经济新常态视域下新旧技术“S型曲线”分析
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摘要
新旧技术"S型曲线"具有周期性、现实性、长期性和差异性等多种特征。这一曲线的演变曾对西方国家产生过重要影响,从西方国家史实中能够发现诸多对经济新常态下中国的启示。从西方国家这些情况与中国当前情况的对比之中能够发现:经济新常态下的中国在新旧技术"S型曲线"演变过程中面临诸多问题,有效破解这些问题有助于推动中国经济在稳定中实现中高速增长。
New and old technology "S-curve" has many characteristics, such as periodicity, reality and variation. The evolution of this curve has had an important impact on western countries. We can find much enlightenment to China under the new normal of economy from the historical facts of western countries. It can be found in comparison with Chinese current situation that China is faced with many problems in the evolution of new and old technology "S-curve". To solve these problems effectively will help China's economy to achieve medium-high growth in stability.
New and old technology "S-curve" has many characteristics, such as periodicity, reality and variation. The evolution of this curve has had an important impact on western countries. We can find much enlightenment to China under the new normal of economy from the historical facts of western countries. It can be found in comparison with Chinese current situation that China is faced with many problems in the evolution of new and old technology "S-curve". To solve these problems effectively will help China's economy to achieve medium-high growth in stability.
引文
[1]李亮亮.“科技三会”隆重召开,习近平发表重要讲话[EB/OL].(2016-05-30)(2017-01-22)http://media.c hina.com.cn/cmyw/2016-05-30/744702.html
[2]Ashta A.Psychology and risky decision process for corporate investments[J].Revista Internacional De Cien cias Sociales Y Humanidades Sociotam,2005,xv:43-66.
[3]Brezis E S,Krugman P R,Tsiddon D.Leapfrogging in International Competition:A Theory of Cycles in National Technological Leadership[J].American Economic Review,1993,83(5):1211-1219.
[4]郑世林.“S型曲线”理论用新动能带动“新经济”[N].天津日报,2016-05-16(9).
[5]齐晓凡.技术扩散模型及其政策意义[J].江汉论坛,2004(6):5-9.
[6]竺乾威.经济新常态下的政府行为调整[J].中国行政管理,2015(3):32-37.
[7]韩文龙,陈航.地方政府投资与产业结构变迁的区域差异性[J].重庆三峡学院学报,2018(1):72-79.
[8]冯朝军.我国物流需求影响因素与发展对策研究[J].重庆三峡学院学报,2018(1):80-86.
(1)来源:根据“郑世林.“S型曲线”理论用新动能带动“新经济”[N].天津日报,2016-05-16(009).齐晓凡.技术扩散模型及其政策意义[J].江汉论坛,2004(6):6.靳清,贾全星.技术进步理论的一个述评[J].科技和产业,2013(1):75.”的相关内容整合、改进而成。
[2]Ashta A.Psychology and risky decision process for corporate investments[J].Revista Internacional De Cien cias Sociales Y Humanidades Sociotam,2005,xv:43-66.
[3]Brezis E S,Krugman P R,Tsiddon D.Leapfrogging in International Competition:A Theory of Cycles in National Technological Leadership[J].American Economic Review,1993,83(5):1211-1219.
[4]郑世林.“S型曲线”理论用新动能带动“新经济”[N].天津日报,2016-05-16(9).
[5]齐晓凡.技术扩散模型及其政策意义[J].江汉论坛,2004(6):5-9.
[6]竺乾威.经济新常态下的政府行为调整[J].中国行政管理,2015(3):32-37.
[7]韩文龙,陈航.地方政府投资与产业结构变迁的区域差异性[J].重庆三峡学院学报,2018(1):72-79.
[8]冯朝军.我国物流需求影响因素与发展对策研究[J].重庆三峡学院学报,2018(1):80-86.
(1)来源:根据“郑世林.“S型曲线”理论用新动能带动“新经济”[N].天津日报,2016-05-16(009).齐晓凡.技术扩散模型及其政策意义[J].江汉论坛,2004(6):6.靳清,贾全星.技术进步理论的一个述评[J].科技和产业,2013(1):75.”的相关内容整合、改进而成。