测度技术融合与趋势的数据分析方法研究进展
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摘要
【目的】对技术会聚/融合相关研究进行较系统的梳理,期望能够展示该领域的研究进展,为后续研究提供参考。【文献范围】从Web of Science(WOS)、CNKI等数据库中分别以"技术会聚(Technology Convergence)"、"技术融合(Technology Fusion)"等检索词搜集获得中英文相关文献73篇。【方法】针对技术融合相关概念及内涵、测度技术融合程度与趋势的数据分析方法进行较系统的文献提炼与评析。【结果】近年来有关技术融合的研究越来越丰富;基于专利数据的技术融合分析方法主要包括评估技术融合度的指标、专利引文网络分析方法探索技术融合演化路径、专利共类识别技术融合轨道等。【局限】混合方法的横向对比研究较少。【结论】已有分析方法尚不完善,测度技术融合的数据分析方法优化拓展的潜力巨大,未来具有较大的研究发展空间。
[Objective] This paper reviews literature on technology convergence/fusion, aiming to explore research progress in the field and provide reference for further studies. [Coverage] We retrieved 73 papers in Chinese and English from the Web of Science(WOS), CNKI and other databases using the keywords "Technology Convergence" or "Technology Fusion". [Methods] We reviewed the concepts of technology convergence/fusion, and related data analysis methods. [Results] We found the number of research on technology convergence/fusion was increasing. Their data analysis methods used patents as indicators, illustrating evolution path with patent citation network, and establishing fusion track with co-classification analysis. [Limitations] More research is needed to compare the hybrid methods. [Conclusions] The data analysis methods for technology convergence/fusion require much optimization, which leaves many knowledge gaps to be filled.
[Objective] This paper reviews literature on technology convergence/fusion, aiming to explore research progress in the field and provide reference for further studies. [Coverage] We retrieved 73 papers in Chinese and English from the Web of Science(WOS), CNKI and other databases using the keywords "Technology Convergence" or "Technology Fusion". [Methods] We reviewed the concepts of technology convergence/fusion, and related data analysis methods. [Results] We found the number of research on technology convergence/fusion was increasing. Their data analysis methods used patents as indicators, illustrating evolution path with patent citation network, and establishing fusion track with co-classification analysis. [Limitations] More research is needed to compare the hybrid methods. [Conclusions] The data analysis methods for technology convergence/fusion require much optimization, which leaves many knowledge gaps to be filled.
引文
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[7]Fujimoto M,Miyazaki K,Tunzelmann N V.Technological Fusion and Telemedicine in Japanese Companies[J].Technovation,2000,20(4):169-187.
[8]Bierly P E,Chakrabarti A.Dynamic Knowledge Strategies and Industry Fusion[J].International Journal of Manufacturing Technology and Management,2001,3:31-48.
[9]Curran C S,Leker J.Patent Indicators for Monitoring Convergence-Examples from NFF and ICT[J].Technological Forecasting&Social Change,2001,78(2):256-273.
[10]Lei D T.Industry Evolution and Competence Development:the Imperatives of Technological Conergence[J].International Journal of Technology Management,2000,19(7-8):699-738.
[11]Kodama F.Emerging Patterns of Innovation:Sources of Japan’s Technological Edge[J].R&D Management,1996,26(2):179-181.
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[13]Dolata U.Technological Innovations and Sectoral Change:Transformative Capacity,Adaptability,Patterns of Change:An Analytical Framework[J].Research Policy,2009,38(6):1066-1076.
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[16]Choi J Y,Jeong S,Kim K.A Study on Diffusion Pattern of Technology Convergence:Patent Analysis for Korea[J].Sustainability,2015,7(9):11546-11569.
[17]Pennings J M,Puranam P.Market Convergence&Firm Strategy:Towards a Systematic Analysis[C]//Proceedings of Organisation Science Winter Conference.2000.http://faculty.fuqua.duke.edu/oswc/2000/papers/wednesday/Johannes Penni ngs.doc.
[18]Curran C S,Br?ring S,Leker J.Anticipating Converging Industries Using Publicly Available Data[J].Technological Forecasting and Social Change,2010,77(3):385-395.
[19]米黑尔·罗科,威廉·班布里奇.聚合四大科技,提高人类能力[M].蔡曙山,王志栋,周允程等译.北京:清华大学出版社,2010.(Roco M C,Baibridge W S.Converging Technologies for Improving Human Performance Nanotechnology,Biotechnology,Information Technology and Cognitive Science[M].Translated by Cai Shushan,Wang Zhidong,Zhou Yuncheng,et al.Beijing:Tsinghua University Press,2010.)
[20]孙孟新,栾春娟.会聚科学的测度及启示[J].科技导报,2013,31(21):64-68.(Sun Mengxin,Luan Chunjuan.Measurement of the Convergence of Science and Its Policy Implication[J].Science and Technological Review,2013,31(21):64-68.)
[21]Callaert J,Looy B V,Verbeek A,et al.Traces of Prior Art:An Analysis of Non-Patent References Found in Patent Documents[J].Scientometrics,2006,69(1):3-20.
[22]Nagaoka S.Assessing the R&D Management of a Firm in Terms of Speed and Science Linkage:Evidence from the US Patents[J].Journal of Economics&Management Strategy,2007,16(1):129-156.
[23]Meyer M.Does Science Push Technology?Patents Citing Scientific Literature[J].Research Policy,2000,29(3):409-434.
[24]Roco M C,Bainbridge W S.Converging Technologies for Improving Human Performance:Integrating from the Nanoscale[J].Journal of Nanoparticle Research,2002,4(4):281-295.
[25]Yoffie D B.Competing in the Age of Digital Convergence[J].California Management Review,1996,38(4):31-53.
[26]Hacklin F,Marxt C,Fahrni F.Coevolutionary Cycles of Convergence:An Extrapolation from the ICT Industry[J].Technological Forecast Social Change,2009,76(6):723-736.
[27]Katz M L.Remarks on the Economic Implications of Convergence[J].Industrial&Corporate Change,1996,5(4):1079-1095.
[28]Jaffe A B,Trajtenberg M,Henderson R,et al.Geographic Location of Knowledge Spillovers as Evidenced by Patent Citation[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1993,108:577-598.
[29]Narin F,Kimberly S H,Olivastro D.The Increasing Linkage Between US Technology and Science[J].Research Policy,1997,26(3):317-330.
[30]Fan J P H,Lang L H P.The Measurement of Relatedness:An Application to Corporate Diversification[J].The Journal of Business,2000,73(4):629-660.
[31]Xing W,Ye X,Kui L.Measuring Convergence of China’s ICT Industry:An Input-Output Analysis[J].Telecommunication Policy,2011,35(4):301-313.
[32]Kim M S,Kim C.On a Patent Analysis Method for Technological Convergence[J].Social and Behavioral Sciences,2012,40:657-663.
[33]Rafols I,Meyer M.How Cross-Disciplinary is Bionanotechnology?Explorations in the Specialty of Molecular Motors[J].Scientometrics,2007,70(3):633-650.
[34]Porter A L,Chubin D E.An Indicator of Cross-Disciplinary Research[J].Scientometrics,1985,8(3-4):161-176.
[35]Morillo F,Bordons M,Gómez I.An Approach to Interdisciplinarity Through Bibliometric Indicators[J].Scientometrics,2001,51(1):203-222.
[36]Pavitt K.Sectoral Patterns of Technical Change:Towards a Taxonomy and a Theory[J].Research Policy,1984,13(6):343-373.
[37]Souitaris V.Technological Trajectories as Moderators of Firm Level Determinants of Innovations[J].Research Policy,2002,31(6):877-898.
[38]Hall B,Jaffe A,Trajtenber M.The NBER Patent-Citations Data File:Lessons,Insights,and Methodological Tools[R].NBER Working Paper Series.MIT Press,2002.
[39]Han Y,Park Y.Patent Network Analysis of Inter-Industrial Knowledge Flows:The Case of Korea Between Traditional and Emerging Industries[J].World Patent Information,2006,28(3):235-247.
[40]Allarakhia M,Walsh S.Analyzing and Organizing Nanotechnology Development:Application of the Institutional Analysis Development Framework to Nanotechnology Consortia[J].Technovation,2012,32(3-4):216-226.
[41]Kim E,Cho Y,Kim W.Dynamic Patterns of Technological Convergence in Printed Electronics Technologies:Patent Citation Network[J].Scientometrics,2014,98(2):975-998.
[42]No H J,Park Y.Trajectory Patterns of Technology Fusion:Trend Analysis and Taxonomical Grouping in Nanobiotechnology[J].Technological Forecasting&Social Change,2010,77(1):63-75.
[43]许海云,尹春晓,郭婷,等.学科交叉研究综述[J].图书情报工作,2015,59(5):119-127.(Xu Haiyun,Yin Chunxiao,Guo Ting,et al.Interdisciplinary Research Review[J].Library and Information Service,2015,59(5):119-127.)
[44]Rafols I,Meyer M.Diversity and Network Coherence as Indicators of Interdisciplinarity:Case Studies in Bionanoscience[J].Scientometrics,2010,82(2):263-287.
[45]Stirling A.A General Framework for Analysing Diversity in Science,Technology and Society[J].Journal of the Royal Society Interface,2007,4(15):707-719.
[46]Porter A L,Cohen A S,Roessner J D,et al.Measuring Researcher Interdisciplinarity[J].Scientometrics,2007,72(1):117-147.
[47]Trajtenberg M,Henderson R,Jaffe A.University Versus Corporate Patents:A Window on the Basicness of Invention[J].Economics of Innovation and New Technology,1997,5(1):19-50.
[48]张静.基于专利分析的技术融合特征研究[D].北京:中国科学院大学,2017.(Zhang Jing.The Research on the Technology Fusion Based on the Patent Analysis[D].Beijing:University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2017.)
[49]Roepke S,Moehrle M G.Sequencing the Evolution of Technologies in a System-Oriented Way:The Concept of Technology-DNA[J].Journal of Engineering and Technology Management,2014,32:110-128.
[50]Hullmann A,Meyer M.Publications and Patents in Nanotechnology:An Overview of Previous Studies and the State of the Art[J].Scientometrics,2003,58(3):507-527.
[51]Miyazaki K,Isam N.Nanotechnology Systems of Innovation:An Analysis of Industry and Academia Research Activities[J].Technovation,2007,27(11):661-675.
[52]Takeda Y,Mae S,Kajikawa Y,et al.Nanobiotechnology as an Emerging Research Domain from Nanotechnology:A Bibliometric Approach[J].Scientometrics,2009,80(1):25-40.
[53]Choi C,Kim S,Park Y.A Patent-Based Cross Impact Analysis for Quantitative Estimation of Technological Impact:The Case of Information and Communication Technology[J].Technological Forecasting and Social Change,2007,74(8):1296-1314.
[54]Park H,Yoon J.Assessing Coreness and Intermediarity of Technology Sectors Using Patent Co-Classification Analysis:The Case of Korean National R&D[J].Scientometrics,2014,98(2):853-890.
[55]Verspagen B.Measuring Intersectoral Technology Spillovers Estimates from the European and US Patent Office Databases[J].Economic Systems Research,1997,9(1):47-65.
[56]Patel P,Pavitt K.The Continuing,Widespread(and Neglected)Importance of Improvements in Mechanical Technologies[J].Research Policy,1994,23(5):533-545.
[57]Lim H,Park Y.Identification of Technological Knowledge Intermediaries[J].Scientometrics,2010,84(3):543-561.
[58]Ko N,Yoon J,Seo W.Analyzing Interdisciplinarity of Technology Fusion Using Knowledge Flows of Patents[J].Expert Systems with Applications,2014,41(4):1955-1963.
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