基于集对分析的土地生态补偿标准评估方法研究
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摘要
以土地生态补偿与经济发展相关性分析为基础,研究提出与经济发展相协调、可操作性较强的土地生态补偿标准评估方法。利用集对分析、参与式评估方法,探讨了这一评估方法的集对分析基本原理、方法步骤,并进行实例检验。综合研究认为:在土地生态补偿标准评估中采取集对分析方法有现实意义。应用目前的成本法、意愿调查等评估方法测算的最低补偿标准,用预期收益损失法、收益意愿评估等最高补偿标准是相对客观确定的,但最高、最低标准的差异大,具体的补偿标准究竟是何值则又是不确定的。根据已有评估成果,应用集对分析方法可进一步分析相关不确定性因素,得到依据更充分的土地生态补偿评估结果,为土地生态补偿双方谈判提供相关信息。
The purpose of this study is to present an evaluation method for a land eco-compensation standard that is coordinated with economic development and has high operability based on the correlation analysis of land eco-compensation and economic development. The research methods are set pair analysis(SPA) and participatory assessment. This study discusses the basic principle of SPA and the steps in using this method. The conclusion is that it is important to adopt SPA in the evaluation of land eco-compensation standards. The minimum compensation standard is calculated by using the current cost method, willingness survey, and other evaluation methods. The maximum compensation standard derived from the expected return loss method and the willingness assessment is relatively objective, but the difference between the highest and the lowest standard is large and the specific compensation standard is uncertain. Based on the existing assessment results, the application of SPA can, by further analysis of the relevant uncertainty factors, provide relevant information based on the land eco-compensation assessment results for the land eco-compensation negotiations.
The purpose of this study is to present an evaluation method for a land eco-compensation standard that is coordinated with economic development and has high operability based on the correlation analysis of land eco-compensation and economic development. The research methods are set pair analysis(SPA) and participatory assessment. This study discusses the basic principle of SPA and the steps in using this method. The conclusion is that it is important to adopt SPA in the evaluation of land eco-compensation standards. The minimum compensation standard is calculated by using the current cost method, willingness survey, and other evaluation methods. The maximum compensation standard derived from the expected return loss method and the willingness assessment is relatively objective, but the difference between the highest and the lowest standard is large and the specific compensation standard is uncertain. Based on the existing assessment results, the application of SPA can, by further analysis of the relevant uncertainty factors, provide relevant information based on the land eco-compensation assessment results for the land eco-compensation negotiations.
引文
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[16]龚士良.地下水环境质量评价集对分析方法[J].上海地质,2000,21(2):21-23.Gong S L.The set pair analysis method to environmental quality evaluation of groundwater[J].Shanghai Geology,2000,21(2):21-23.
[17]魏东方,汪明武,李健,等.基于集对分析的膨胀土胀缩性Vague集评价模型[J].上海国土资源,2013,34(3):89-92.Wei D F,Wang M W,Li J,et al.A vague-sets model based on set pair analysis for evaluating the swelling-shrinkage characteristics of expansive clay[J].Shanghai Land&Resources,2013,34(3):89-92.
[18]鲍海君,曾蓉,王犁苑.基于SPA的征地区片划分和区片交界补偿价修正[J].上海国土资源,2011,32(3):63-66,76.Bao H J,Zeng R,Wang L Y.Region division for land requisition and compensation price adjustment between interfacing regions based on set pair analysis[J].Shanghai Land&Resources,2013,34(3):89-92.
[2]张伟,张宏业,张义丰.基于“地理要素禀赋当量”的社会生态补偿标准测算[J].地理学报,2010,65(10):1253-1265.Zhang W,Zhang H Y,Zhang Y F.Measurement of social ecological compensation standard based on"geographical factor endowment equivalent"[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2010,65(10):1253-1265.
[3]孙晓霞,车晶.吉林省土地生态补偿模式研究--基于马克思的生态裂缝思想[J].安徽农业科学,2010,38(36):20917-20918.Sun X X,Che J.Research on land ecological compensation model in Jilin province:based on Marx's thought of ecological crack[J].Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2010,38(36):20917-20918.
[4]李双成,黄姣,邵晓梅,等.区域生态补偿与土地生态安全[J].中国土地科学,2011,25(5):39-41.Li S C,Huang J,Shao X M,et al.Regionalecological compensation and land ecological security[J].China Land Science,2011,25(5):39-41.
[5]郑德凤,臧正,苏琳.基于突变级数法的吉林省生态补偿标准核算[J].生态与农村环境学报,2013,29(4):537-540.Zheng D F,Zang Z,Su L.Accounting of ecological compensation standard in Jilin province based on catastrophe progression method[J].Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment,2013,29(4):537-540.
[6]曹生国.我国征地补偿标准创新方案及其问题分析[J].上海国土资源,2016,37(1):39-43.Cao S G.Developing new expropriation compensation standards[J].Shanghai Land&Resources,2016,37(1):39-43.
[7]厉以宁,章铮.环境经济学[M].北京:中国计划出版社,1995.Li Y N,Zhang Z.Environmental economics[M].Beijing:China Planning Press,1995.
[8]马中.环境与自然资源经济学概论[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2006.Ma Z.Introduction to environmental and natural resource economics[M].Beijing:Higher Education Press,2006.
[9]Johannesson M.The revealed preference approach[M].Springer US,1996.
[10]Venkatachalam L.The contingent valuation method:a review[J].Environmental Impact Assessment Review,2004,24(1):89-124.
[11]曹建清.直接市场法及其改进与应用研究[J].现代营销(学苑版),2011(11):283-284.Cao J Q.Direct market law and its improvement and application research[J].Modern Marketing(Xueyuan Edition),2011(11):283-284.
[12]赵克勤.集对分析及其初步应用[J].大自然探索,1994,13(1):67-72.Zhao K Q.Set pair analysis and its preliminary application[J].Nature Exploration,1994,13(1):67-72.
[13]赵克勤.集对论--一种新的不确定性理论方法与应用[J].系统工程,1996(1):18-23,72.Zhao K Q.The set pair theory[J].Systems Engineering,1996(1):18-23,72.
[14]赵克勤.基于集对分析的不确定性多属性决策模型与算法[J].智能系统学报,2010(1):41-50.Zhao K Q.Decision making algorithm based on set pair analysis for use when facing multiple uncertain attributes[J].CAAITransactions on Intelligent Systems,2010(1):41-50.
[15]龚士良.集对分析及其在城市地面沉降研究中的应用[J].上海地质,1997,18(4):43-47.Gong S L.Set pair analysis and its application in study of urban land subsidence[J].Shanghai Geology,1997,18(4):43-47.
[16]龚士良.地下水环境质量评价集对分析方法[J].上海地质,2000,21(2):21-23.Gong S L.The set pair analysis method to environmental quality evaluation of groundwater[J].Shanghai Geology,2000,21(2):21-23.
[17]魏东方,汪明武,李健,等.基于集对分析的膨胀土胀缩性Vague集评价模型[J].上海国土资源,2013,34(3):89-92.Wei D F,Wang M W,Li J,et al.A vague-sets model based on set pair analysis for evaluating the swelling-shrinkage characteristics of expansive clay[J].Shanghai Land&Resources,2013,34(3):89-92.
[18]鲍海君,曾蓉,王犁苑.基于SPA的征地区片划分和区片交界补偿价修正[J].上海国土资源,2011,32(3):63-66,76.Bao H J,Zeng R,Wang L Y.Region division for land requisition and compensation price adjustment between interfacing regions based on set pair analysis[J].Shanghai Land&Resources,2013,34(3):89-92.