Seismic vulnerability assessment of urban buildings and traffic networks using fuzzy ordered weighted average
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摘要
Urban buildings and urban traffic network are considered as the vital arteries of cities which have particular effects especially after the crisis in the search and rescue operations. The aim of this study is to determine the vulnerability of urban areas especially, buildings and traffic networks using multicriteria geographic information systems and decisionmaking methods. As there are many effective criteria on the seismic vulnerability that they have uncertain and vague properties, the method of this paper is applying fuzzy ordered weighted average(OWA) to model the seismic vulnerability of urban buildings and traffic networks in the most optimistic and pessimistic states. The study area is district 6 of Tehran that is affected by the four major faults, and thus will be threatened by the earthquakes. The achieved results illustrated the vulnerability with different degrees of risk levels including very high, high, medium, low and very low. The results show that in the most optimistic case 14% and in the pessimistic case 1% of buildings tolerate in very low vulnerability. The vulnerability of urban street network also indicates that in the optimistic case 12% and in the pessimistic case at most 9% of the area are in appropriate condition and the North and NorthEast of the study area are more vulnerable than South of it.
Urban buildings and urban traffic network are considered as the vital arteries of cities which have particular effects especially after the crisis in the search and rescue operations. The aim of this study is to determine the vulnerability of urban areas especially, buildings and traffic networks using multicriteria geographic information systems and decisionmaking methods. As there are many effective criteria on the seismic vulnerability that they have uncertain and vague properties, the method of this paper is applying fuzzy ordered weighted average(OWA) to model the seismic vulnerability of urban buildings and traffic networks in the most optimistic and pessimistic states. The study area is district 6 of Tehran that is affected by the four major faults, and thus will be threatened by the earthquakes. The achieved results illustrated the vulnerability with different degrees of risk levels including very high, high, medium, low and very low. The results show that in the most optimistic case 14% and in the pessimistic case 1% of buildings tolerate in very low vulnerability. The vulnerability of urban street network also indicates that in the optimistic case 12% and in the pessimistic case at most 9% of the area are in appropriate condition and the North and NorthEast of the study area are more vulnerable than South of it.
Urban buildings and urban traffic network are considered as the vital arteries of cities which have particular effects especially after the crisis in the search and rescue operations. The aim of this study is to determine the vulnerability of urban areas especially, buildings and traffic networks using multicriteria geographic information systems and decisionmaking methods. As there are many effective criteria on the seismic vulnerability that they have uncertain and vague properties, the method of this paper is applying fuzzy ordered weighted average(OWA) to model the seismic vulnerability of urban buildings and traffic networks in the most optimistic and pessimistic states. The study area is district 6 of Tehran that is affected by the four major faults, and thus will be threatened by the earthquakes. The achieved results illustrated the vulnerability with different degrees of risk levels including very high, high, medium, low and very low. The results show that in the most optimistic case 14% and in the pessimistic case 1% of buildings tolerate in very low vulnerability. The vulnerability of urban street network also indicates that in the optimistic case 12% and in the pessimistic case at most 9% of the area are in appropriate condition and the North and NorthEast of the study area are more vulnerable than South of it.
引文
Avaz A,Jafari N(2006)Evaluation of Capabilities and Constraints of Educational Hospitals of Zanjan University of Medical Sciences in crisis management(Planning,Instrumentation,and Neutralization)National Conference on Crisis Management Advice on Accidental Disasters
Alexander D(2002)Principles of emergency planning and management.New York:Oxford University Press.
Amiri AR,Delavar MR,Zahrai SM,et al.(2007)Tehran seismic vulnerability assessment using Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence.Proc.map Asia conference,Kuala Lumpur,Malaysia,August 14-16.
Aghataher R,Delavar MR,Kamalian N(2005)Weighing of contributing factors in vulnerability of cities against earthquakes.Proc.map Asia conference,Jakarta,Indonesia,pp 22-25.
Alinia HS,Delavar MR(2011)Tehran?s seismic vulnerability classification using granular computing approach.Applied Geomatics 3:229-240.https://doi.org/10.1007/s12518-011-0068-7
Bahadori H,Hasheminezhad A,Karimi A(2017)Development of an integrated model for seismic vulnerability assessment of residential buildings:Application to Mahabad City,Iran.Journal of Building Engineering,(12):118-131.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2017.05.014
Banica A,Rosu L,Muntele I,et al.(2017)Towards Urban Resilience:A Multi-Criteria Analysis of Seismic Vulnerability in Iasi City(Romania).Sustainability 9(2):270.https://doi.org/10.3390/su9020270
Boroushaki S,Malczewski J(2008)Implementing an extension of the analytical hierarchy process using ordered weighted averaging operators with fuzzy quantifiers in ArcGIS.Computers&Geosciences 34(4):399-410.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2007.04.003
Boukri M,Naboussi Farsia M,Mebarkib A(2018)Seismic vulnerability assessment at urban scale:Case of Algerian buildings.International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 31:555-575.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.06.014
Coburn A,Spence R(2002)Earthquake protection,2nd edn.Wiley&Sons,Chichester.https://doi.org/10.1002/0470855185
Delavar MR,Bahrami M,Zare M(2017)Physical seismic vulnerability assessment of tehran using the integration of granular computing and interval dempster-shafer.The International Archives of the Photogrammetry,Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences,Volume XLII-2/W7,18-22.Wuhan,China.
Goda K,Hong HP(2008)Spatial correlation of peak ground motions and response spectra.Bulletin of Seismological Society of America 98(1):354-365.https://doi.org/10.1785/0120070078
Gueguen P(2013)Seismic Vulnerability of Structures.John Wiley&Sons,Inc.
Khamespanah,F,Delavar M,Zare M(2013)Uncertainty management in seismic vulnerability assessment using granular computing based on covering of universe.ISPRS-International Archives of the Photogrammetry,Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences 1(1),pp.121-126.
Guettiche A,Gueguen P,Mimoune M(2017)Seismic vulnerability assessment using Association Rule LearningApplication to the city of Constantine,Algeria.Natural Hazard.https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2739-5
Guettiche A,Mimoune M(2014)Analysis of Seismic Vulnerability-Case of Buildings of High Seismic Hazard",Advanced Materials Research 875-877:416-422.https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.875-877.416
Karapetrou S,Fotopoulou SD,Pitilakis KD(2017)Seismic Vulnerability of RC Buildings under the Effect of Aging International Conference on Sustainable Synergies from Buildings to the Urban Scale,SBE16 Procedia Environmental Sciences 38:461-468.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proenv.2017.03.137
Karapetrou S,Manakou M,Bindi D(2016)Time-building specific??seismic vulnerability assessment of a hospital RC building using field monitoring data.Engineering Structures 112:114-132.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2016.01.009
Lantada N,Pujades LG,Barbat AH(2009)Vulnerability index and capacity spectrum based methods for urban seismic risk evaluation.A comparison.Natural Hazards 51(3):501.https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-007-9212-4
Lang K(2002)Seismic vulnerability of existing buildings.PhDthesis.Institute of Structural Engineering,Zu¨rich,Switzerland,Swiss Federal Institute of Technology,February2002.https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-004333389
Lumantarna E,Lam N,Tsang HH,et al.(2014)Review of Methodologies for Seismic Vulnerability Assessment of Buildings.Australian Earthquake Engineering Society 2014Conference,Nov.pp.21-23.
Malczewski J(1999)GIS and multicriteria decision analysis:John Wiley&Sons.
Malczewski J(2006a)GIS-based multicriteria decision analysis:a survey of the literature.International journal of geographical information science 20(7):703-726.https://doi.org/10.1080/13658810600661508
Malczewski J(2006b)Ordered weighted averaging with fuzzy quantifiers:GIS-based multicriteria evaluation for land-use suitability analysis.International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 8(4):270-277.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2006.01.003
Malczewski J,Chapman T,Flegel C,et al.(2003)GIS-multicriteria evaluation with ordered weighted averaging(OWA):case study of developing watershed management strategies.Environment and Planning A 35(10):1769-1784.
Mouroux P,Bertrand E,Bour M(2004)The European risk-ue project:an advanced approach to earthquake risk scenarios.13th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering Vancouver,B.C.,Canada,August 1-6.
Newman JP,Maier HR,Riddell GA,et al.(2017)Review of literature on decision support systems for natural hazard risk reduction:Current status and future research directions.Environmental Modelling&Software 96:378-409.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.06.042
Pitilakis K(2013)Methodology for systemic seismic vulnerability assessment of buildings,infrastructures,networks and socio-economic impacts,SYNER-G Reference Report 1,Joint Research Centre.
Rahman N,Ansary MA,Islam I(2015)GIS based mapping of vulnerability to earthquake and fire hazard in Dhaka city,Bangladesh.International journal of disaster risk reduction 13:291-300.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.07.003
Riedel I,Gueguen P,Dalla Mura M,et al.(2015)Seismic vulnerability assessment of urban environments in moderate-to-low seismic hazard regions using association rule learning and support vector machine methods.Natural hazards 76(2):1111-1141.
Rezaie F,Panahi M(2015)GIS modeling of seismic vulnerability of residential fabrics considering geotechnical,structural,social and physical distance indicators in Tehran using multi-criteria decision-making techniques.Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 15(3):461-474.https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-461-2015
Riedel I,Gueguen P,Dunand F,et al.(2014)Macroscale vulnerability assessment of cities using association rule learning.Seismological Research Letters,85(2),295-305.https://doi.org/10.1785/0220130148
Saaty T(1994)Fundamentals of Decision Making and Priority Theory with the Analytic Hierarchy Process.Pittsburgh:RWS.ISBN 0-9620317-6-3.
Sandi H,Pomonis A,Francis S,et al.(2007)Seismic vulnerability assessment,Methodological elements and applications to the case of Romania.International Symposium on Strong.Vrancea Earthquakes and Risk Mitigation.4-6.https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/25724
Sheikhian H,Delavar MR,Stein A(2015)Integrated estimation of seismic physical vulnerability of Tehran using rule based granular computing.The International Archives of Photogrammetry.Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences 40(3):187.
Taylor MAP,Sekhar SVC,D'Este GM(2006)Application of Accessibility Based Methods for Vulnerability Analysis of Strategic Road Networks.Networks and Spatial Economics6(3):267-291.https://doi.org/10.1007/s11067-006-9284-9
Tzeng GH,Chen YW(1998)Implementing an effective schedule for reconstructing post-earthquake road-network based on asymmetric traffic assignment-an application of genetic algorithm.International Journal of Operations and Quantitative Management 4:229-246.
Yager RR(1988)On ordered weighted averaging aggregation operators in multicriteria decisionmaking,IEEE Trans.Syst.Man Cybern.18(1):183-190.https://doi.org 10.1109/21.87068
Yager,RR(1996)Quantifier guided aggregation using OWA operators.International Journal of Intelligent Systems 11(1):49-73.https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1098-111X(199601)11:1<49::AID-INT3>3.0.CO;2-Z
Yang L,Qian D(2012)Vulnerability Analysis of Road Networks.Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology 12(1):105-110.https://doi.org/10.1016/S1570-6672.
Zadeh LA(1983)approach to fuzzy quantifiers in natural languages.Computers&Mathematics with applications 9(1):149-184.https://doi.org/10.1016/0898-1221(83)90013-5
Alexander D(2002)Principles of emergency planning and management.New York:Oxford University Press.
Amiri AR,Delavar MR,Zahrai SM,et al.(2007)Tehran seismic vulnerability assessment using Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence.Proc.map Asia conference,Kuala Lumpur,Malaysia,August 14-16.
Aghataher R,Delavar MR,Kamalian N(2005)Weighing of contributing factors in vulnerability of cities against earthquakes.Proc.map Asia conference,Jakarta,Indonesia,pp 22-25.
Alinia HS,Delavar MR(2011)Tehran?s seismic vulnerability classification using granular computing approach.Applied Geomatics 3:229-240.https://doi.org/10.1007/s12518-011-0068-7
Bahadori H,Hasheminezhad A,Karimi A(2017)Development of an integrated model for seismic vulnerability assessment of residential buildings:Application to Mahabad City,Iran.Journal of Building Engineering,(12):118-131.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2017.05.014
Banica A,Rosu L,Muntele I,et al.(2017)Towards Urban Resilience:A Multi-Criteria Analysis of Seismic Vulnerability in Iasi City(Romania).Sustainability 9(2):270.https://doi.org/10.3390/su9020270
Boroushaki S,Malczewski J(2008)Implementing an extension of the analytical hierarchy process using ordered weighted averaging operators with fuzzy quantifiers in ArcGIS.Computers&Geosciences 34(4):399-410.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2007.04.003
Boukri M,Naboussi Farsia M,Mebarkib A(2018)Seismic vulnerability assessment at urban scale:Case of Algerian buildings.International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 31:555-575.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.06.014
Coburn A,Spence R(2002)Earthquake protection,2nd edn.Wiley&Sons,Chichester.https://doi.org/10.1002/0470855185
Delavar MR,Bahrami M,Zare M(2017)Physical seismic vulnerability assessment of tehran using the integration of granular computing and interval dempster-shafer.The International Archives of the Photogrammetry,Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences,Volume XLII-2/W7,18-22.Wuhan,China.
Goda K,Hong HP(2008)Spatial correlation of peak ground motions and response spectra.Bulletin of Seismological Society of America 98(1):354-365.https://doi.org/10.1785/0120070078
Gueguen P(2013)Seismic Vulnerability of Structures.John Wiley&Sons,Inc.
Khamespanah,F,Delavar M,Zare M(2013)Uncertainty management in seismic vulnerability assessment using granular computing based on covering of universe.ISPRS-International Archives of the Photogrammetry,Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences 1(1),pp.121-126.
Guettiche A,Gueguen P,Mimoune M(2017)Seismic vulnerability assessment using Association Rule LearningApplication to the city of Constantine,Algeria.Natural Hazard.https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2739-5
Guettiche A,Mimoune M(2014)Analysis of Seismic Vulnerability-Case of Buildings of High Seismic Hazard",Advanced Materials Research 875-877:416-422.https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.875-877.416
Karapetrou S,Fotopoulou SD,Pitilakis KD(2017)Seismic Vulnerability of RC Buildings under the Effect of Aging International Conference on Sustainable Synergies from Buildings to the Urban Scale,SBE16 Procedia Environmental Sciences 38:461-468.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proenv.2017.03.137
Karapetrou S,Manakou M,Bindi D(2016)Time-building specific??seismic vulnerability assessment of a hospital RC building using field monitoring data.Engineering Structures 112:114-132.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2016.01.009
Lantada N,Pujades LG,Barbat AH(2009)Vulnerability index and capacity spectrum based methods for urban seismic risk evaluation.A comparison.Natural Hazards 51(3):501.https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-007-9212-4
Lang K(2002)Seismic vulnerability of existing buildings.PhDthesis.Institute of Structural Engineering,Zu¨rich,Switzerland,Swiss Federal Institute of Technology,February2002.https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-004333389
Lumantarna E,Lam N,Tsang HH,et al.(2014)Review of Methodologies for Seismic Vulnerability Assessment of Buildings.Australian Earthquake Engineering Society 2014Conference,Nov.pp.21-23.
Malczewski J(1999)GIS and multicriteria decision analysis:John Wiley&Sons.
Malczewski J(2006a)GIS-based multicriteria decision analysis:a survey of the literature.International journal of geographical information science 20(7):703-726.https://doi.org/10.1080/13658810600661508
Malczewski J(2006b)Ordered weighted averaging with fuzzy quantifiers:GIS-based multicriteria evaluation for land-use suitability analysis.International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 8(4):270-277.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2006.01.003
Malczewski J,Chapman T,Flegel C,et al.(2003)GIS-multicriteria evaluation with ordered weighted averaging(OWA):case study of developing watershed management strategies.Environment and Planning A 35(10):1769-1784.
Mouroux P,Bertrand E,Bour M(2004)The European risk-ue project:an advanced approach to earthquake risk scenarios.13th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering Vancouver,B.C.,Canada,August 1-6.
Newman JP,Maier HR,Riddell GA,et al.(2017)Review of literature on decision support systems for natural hazard risk reduction:Current status and future research directions.Environmental Modelling&Software 96:378-409.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.06.042
Pitilakis K(2013)Methodology for systemic seismic vulnerability assessment of buildings,infrastructures,networks and socio-economic impacts,SYNER-G Reference Report 1,Joint Research Centre.
Rahman N,Ansary MA,Islam I(2015)GIS based mapping of vulnerability to earthquake and fire hazard in Dhaka city,Bangladesh.International journal of disaster risk reduction 13:291-300.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.07.003
Riedel I,Gueguen P,Dalla Mura M,et al.(2015)Seismic vulnerability assessment of urban environments in moderate-to-low seismic hazard regions using association rule learning and support vector machine methods.Natural hazards 76(2):1111-1141.
Rezaie F,Panahi M(2015)GIS modeling of seismic vulnerability of residential fabrics considering geotechnical,structural,social and physical distance indicators in Tehran using multi-criteria decision-making techniques.Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 15(3):461-474.https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-461-2015
Riedel I,Gueguen P,Dunand F,et al.(2014)Macroscale vulnerability assessment of cities using association rule learning.Seismological Research Letters,85(2),295-305.https://doi.org/10.1785/0220130148
Saaty T(1994)Fundamentals of Decision Making and Priority Theory with the Analytic Hierarchy Process.Pittsburgh:RWS.ISBN 0-9620317-6-3.
Sandi H,Pomonis A,Francis S,et al.(2007)Seismic vulnerability assessment,Methodological elements and applications to the case of Romania.International Symposium on Strong.Vrancea Earthquakes and Risk Mitigation.4-6.https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/25724
Sheikhian H,Delavar MR,Stein A(2015)Integrated estimation of seismic physical vulnerability of Tehran using rule based granular computing.The International Archives of Photogrammetry.Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences 40(3):187.
Taylor MAP,Sekhar SVC,D'Este GM(2006)Application of Accessibility Based Methods for Vulnerability Analysis of Strategic Road Networks.Networks and Spatial Economics6(3):267-291.https://doi.org/10.1007/s11067-006-9284-9
Tzeng GH,Chen YW(1998)Implementing an effective schedule for reconstructing post-earthquake road-network based on asymmetric traffic assignment-an application of genetic algorithm.International Journal of Operations and Quantitative Management 4:229-246.
Yager RR(1988)On ordered weighted averaging aggregation operators in multicriteria decisionmaking,IEEE Trans.Syst.Man Cybern.18(1):183-190.https://doi.org 10.1109/21.87068
Yager,RR(1996)Quantifier guided aggregation using OWA operators.International Journal of Intelligent Systems 11(1):49-73.https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1098-111X(199601)11:1<49::AID-INT3>3.0.CO;2-Z
Yang L,Qian D(2012)Vulnerability Analysis of Road Networks.Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology 12(1):105-110.https://doi.org/10.1016/S1570-6672.
Zadeh LA(1983)approach to fuzzy quantifiers in natural languages.Computers&Mathematics with applications 9(1):149-184.https://doi.org/10.1016/0898-1221(83)90013-5