交易效率对中国经济增长贡献的岭回归分析
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摘要
首先对中国交易效率进行测度;其次是建立包含交易效率的生产函数模型,对中国现阶段交易效率与经济增长之间是否存在相关性,以及交易效率能否促进经济增长进行了实证分析。研究结果显示:中国综合交易效率和交易技术效率指数逐渐提高,综合交易效率指数增长幅度较小,且其数值总体偏低,而交易技术效率指数增长速度相对较快;交易效率指数与经济增长之间存在显著的正相关,随着中国综合交易效率的逐年上升,交易效率贡献率也逐年上升,从2000年的12%上升到2008年的29.36%,而技术进步贡献率在2000～2008年间存在较大波动,没有明显的发展变化趋势。交易费用或交易效率水平确实在很大程度上决定着国家的经济发展状况。
Firstly, we calculated the transaction efficiency, and followed to establish a production function model which contains the transaction efficiency. Then thought empirical analysis to research whether there is a correlation between transaction efficiency and economic growth, and whether transaction efficiency could promote economic growth. R esearch results show that China's comprehensive transaction efficiency index and transaction technology efficiency index gradually improved, the comprehensive transaction efficiency index growth range is small, and its value is on the low side, and the transaction technology efficiency index growth speed is relatively fast. There is a significant positive correlation between the index of transaction efficiency and economic growth. With the increase of comprehensive transaction efficiency in China, the contribution rate of transaction efficiency increases year by year, from 12% in 2000 to 29.36% in 2008. However, the contribution rate of technological progress fluctuated greatly from 2000 to 2008, and there was no obvious trend of development and change. The level of transaction cost or efficiency really determines the country's economic development to a large extent.
Firstly, we calculated the transaction efficiency, and followed to establish a production function model which contains the transaction efficiency. Then thought empirical analysis to research whether there is a correlation between transaction efficiency and economic growth, and whether transaction efficiency could promote economic growth. R esearch results show that China's comprehensive transaction efficiency index and transaction technology efficiency index gradually improved, the comprehensive transaction efficiency index growth range is small, and its value is on the low side, and the transaction technology efficiency index growth speed is relatively fast. There is a significant positive correlation between the index of transaction efficiency and economic growth. With the increase of comprehensive transaction efficiency in China, the contribution rate of transaction efficiency increases year by year, from 12% in 2000 to 29.36% in 2008. However, the contribution rate of technological progress fluctuated greatly from 2000 to 2008, and there was no obvious trend of development and change. The level of transaction cost or efficiency really determines the country's economic development to a large extent.
引文
[1]Young A. Increasing R eturns and Economic Progress[J].The Economic Journal,1928,(38):527-542.
[2]Eigen-Zucchi, C. The Measurement of Transaction Costs[D].George Masm University, USA, 2001.
[3]张维迎,柯荣住.信任及其解释:来自中国的跨省调查分析[J].经济研究,2002(10):59-96.
[4]赵红军.交易效率:衡量一国交易成本的新视角[J].上海经济研究,2005(11):6-9.
[5]高帆.交易效率的测度及其跨国比较:一个指标体系[J].财贸经济,2007(5):105-110.
[6]杨小凯,张永生.新兴古典经济学与超边际分析[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2003:74-75.
[7]杨小凯.专业化与经济组织:一个新兴古典微观经济学框架[M].北京:经济科学出版社,1999:98-120.
[2]Eigen-Zucchi, C. The Measurement of Transaction Costs[D].George Masm University, USA, 2001.
[3]张维迎,柯荣住.信任及其解释:来自中国的跨省调查分析[J].经济研究,2002(10):59-96.
[4]赵红军.交易效率:衡量一国交易成本的新视角[J].上海经济研究,2005(11):6-9.
[5]高帆.交易效率的测度及其跨国比较:一个指标体系[J].财贸经济,2007(5):105-110.
[6]杨小凯,张永生.新兴古典经济学与超边际分析[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2003:74-75.
[7]杨小凯.专业化与经济组织:一个新兴古典微观经济学框架[M].北京:经济科学出版社,1999:98-120.