大規模崩塌之離散數值模擬初探——以獅子山為例
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摘要
本研究針對高雄市杉林區新庄聚落獅子山大規模崩塌進行現地調查及崩塌運移模擬,以提供初步防災應變之參考依據。該崩塌地面積約10.3公頃,崩塌邊界最高高程為418公尺,最低高程為210公尺,平面距離為520公尺,坡址距離保全住戶僅有230公尺。根據基本資料蒐集結果,坡度較陡之區位分布於近稜線側及坡趾處,坡度由35度至70度不等,平均坡度為23度。從坡向圖得知本研究區坡向以朝北居多(17.8%),但除朝西與西南向外,其餘八方位分布比例相近,地貌屬丘狀地形(Hummocky relief),可能具早期潛移之跡象。本研究以數值高程模型(Digital Elevation Model)進行地形之建模,採離散元素法數值模擬軟體PFC~(3D)進行分析。崩塌滑動模型部分,則進行遙測影像、現場地質調查,其目的除評估破壞機制外,亦根據現地崩塌材料進行數值模擬參數修正,以建立符合現況之模擬。本研究之大規模崩塌模擬結果提出可能的影響範圍、疏散避難與保全對象劃設等工作,以指出該區域初步之危險坡地聚落防減災目標。
Our research focused on the deep-seated landslide which occurred on Shih Tzu Shan,Xinzhuang,Shanling District,Kaoshiung.This study conducted field investigation and landslide transport simulation to provide initial emergency response for reference.The landslide area is about 10.3 hectares,with the highest elevation of landslide boundary is 418 m,the lowest elevation is 210 m,and the direct distance is 520 m,between the protected targets just only 230 m.According to the results of basic data collection,the distribution of steepest area is at the site near ridge and at the toe,and the range of slope values in degrees is 35° to 70°,and the average degree is 23°.According to the slope aspect diagram,the majority slope aspect in the study area is north(17.8%),while remaining eight azimuth has approximate distribution proportion except the westward and southwestward.The landform of study area is similar to hummocky relief,which shows the signs of creeping.In this study,we use Digital Elevation Model to model the terrain,and analyze with discrete element method numerical simulation software PFC~(3D).In the part of collapse sliding model,we conducted the telemetry image and field geological survey,which aims to estimate the failure mechanism,but also revise the numerical modeling parameter in accordance with field collapse material in order to establish a simulation conformed to the current situation.The results show that the deep-seated landslide simulation propose the possible affected range,evacuation and the delimit of protected targets,etc,and therefore further indicate the preliminary hazardous slope of those area to reach the target of disaster prevention and alleviation.
引文
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