协调度视角下长江流域产业转移效率研究
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摘要
实现区域经济协调发展是当前我国在块集聚与点极化双重压力下面临的现实难题,长江经济带尤其是欠发达省份承接发达地区产业转移是解决该难题的必然路径选择。产业转移活动因区域主客体特征变量不同,呈现出典型的多发式转移和门槛转移特征,使得区域政策制定缺乏科学指导,陷入盲目拼政策红利的状态。结合效率模型及考虑熵权的经济社会发展协同度分析,测算了2004-2016长江经济带各省(市)年综合产业转移效率,并考察了门槛效应值及变化趋势。结果表明:在考察期内,长江经济带各省(市)产业转移效率提升较为明显,但不少省(市)存在不协调的阶段性平衡关系,且这种关系还未显露经济总量驱动下的协同发展能力。
The coordinated development of regional economy is a difficult problem faced by the dual pressures of China's economic development on agglomeration and polarization.The Yangtze River Economic Belt,especially the underdeveloped provinces,undertakes industrial transfer in developed regions as an industrial route to solve the coordinated economic and social development.Industrial transfer activities,due to the different characteristics of the regional host-guest characteristics,present typical characteristics of multiple transfer and threshold transfer,which makes the research lack of scientific quantitative analysis and falls into blind spelling policy.In this paper,the efficiency of the model and the economic and social development of the degree of coordination of entropy analysis,measured in the Yangtze River Economic Belt provinces(cities)between 2004 and 2016 integrated industrial transfer efficiency,and examine the threshold effect value and change trends.The study found that the efficiency of industrial transfer in the provinces(municipalities)within the economic belt has increased significantly during the inspection period,but many provinces(cities)have inconsistent staged balance relationships,and this relationship has not yet revealed that Collaborative development capabilities.
The coordinated development of regional economy is a difficult problem faced by the dual pressures of China's economic development on agglomeration and polarization.The Yangtze River Economic Belt,especially the underdeveloped provinces,undertakes industrial transfer in developed regions as an industrial route to solve the coordinated economic and social development.Industrial transfer activities,due to the different characteristics of the regional host-guest characteristics,present typical characteristics of multiple transfer and threshold transfer,which makes the research lack of scientific quantitative analysis and falls into blind spelling policy.In this paper,the efficiency of the model and the economic and social development of the degree of coordination of entropy analysis,measured in the Yangtze River Economic Belt provinces(cities)between 2004 and 2016 integrated industrial transfer efficiency,and examine the threshold effect value and change trends.The study found that the efficiency of industrial transfer in the provinces(municipalities)within the economic belt has increased significantly during the inspection period,but many provinces(cities)have inconsistent staged balance relationships,and this relationship has not yet revealed that Collaborative development capabilities.
引文
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[18]段小薇,李璐璐,苗长虹,等.中部六大城市群产业转移综合承接能力评价研究[J].地理科学,2016,36(5):681-690.
[19]魏巍,吴明,吴鹏.不同发展水平国家在全球价值链中位置差异分析——基于国际产业转移视角[J].产业经济研究,2016(1):80-91.
[20] COURTNEY BRANNON DONOGHUE,KRISTEN WARNE R.Introduction to creative industries[J].Creative Industries Journal,2014(6):71-75.
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[22]马占新,郑雪琳,安建业,等.一种含有中性指标的数据包络分析方法[J].系统工程理论与实践,2017,37(2):418-430.
[23]刘毅,黄建毅,马丽.基于DEA模型的我国自然灾害区域脆弱性评价[J].地理科学,2010,29(7):1153-1162.
[24]田鸣,张阳,唐震.典型国家创新创业发展模式研究及启示[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2016,37(4):3-16.
[25]刘晓洁,沈镭.资源节约型社会综合评价指标体系研究[J].自然资源学报,2006,21(3):382-391.
[26]章穗,张梅,迟国泰.基于熵权法的科学技术评价模型及其实证研究[J].管理学报,2010,7(1):34-42.
[27] HANSEN BE.Sample splitting and treshold estimation[J].Econometrica,2000,68(3):575-603.
[28]戴志敏,罗琴.产业转移承接效率对经济增长的门槛效应研究——以江西省为例[J].武汉金融,2018(1):62-68.
[2]林毅夫,张鹏飞.后发优势、技术引进和落后国家的经济增长[J].经济学季刊,2005,5(1):53-74.
[3]白雪洁,卫婧婧.异地并购,地区间资源流动与产业升级——基于中国数据的实证研究[J].当代财经,2017(1):100-109.
[4]赵张耀,汪斌.网络型国际产业转移模式研究[J].中国工业经济,2005(10):14-21.
[5]张公嵬,梁琦.产业转移与资源的空间配置效应研究[J].产业经济评论,2010(3):1-21.
[6]朱佩枫,张浩,张慧明.考虑非期望产出的皖江城市带承接长三角产业转移效率研究[J].中国软科学,2014(7):105-114.
[7] RICHARD FLORIDA,MARTIN KENNEY.Transplanted organizations:the transfer of Japanese industrial organization to the U.S[J].American Sociological Review,1991,56(3):381-398.
[8] GRAY GEREFFI.International trade and industrial upgrading in the apparel commodity chain[J].Journal of International Economics,1999,48(1):37-70.
[9] MISSIOS P,SAGGI K,YILDIZ HM.External trade diversion,exclusion incentives and the nature of preferential trade agreements[J].Journal of International Economics,2016(99):105-119.
[10] CHOI Y,LIM S,PAEK D.Trades of dangers:a study of asbestos industry transfer cases in Asia[J].American Journal of Industrial Medicine,2013,56(3):335-346.
[11] GOMES MAS,KOVALESKI JL.Science and technology policies and the university-industry-government relationships:a study about technology transfer[J].Interciencia,2017,42(7):471-476.
[12]陈刚,张解放.区际产业转移的效应分析及相应政策建议[J].华东经济管理,2001(2):24-26.
[13]冯福根,刘志勇,蒋文定.我国东中西部地区间工业产业转移的趋势、特征及形成原因分析[J].当代经济科学,2010(2):1-10.
[14]戴宏伟,王云平.产业转移与区域产业结构调整的关系分析[J].当代财经,2008(2):93-98.
[15]陈万旭,李江风,朱丽君.中部地区承接国际产业转移效率及驱动机理研究——基于超效率DEA模型和面板回归分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2017,26(7):973-982.
[16]刘红光,刘卫东,刘志高.区域间产业转移定量测度研究[J].中国工业经济,2011(6):79-88.
[17]靳卫东,王林杉,徐银良.区域产业转移的定量测度与政策适用性研究[J].中国软科学,2016(10):71-89.
[18]段小薇,李璐璐,苗长虹,等.中部六大城市群产业转移综合承接能力评价研究[J].地理科学,2016,36(5):681-690.
[19]魏巍,吴明,吴鹏.不同发展水平国家在全球价值链中位置差异分析——基于国际产业转移视角[J].产业经济研究,2016(1):80-91.
[20] COURTNEY BRANNON DONOGHUE,KRISTEN WARNE R.Introduction to creative industries[J].Creative Industries Journal,2014(6):71-75.
[21] CHARNES A,COOPER W W.Sensitivity and stability analysis in DEA[J].Annals of Operations Research,1984,2(1):139-152.
[22]马占新,郑雪琳,安建业,等.一种含有中性指标的数据包络分析方法[J].系统工程理论与实践,2017,37(2):418-430.
[23]刘毅,黄建毅,马丽.基于DEA模型的我国自然灾害区域脆弱性评价[J].地理科学,2010,29(7):1153-1162.
[24]田鸣,张阳,唐震.典型国家创新创业发展模式研究及启示[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2016,37(4):3-16.
[25]刘晓洁,沈镭.资源节约型社会综合评价指标体系研究[J].自然资源学报,2006,21(3):382-391.
[26]章穗,张梅,迟国泰.基于熵权法的科学技术评价模型及其实证研究[J].管理学报,2010,7(1):34-42.
[27] HANSEN BE.Sample splitting and treshold estimation[J].Econometrica,2000,68(3):575-603.
[28]戴志敏,罗琴.产业转移承接效率对经济增长的门槛效应研究——以江西省为例[J].武汉金融,2018(1):62-68.