷调查.中国农村观察,2014(6):37-48.
[9]周萍入,齐振宏.消费者对转基因食品健康风险与生态风险认知实证研究.华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2012(1):5-10.
[10]肖娥芳.农户家庭农场经营风险认知状况及其影响因素研究.商业研究,2017(3):175-182.
[11]乔立娟.蔬菜产业生产经营主体风险管理研究.保定:河北农业大学,2014.
[12] Hou L,Huang J,Wang J. Farmers'perceptions of climate change in China:The influence of social networks and farm assets. Climate Reserach,2015(63):191-201.
[13]李楠楠,李同昇,于正松,等.基于Logistic-ISM模型的农户采用新技术影响因素———以甘肃省定西市马铃薯种植技术为例.地理科学进展,2014,33(4):542-551.
[14]夏莲,石晓平,冯淑怡,等.农业产业化背景下农户水资源利用效率影响因素分析———基于甘肃省民乐县的实证分析.中国人口资源与环境,2013,23(12):111-118.
[15]夏莲,石晓平,冯淑怡,等.涉农企业介入对农户参与小型农田水利设施投资的影响分析———以甘肃省民乐研究为例.南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2013,13(4):54-61.
[16] Peter J B. Factors influencing a potato farmer's choice of seed supplier:empirical evidence from the Philippines. Journal of International Food and Agribusiness Marketing,2001,12(2):71-91.
[17] Aitchison J,Silvey SD. The generalization of probit analysis to the case of multiple responses. Biometrika,1957(44):131-140.
[18]胡博,刘荣,丁维岱,等. Stata统计分析与应用.北京:电子工业出版社,2014. 228.