港口城市绿色增长的发展机制研究——基于经济增长的协同与资源环境的约束
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- 英文论文题名：Research on green growth development mechanism of city-ports——Based on co-evolutionary of economic growth and constraint of resource and environment
- 论文作者：赵宇哲 ; 周晶淼 ; 钟逸雯 ; 迟国泰
- 英文论文作者：ZHAO Yu-zhe ; ZHOU Jing-miao ; ZHONG Yi-wen ; CHI Guo-tai ; Faculty of Management and Economics ; Dalian University of Technology ; Collaborative Innovation Center for Transport Studies ; Dalian Maritime University
- 年：2016
- 作者机构：大连理工大学管理与经济学部;大连海事大学综合交通运输协同创新中心;
- 论文关键词：绿色增长 ; 协同 ; 自然资本 ; 最优控制模型 ; 港口城市
- 英文论文关键词：green growth ; co-evolutionary ; natural capital ; optimal control model ; city-ports
- 会议召开时间：2016-11-12
- 会议录名称：第十二届中国科技政策与管理学术年会论文集
- 语种：中文
- 分类号：F299.2
- 学会代码：ZGXF
- 会议名称：第十二届中国科技政策与管理学术年会暨研究会理事会
- 会议地点：中国重庆
- 主办单位：中国科学学与科技政策研究会
- 学会名称：中国科学学与科技政策研究会
- 页数：22
- 文件大小：804k
- 原文格式：D
- 会议级别：全国
摘要
明晰港口城市"绿色增长"的发展机制可为地方政府高层推动港口城市的绿色转型提供参考。本文从港口城市海岸线资源这一自然资本"适度"损害的可能性约束、港口城市GDP与港口吞吐能力之间协同的"稳态"二个关注点构建了适用于中国的港口城市"绿色增长"具有普遍性发展机制的理论框架,运用建立的非线性最优控制模型对港口城市——唐山进行了实例分析,结果表明:减少因港口吞吐能力增长对港口城市海岸线资源的损害比例是保证港口城市"绿色增长"的基本前提;提升港口城市GDP的港口经济贡献度、降低港口城市GDP水平的增长调控系数和因港口损耗等表征港口吞吐能力的自然衰退率则有利于提高"稳态"水平。最后,针对不同控制因素的预期影响,提出了相应的建议。
A clarification of "green growth" development mechanism of city-ports can provide "reference" for local government decision makers to promote the city-ports green transformation. The paper develop a theoretical framework on "green growth" development mechanism which is a universal one suitable for Chinese city-ports by a perspective on two concerns, one is a possible constraints of "moderate" damage on natural capital which can be described by city-ports coastal resources, the other one is city-ports' GDP and ports' cargo-handling capacity co-evolve and are drawn towards a steady state. Subsequently, a nonlinear optimal control model is established and applied to the city-port Tangshan. The Case study results show that reduce damage ratio on city-ports coastal resources due to the promotion of ports' cargo-handling capacity is the basic premise of ensuring "green growth" of city-ports, and enhance the economic contribution of port to city-ports' GDP and reduce the coefficient of city-ports' GDP growth speed of adjustment and the depreciation rate of ports' cargo-handling capacity due to the natural loss can lead to a higher "steady state". Finally, corresponding suggestions are put forward for expectations of the above different controlling factors.
A clarification of "green growth" development mechanism of city-ports can provide "reference" for local government decision makers to promote the city-ports green transformation. The paper develop a theoretical framework on "green growth" development mechanism which is a universal one suitable for Chinese city-ports by a perspective on two concerns, one is a possible constraints of "moderate" damage on natural capital which can be described by city-ports coastal resources, the other one is city-ports' GDP and ports' cargo-handling capacity co-evolve and are drawn towards a steady state. Subsequently, a nonlinear optimal control model is established and applied to the city-port Tangshan. The Case study results show that reduce damage ratio on city-ports coastal resources due to the promotion of ports' cargo-handling capacity is the basic premise of ensuring "green growth" of city-ports, and enhance the economic contribution of port to city-ports' GDP and reduce the coefficient of city-ports' GDP growth speed of adjustment and the depreciation rate of ports' cargo-handling capacity due to the natural loss can lead to a higher "steady state". Finally, corresponding suggestions are put forward for expectations of the above different controlling factors.
引文
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[2]Hu A.Embracing China's"New Normal"Why the Economy Is Still on Track[J].Foreign Affairs,2015,94(3):8-12.
[3]余丹林,毛汉英,高群.状态空间衡量区域承载状况初探--以环渤海地区为例[J].地理研究,2003,22(2):201-210.
[4]Fay M,Hallegatte S,Bank W.Inclusive Green Growth:The Pathway to Sustainable Development[M].The World Bank,2012.
[5]俞海,张永亮,王勇.“十三五”中国绿色增长路线图[R].环境保护部环境与经济政策研究中心,2015
[6]Zhang J,Hu X,Li Q,et al.Evaluation and comparison of the resource and environmental carrying capacity of the 10 main urban agglomerations in China[J].Nature Environment&Pollution Technology,2015,14(3):573-584.
[7]赵宇哲,刘芳.生态港口评价指标体系的构建-基于R聚类、变异系数与专家经验的分析[J].科研管理,2015(2):124-132.
[8]De Borger B.Private port pricing an public investment in port and hinterland capacity[J].Journal of Transport Economics&Policy,2008,42(5):27-561.
[9]杨广宁,吕培贤.关于改革港口投资管理体制的思考[J].中国港口,2001(12):11-11.
[10]张永亮,俞海.“十三五”绿色增长的关键领域[J].党政视野,2015(12):46-46.
[11]陈佳贵,黄群慧.工业发展,国情变化与经济现代化战略[J].中国社会科学,2005,1:4-16.
[12]Change C.Green growth in practice:lessons from country experiences[J].Green Growth Best Practice,2014.
[13]Zhang L J,Liu H G,Zhang R J,et al.Prioritization of green growth options and pathways[J].Boer Y De Green Growth in Practice Lessons from Country Experiences,2014,18:1303-6.
[14]胡云超.港口物流与城市经济协同发展研究[D].北京交通大学,2007.
[15]Girard L F.Toward a Smart Sustainable Development of Port Cities/Areas:The Role of the“Historic Urban Landscape”Approach[J].Sustainability,2013,5(10):4329-4348.
[16]Murgai R.The Green Revolution and the productivity paradox:evidence from the Indian Punjab[J].Agricultural Economics,2001,25(2-3):199-209.
[17]UNESCAP.Shifting Towards“Green Growth”in Asia and the Pacific[R].Souel,2005.
[18]OECD.Declaration on Green Growth[R].Singapore,2009.
[19]OECD.Towards Green Growth[R].OECD Meeting of the Council,2011.
[20]邵超峰,鞠美庭,楚春礼,等.我国生态港口的建设思路与发展对策[J].生态学报,2008,28(11):5601-5609.
[21]刘翠莲,郁斢兰.论我国绿色港口建设[J].武汉理工大学学报,2011,24(3):328-331.
[22]周晶淼,肖贵蓉,武春友.环境资源约束下基于Solow模型的绿色消费路径研究[J].科研管理,2016,37(9):152-160.
[23]OCDE.Strategic planning and contributions to green growth[J].Sourceoecd Finance&Investment/insurance&Pensions,2012,2011(17):152-168.
[24]Foster A D,Rosenzweig M R.Technical Change and Human-Capital Returns and Investments:Evidence from the Green Revolution[J].American Economic Review,1996,86(4):931-53.
[25]Studies O G G.Green growth indicators 2014[M].OECD,2014.
[26]Ditan A N.The socio-economic impact of the operation of the port of Batangas on the development of the coastal municipalities of the Batangas Bay region.[J].American Heart Journal,2010,165(6):893-901.
[27]Trujillo L.Econometric estimation of scale and scope economies within the Port Sector:a review[J].Maritime Policy&Management,2007,34(3):203-223.
[28]Chen Z.Research on the Interaction between Innovation and Port-City Economic System:A Case from China[J].Discrete Dynamics in Nature&Society,2015,2015(6):1-9.
[29]Liberini F.Economic Growth and Infrastructure Gap in Latin America[J].Rivista Di Politica Economica,2006,96(6):145-186.
[30]Davidson P.Money,Portfolio Balance,Capital Accumulation,and Economic Growth[J].Econometrica,1968,36(2):291-321.
[31]Jones C I.Time series tests of endogenous growth models[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,1993,110(2):495-525..
[32]王缉宪.中国港口城市的互动与发展[M].东南大学出版社,2010.
[33]Zailani S,Iranmanesh M,Nikbin D,et al.Determinants and environmental outcome of green technology innovation adoption in the transportation industry in Malaysia[J].Asian Journal of Technology Innovation,2014,22(2):286-301.
[34]Zhuang W,Luo M,Fu X.A game theory analysis of port specialization-implications to the Chinese port industry[J].Maritime Policy&Management,2014,41(3):268-287.
[35]Jacobs W,Notteboom T.An evolutionary perspective on regional port systems:the role of windows of opportunity in shaping seaport competition[J].Environment and Planning A,2011,43(7):1674-1692.
[36]Aihu W,Guihua K.Research on the Evolution and Competition Situation of the Container Port Cluster System in China[C].International Forum on Shipping,Ports and Airports(IFSPA)2013:Trade,Supply Chain Activities and Transport:Contemporary Logistics and Maritime Issues.2013.