综合防灾规划视角下的滨海城市灾害风险评估研究——以天津滨海新区为例
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摘要
指出滨海城市灾害日益突出以及国内外关于综合防灾规划研究的差距。提出风险评估是综合防灾规划编制的基础,可提高规划科学性;进而从综合防灾规划的视角出发研究风险评估的理论内涵、内容和方法,并以天津滨海新区为例,进行综合灾害风险评估,绘制风险区划图,识别高风险区,进而为城市综合防灾规划的目标制定、重点区域识别、避难场所规划、防灾通道规划等内容编制提供基础。
引文
[1]李加林,海平面上升的灾害效应及其研究现状,灾害学,2005,(20):49~53.
[2]United Nations Disaster Relief Organization.Mitigating Natural Disasters:Phenomena,Effects and Options:A Manual for Policymakers and Planners[R].New York:United Nations,1991.
[3]Pelling M.Visions of Risk:A Review of International Indicators of Disaster Riskand its Management[R].ISDR/UNDP,2004,1-56.
[4]Pro Vention Consortium.Identification and Analysis of Global Disaster Risk Hotspots,2006.http://www.proventionconsortium.org/?pageid=32&projectid=15.
[5]Benito G,Lang M,Barriendos M,et al.Use of systematic,palaeoflood and historical data for the improvement of flood risk estimation,review of scientific methods[J].Natural Hazard,2004,31(3):623-643.
[6]Hans de Moel,Jeroen C,Aerts J H,et al.Development of floodexposure in the Netherlands during the 20th and 21st century[J].Global Environmental Change,2011,21:620-627.
[7]金磊.城市灾害学原理[M].北京市:气象出版社,1997.
[8]王绍玉,冯百侠.城市灾害应急与管理[M].重庆:重庆出版社,2005.
[9]许世远,王军,徐纯等.沿海城市自然灾害风险研究[J].地理学报,2006,61(2):127-138.
[10]史培军,邵利铎,赵智国等.论综合灾害风险防范模式--寻求全球变化影响的适应性对策[J].地学前缘,2007,14(6):43-53.
[11]史培军.五论灾害系统研究的理论与实践[J].自然灾害学报,2009,18(5):1-9.
[12]王绍玉.综合自然灾害风险管理理论依据探析[J].自然灾害学报,2009,18(2):33-38.
[13]苏桂武,高庆华,自然灾害风险的行为主体特征与时间尺度问题,自然灾害学报,2003,12(1):9~16.
[2]United Nations Disaster Relief Organization.Mitigating Natural Disasters:Phenomena,Effects and Options:A Manual for Policymakers and Planners[R].New York:United Nations,1991.
[3]Pelling M.Visions of Risk:A Review of International Indicators of Disaster Riskand its Management[R].ISDR/UNDP,2004,1-56.
[4]Pro Vention Consortium.Identification and Analysis of Global Disaster Risk Hotspots,2006.http://www.proventionconsortium.org/?pageid=32&projectid=15.
[5]Benito G,Lang M,Barriendos M,et al.Use of systematic,palaeoflood and historical data for the improvement of flood risk estimation,review of scientific methods[J].Natural Hazard,2004,31(3):623-643.
[6]Hans de Moel,Jeroen C,Aerts J H,et al.Development of floodexposure in the Netherlands during the 20th and 21st century[J].Global Environmental Change,2011,21:620-627.
[7]金磊.城市灾害学原理[M].北京市:气象出版社,1997.
[8]王绍玉,冯百侠.城市灾害应急与管理[M].重庆:重庆出版社,2005.
[9]许世远,王军,徐纯等.沿海城市自然灾害风险研究[J].地理学报,2006,61(2):127-138.
[10]史培军,邵利铎,赵智国等.论综合灾害风险防范模式--寻求全球变化影响的适应性对策[J].地学前缘,2007,14(6):43-53.
[11]史培军.五论灾害系统研究的理论与实践[J].自然灾害学报,2009,18(5):1-9.
[12]王绍玉.综合自然灾害风险管理理论依据探析[J].自然灾害学报,2009,18(2):33-38.
[13]苏桂武,高庆华,自然灾害风险的行为主体特征与时间尺度问题,自然灾害学报,2003,12(1):9~16.