Multi-Criteria Decision Making-Based Comparison of Power Source Technologies for Utilization in Automobiles
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- 英文论文题名：Multi-Criteria Decision Making-Based Comparison of Power Source Technologies for Utilization in Automobiles
- 论文作者：G?rkem F.ü?tu? ; Naz E.Kabakc? ; O.Bu?u Bekdikhan ; Betül Akyürek
- 英文论文作者：G?rkem F.ü?tu? ; Naz E.Kabakc? ; O.Bu?u Bekdikhan ; Betül Akyürek ; the Energy Systems Engineering Department ; Bahcesehir University
- 年：2015
- 作者机构：the Energy Systems Engineering Department,Bahcesehir University;
- 英文论文关键词：Electric vehicles ; fuel cell vehicles ; hybrid electric vehicles ; internal combustion engine ; multi-criteria decision making ; TOPSIS
- 会议召开时间：2015-05-01
- 会议录名称：Journal of Clean Energy Technologies Vol.3 No.3
- 语种：英文
- 分类号：U469.7
- 学会代码：CDYA
- 学会名称：成都亚昂教育咨询有限公司
- 页数：8
- 文件大小：1837k
- 原文格式：D
摘要
Four automobiles with different power sources were compared and ranked according to five different criteria by using a multi-criteria decision making approach named TOPSIS.An internal combustion engine vehicle,an electric vehicle,a hybrid electric vehicle and a hydrogen fuel cell vehicle,all with similar sizes and characteristics,were compared in terms of their initial costs,operating costs,environmental effects on-board safety and performance.The scores for each of these criteria were obtained from the literature.Criteria weights were determined via a survey which was conducted to a total of 151 people,who were then divided into three groups according to their monthly income,considering that with variant incomes preferences and priorities differ.For all cases,the ideal technology emerged to be internal combustion engine vehicles,due to their low initial costs,external costs and high performance.Hybrid electric vehicles appeared almost as favorable as internal combustion engine automobiles.Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles gathered the least scores,given the premature state of the technology and consequent high prices.The results of our study show that while internal combustion engine vehicles continue to dominate the automotive market for the time being,hybrid electric vehicles have the potential to become competitive alternatives.
Four automobiles with different power sources were compared and ranked according to five different criteria by using a multi-criteria decision making approach named TOPSIS.An internal combustion engine vehicle,an electric vehicle,a hybrid electric vehicle and a hydrogen fuel cell vehicle,all with similar sizes and characteristics,were compared in terms of their initial costs,operating costs,environmental effects on-board safety and performance.The scores for each of these criteria were obtained from the literature.Criteria weights were determined via a survey which was conducted to a total of 151 people,who were then divided into three groups according to their monthly income,considering that with variant incomes preferences and priorities differ.For all cases,the ideal technology emerged to be internal combustion engine vehicles,due to their low initial costs,external costs and high performance.Hybrid electric vehicles appeared almost as favorable as internal combustion engine automobiles.Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles gathered the least scores,given the premature state of the technology and consequent high prices.The results of our study show that while internal combustion engine vehicles continue to dominate the automotive market for the time being,hybrid electric vehicles have the potential to become competitive alternatives.
Four automobiles with different power sources were compared and ranked according to five different criteria by using a multi-criteria decision making approach named TOPSIS.An internal combustion engine vehicle,an electric vehicle,a hybrid electric vehicle and a hydrogen fuel cell vehicle,all with similar sizes and characteristics,were compared in terms of their initial costs,operating costs,environmental effects on-board safety and performance.The scores for each of these criteria were obtained from the literature.Criteria weights were determined via a survey which was conducted to a total of 151 people,who were then divided into three groups according to their monthly income,considering that with variant incomes preferences and priorities differ.For all cases,the ideal technology emerged to be internal combustion engine vehicles,due to their low initial costs,external costs and high performance.Hybrid electric vehicles appeared almost as favorable as internal combustion engine automobiles.Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles gathered the least scores,given the premature state of the technology and consequent high prices.The results of our study show that while internal combustion engine vehicles continue to dominate the automotive market for the time being,hybrid electric vehicles have the potential to become competitive alternatives.
引文
[1]O.P.R van Vliet,T.Kruithof,W.C.Turkenburg,and A.P.C.Faaij,“Techno-economic comparison of series hybrid,plug-in hybrid,fuel cell and regular cars,”Journal of Power Sources,vol.195,pp.6570-6585,October 2010.
[2]R.Schmidt,“Information technology energy usage and our planet,”in Proc.2008 ITHERM Conf.,2008,pp.1255-1275.
[3]B.Johnston,M.C.Mayo,and A.Khare,“Hydrogen:The energy source for the 21st century,”Technovation,vol.25,pp.569-585,June2005.
[4]S.Verhelst and T.Wallner,“Hydrogen-fueled internal combustion engines,”Progress in Energy and Combustion Science,vol.35,pp.490-527,December 2009.
[5]G.H.Tzeng,C.W.Lina,and S.Opricovic,“Multi-criteria analysis of alternative-fuel buses for public transportation,”Energy Policy,vol.33,pp.1373-1383,July 2005.
[6]K.G.Duleep,“Internal combustion engine vehicles,”Encyclopedia of Energy,vol.3,2004.
[7]A.M.K.P.Taylor,“Science review of internal combustion engines,”Energy Policy,vol.36,pp.4657-4667,December 2008.
[8]O.van Vielet,A.S.Brouwer,T.Kuramochi,M.van den Broek,and A.Faaij,“Energy use,cost and CO2 emissions of electric cars,”Journal of Power Sources,vol.196,pp.2298-2310,February 2011.
[9]C.Silva,M.Ross,and T.Farias,“Evaluation of energy consumption,emissions and cost of plug-in hybrid vehicles,”Energy Conversion and Management,vol.50,pp.1635-1643,July 2009.
[10]S.F.Tie and C.W.Tan,“A review of energy sources and energy management system in electric vehioicles,”Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,vol.20,pp.82-102,April 2013.
[11]T.Katrasnik,“Analytical framework for analyzing the energy conversion efficiency of different hybrid electric vehicle topologies,”Energy Conversion and Management,vol.50,pp.1924-1938,August2009.
[12]S.M.Lukic and A.Emadi,“Effect of drivetrain hybridization on fuel economy and dynamic performance of parallel hybrid electric vehicles,”IEEE Trans on Vehicular Technology,vol.53,pp.385-389,March 2004.
[13]H.Lee and H.Kim,“Improvement in fuel economy for a parallel hybrid electric vehicle by continuously variable transmission ratio control,”in Proc.the Institution of Mechanical Engineers,Part D:Journal of Automobile Engineering,2005,vol.219,pp.43-51.
[14]S.S.Williamson and A.Emadi,“Comparative assessment of hybrid electric and fuel cell vehicles based on comprehensive well-to-wheels efficiency analysis,”IEEE Trans on Vehicular Technology,vol.54,pp.856-862,May 2005.
[15]J.J.Hwang,“Sustainability study of hydrogen pathways for fuel cell vehicle applications,”Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,vol.19,pp.220-229,March 2013.
[16]J.J.Hwang,J.K.Kuo,W.Wu,W.R.Chang,C.H.Lin,and S.E.Wang,“Lifecycle performance assessment of fuel cell/battery electric vehicles,”International Journal of Hydrogen Energy,vol.38,pp.3433-3446,March 2013.
[17]L.Barelli,G.Bidini,and A.Ottaviano,“Optimization of a PEMFC/battery pack power system for a bus application,”Applied Energy,vol.97,pp.777-784,September 2012.
[18]M.Behzadian,S.K.Otaghsara,M.Yazdani,and J.Ignatius,“Astate-of the-art survey of TOPSIS applications,”Expert Systems with Applications,vol.39,pp.13051-13069,December 2012.
[19]C.L.Hwang and K.P.Yoon,Multiple Attribute Decision Making:Methods and Applications,New York:Springer-Verlag,1981.
[20]K.Sadeghzadeh and M.B.Salehi,“Mathematical analysis of fuel cell strategic technologies development solutions in the automotive industry by the TOPSIS multi-criteria decision making method,”International Journal of Hydrogen Energy,vol.36,pp.13272-13280,October 2011.
[21]A.Shanian and O.Savadogo,“TOPSIS multiple-criteria decision support analysis for material selection of metallic bipolar plates for polymer electrolyte fuel cell,”Journal of Power Sources,vol.159,pp.1095-1104,September 2006.
[22]M.Wu and Z.Liu,“The supplier selection application based on two methods:VIKOR algorithm with entropy method and Fuzzy TOPSISwith vague sets method,”International Journal of Management Science and Engineering Management,vol.6,pp.110-116,2011.
[23]B.Roy,“The outranking approach and the foundations of ELECTREmethods,”Theory and Decision,vol.31,pp.49-73,July 1991.
[24]T.L.Saaty,Fundamentals of Decision Making and Priority Theory with the Analytic Hierarchy Process,USA:RWS Publication,2000.
[25]F.Xinhong and W.Huang.(April 2013).An engineering appraisal bidding model based on improved TOPSIS method.[Online].Available:http://www.seiofbluemountain.com/upload/product/200910/2009glhy13a11.pdf
[26]F.Cavallaro,“Fuzzy TOPSIS approach for assessing thermal-energy storage in concentrated solar power(CSP)systems,”Applied Energy,vol.87,pp.496-503,February 2010.
[27]A.T.D.Perera,R.A.Attalage,K.K.C.K.Perera,and V.P.C.Dassanayake,“A hybrid tool to combine multi-objective optimization and multi-criterion decision making in designing standalone hybrid energy systems,”Applied Energy,vol.107,pp.412-425,July 2013.
[28]J.Dong,Y.Chi,D.Zou,C.Fu,Q.Huang,and M.Ni,“Energy-environment-economy assessment of waste management systems from a life cycle perspective:Model development and case study,”Applied Energy,vol.114,pp.400-408,February 2014.
[29]I.Chamodrakas and D.Martakos,“A utility-based fuzzy TOPSISmethod for energy efficient network selection in heterogeneous wireless networks,”Applied Soft Computing,vol.11,pp.3734-3743,June 2011.
[30]T.Kaya and C.Kahraman,“Multicriteria decision making in energy planning using a modified fuzzy TOPSIS methodology,”Expert Systems with Applications,vol.38,pp.6577-6585,June 2011.
[31]G.Yan,Z.Ling,and Z.Dequn,“Performance Evaluation of coal enterprises energy conservation and reduction of pollutant emissions base on GRD-TOPSIS,”Energy Procedia,vol.5,pp.535-539,2011.
[32]T.Wang and B.C.Xin,“Thermal power plant sitting based on TOPSISmethod,”Procedia Engineering,vol.15,pp.5384-5388,2011.
[33]D.Choudhary and R.Shankar,“An STEEP-fuzzy AHP-TOPSISframework for evaluation and selection of thermal power plant location:A case study from India,”Energy,vol.42,pp.510-521,June 2012.
[34]B.Vahdani,M.Zandieh,and R.Tavakkoli-Moghaddam,“Two novel FMCDM methods for alternative-fuel buses selection,”Applied Mathematical Modelling,vol.35,pp.1396-1412,March 2011.
[35]D.Streimikine,T.Balezentis,and L.Balezentiene,“Comparative assessment of road transport technologies,”Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,vol.20,pp.611-618,April 2013.
[36]Compare Side-by-Side.(March 28,2013).[Online].Available:http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/Find.do?action=sbs&id=33024&id=33315&id=33289&id=33290.
[37]Benefits and challenges of fuel cell vehicles.(April 14,2013).[Online].Available:http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/fcv_benefits.shtml
[38]B.Halvorson.(March 27,2013).2012 Ford focus safety review and crash test ratings.[Online].Available:http://www.thecarconnection.com/review/1057345_2012-ford-focus_safety_5.
[39]B.Halvorson.(March 27,2013).2013 Toyota Yaris safety review and crash test ratings.[Online].Available:http://www.thecarconnection.com/review/1080573_2013-toyota-yaris_safety_5.
[40]J.Voelcker.(May 31,2013).2013 Toyota Prius safety review and crash test ratings.[Online].Available:http://www.thecarconnection.com/review/1079583_2013-toyota-priu s_safety_5.
[41]Information on Honda FCX clarity.(May 6,2013).[Online].Available:http://automobiles.honda.com/fcx-clarity/.
[42]D.Gluckman.(May 5,2013).2012 ford focus electric official photos and information.[Online].Available:http://www.caranddriver.com/news/2012-ford-focus-electric-revealed-ford-focus-news.
[43]J.Gall.(May 5,2013).Information on 2012 Toyota Prius C.[Online].Available:http://www.caranddriver.com/reviews/2012-toyota-prius-c-first-drivereviews.
[44]S.Siler.(May 5,2013).Information on 2012 Toyota Yaris.[Online].Available:http://www.caranddriver.com/reviews/2012-toyota-yaris-first-drive-re view.
[45]Honda FCX Clarity Frequently Asked Questions[Online].Available:http://automobiles.honda.com/fcx-clarity/faq.aspx.
[46]C.E.Thomas.(October 3,2013).Fuel cell and battery electric vehicles compared.[Online].Available:www1.eere.energy.gov/hydrogenandfuelcells/education/pdfs/thomas_fcev_vs_battery_evs.pdf.
[47]G.Blencoe.(October 3,2013).Cost of hydrogen from different sources.[Online].Available:http://www.h2carblog.com/?p=461.
[48]C.Murray.(October 3,2013).Why electric cars are safer.[Online].Available:http://www.designnews.com/author.asp?section_id=1366&doc_id=267317&dfp PParams=ind_184,industry_auto,bid_318,aid_267317&dfp Layout=blog.
[49]Electric cars are safer.[Online].Available:http://hfboards.hockeysfuture.com/showthread.php?p=70989127.
[50]A.Yousefi and A.Hadi-Vencheh,“An integrated group decision making model and its evaluation by DEA for automobile industry,”Expert Systems with Applications,vol.37,pp.8543-8556,December2010.
[2]R.Schmidt,“Information technology energy usage and our planet,”in Proc.2008 ITHERM Conf.,2008,pp.1255-1275.
[3]B.Johnston,M.C.Mayo,and A.Khare,“Hydrogen:The energy source for the 21st century,”Technovation,vol.25,pp.569-585,June2005.
[4]S.Verhelst and T.Wallner,“Hydrogen-fueled internal combustion engines,”Progress in Energy and Combustion Science,vol.35,pp.490-527,December 2009.
[5]G.H.Tzeng,C.W.Lina,and S.Opricovic,“Multi-criteria analysis of alternative-fuel buses for public transportation,”Energy Policy,vol.33,pp.1373-1383,July 2005.
[6]K.G.Duleep,“Internal combustion engine vehicles,”Encyclopedia of Energy,vol.3,2004.
[7]A.M.K.P.Taylor,“Science review of internal combustion engines,”Energy Policy,vol.36,pp.4657-4667,December 2008.
[8]O.van Vielet,A.S.Brouwer,T.Kuramochi,M.van den Broek,and A.Faaij,“Energy use,cost and CO2 emissions of electric cars,”Journal of Power Sources,vol.196,pp.2298-2310,February 2011.
[9]C.Silva,M.Ross,and T.Farias,“Evaluation of energy consumption,emissions and cost of plug-in hybrid vehicles,”Energy Conversion and Management,vol.50,pp.1635-1643,July 2009.
[10]S.F.Tie and C.W.Tan,“A review of energy sources and energy management system in electric vehioicles,”Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,vol.20,pp.82-102,April 2013.
[11]T.Katrasnik,“Analytical framework for analyzing the energy conversion efficiency of different hybrid electric vehicle topologies,”Energy Conversion and Management,vol.50,pp.1924-1938,August2009.
[12]S.M.Lukic and A.Emadi,“Effect of drivetrain hybridization on fuel economy and dynamic performance of parallel hybrid electric vehicles,”IEEE Trans on Vehicular Technology,vol.53,pp.385-389,March 2004.
[13]H.Lee and H.Kim,“Improvement in fuel economy for a parallel hybrid electric vehicle by continuously variable transmission ratio control,”in Proc.the Institution of Mechanical Engineers,Part D:Journal of Automobile Engineering,2005,vol.219,pp.43-51.
[14]S.S.Williamson and A.Emadi,“Comparative assessment of hybrid electric and fuel cell vehicles based on comprehensive well-to-wheels efficiency analysis,”IEEE Trans on Vehicular Technology,vol.54,pp.856-862,May 2005.
[15]J.J.Hwang,“Sustainability study of hydrogen pathways for fuel cell vehicle applications,”Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,vol.19,pp.220-229,March 2013.
[16]J.J.Hwang,J.K.Kuo,W.Wu,W.R.Chang,C.H.Lin,and S.E.Wang,“Lifecycle performance assessment of fuel cell/battery electric vehicles,”International Journal of Hydrogen Energy,vol.38,pp.3433-3446,March 2013.
[17]L.Barelli,G.Bidini,and A.Ottaviano,“Optimization of a PEMFC/battery pack power system for a bus application,”Applied Energy,vol.97,pp.777-784,September 2012.
[18]M.Behzadian,S.K.Otaghsara,M.Yazdani,and J.Ignatius,“Astate-of the-art survey of TOPSIS applications,”Expert Systems with Applications,vol.39,pp.13051-13069,December 2012.
[19]C.L.Hwang and K.P.Yoon,Multiple Attribute Decision Making:Methods and Applications,New York:Springer-Verlag,1981.
[20]K.Sadeghzadeh and M.B.Salehi,“Mathematical analysis of fuel cell strategic technologies development solutions in the automotive industry by the TOPSIS multi-criteria decision making method,”International Journal of Hydrogen Energy,vol.36,pp.13272-13280,October 2011.
[21]A.Shanian and O.Savadogo,“TOPSIS multiple-criteria decision support analysis for material selection of metallic bipolar plates for polymer electrolyte fuel cell,”Journal of Power Sources,vol.159,pp.1095-1104,September 2006.
[22]M.Wu and Z.Liu,“The supplier selection application based on two methods:VIKOR algorithm with entropy method and Fuzzy TOPSISwith vague sets method,”International Journal of Management Science and Engineering Management,vol.6,pp.110-116,2011.
[23]B.Roy,“The outranking approach and the foundations of ELECTREmethods,”Theory and Decision,vol.31,pp.49-73,July 1991.
[24]T.L.Saaty,Fundamentals of Decision Making and Priority Theory with the Analytic Hierarchy Process,USA:RWS Publication,2000.
[25]F.Xinhong and W.Huang.(April 2013).An engineering appraisal bidding model based on improved TOPSIS method.[Online].Available:http://www.seiofbluemountain.com/upload/product/200910/2009glhy13a11.pdf
[26]F.Cavallaro,“Fuzzy TOPSIS approach for assessing thermal-energy storage in concentrated solar power(CSP)systems,”Applied Energy,vol.87,pp.496-503,February 2010.
[27]A.T.D.Perera,R.A.Attalage,K.K.C.K.Perera,and V.P.C.Dassanayake,“A hybrid tool to combine multi-objective optimization and multi-criterion decision making in designing standalone hybrid energy systems,”Applied Energy,vol.107,pp.412-425,July 2013.
[28]J.Dong,Y.Chi,D.Zou,C.Fu,Q.Huang,and M.Ni,“Energy-environment-economy assessment of waste management systems from a life cycle perspective:Model development and case study,”Applied Energy,vol.114,pp.400-408,February 2014.
[29]I.Chamodrakas and D.Martakos,“A utility-based fuzzy TOPSISmethod for energy efficient network selection in heterogeneous wireless networks,”Applied Soft Computing,vol.11,pp.3734-3743,June 2011.
[30]T.Kaya and C.Kahraman,“Multicriteria decision making in energy planning using a modified fuzzy TOPSIS methodology,”Expert Systems with Applications,vol.38,pp.6577-6585,June 2011.
[31]G.Yan,Z.Ling,and Z.Dequn,“Performance Evaluation of coal enterprises energy conservation and reduction of pollutant emissions base on GRD-TOPSIS,”Energy Procedia,vol.5,pp.535-539,2011.
[32]T.Wang and B.C.Xin,“Thermal power plant sitting based on TOPSISmethod,”Procedia Engineering,vol.15,pp.5384-5388,2011.
[33]D.Choudhary and R.Shankar,“An STEEP-fuzzy AHP-TOPSISframework for evaluation and selection of thermal power plant location:A case study from India,”Energy,vol.42,pp.510-521,June 2012.
[34]B.Vahdani,M.Zandieh,and R.Tavakkoli-Moghaddam,“Two novel FMCDM methods for alternative-fuel buses selection,”Applied Mathematical Modelling,vol.35,pp.1396-1412,March 2011.
[35]D.Streimikine,T.Balezentis,and L.Balezentiene,“Comparative assessment of road transport technologies,”Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,vol.20,pp.611-618,April 2013.
[36]Compare Side-by-Side.(March 28,2013).[Online].Available:http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/Find.do?action=sbs&id=33024&id=33315&id=33289&id=33290.
[37]Benefits and challenges of fuel cell vehicles.(April 14,2013).[Online].Available:http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/fcv_benefits.shtml
[38]B.Halvorson.(March 27,2013).2012 Ford focus safety review and crash test ratings.[Online].Available:http://www.thecarconnection.com/review/1057345_2012-ford-focus_safety_5.
[39]B.Halvorson.(March 27,2013).2013 Toyota Yaris safety review and crash test ratings.[Online].Available:http://www.thecarconnection.com/review/1080573_2013-toyota-yaris_safety_5.
[40]J.Voelcker.(May 31,2013).2013 Toyota Prius safety review and crash test ratings.[Online].Available:http://www.thecarconnection.com/review/1079583_2013-toyota-priu s_safety_5.
[41]Information on Honda FCX clarity.(May 6,2013).[Online].Available:http://automobiles.honda.com/fcx-clarity/.
[42]D.Gluckman.(May 5,2013).2012 ford focus electric official photos and information.[Online].Available:http://www.caranddriver.com/news/2012-ford-focus-electric-revealed-ford-focus-news.
[43]J.Gall.(May 5,2013).Information on 2012 Toyota Prius C.[Online].Available:http://www.caranddriver.com/reviews/2012-toyota-prius-c-first-drivereviews.
[44]S.Siler.(May 5,2013).Information on 2012 Toyota Yaris.[Online].Available:http://www.caranddriver.com/reviews/2012-toyota-yaris-first-drive-re view.
[45]Honda FCX Clarity Frequently Asked Questions[Online].Available:http://automobiles.honda.com/fcx-clarity/faq.aspx.
[46]C.E.Thomas.(October 3,2013).Fuel cell and battery electric vehicles compared.[Online].Available:www1.eere.energy.gov/hydrogenandfuelcells/education/pdfs/thomas_fcev_vs_battery_evs.pdf.
[47]G.Blencoe.(October 3,2013).Cost of hydrogen from different sources.[Online].Available:http://www.h2carblog.com/?p=461.
[48]C.Murray.(October 3,2013).Why electric cars are safer.[Online].Available:http://www.designnews.com/author.asp?section_id=1366&doc_id=267317&dfp PParams=ind_184,industry_auto,bid_318,aid_267317&dfp Layout=blog.
[49]Electric cars are safer.[Online].Available:http://hfboards.hockeysfuture.com/showthread.php?p=70989127.
[50]A.Yousefi and A.Hadi-Vencheh,“An integrated group decision making model and its evaluation by DEA for automobile industry,”Expert Systems with Applications,vol.37,pp.8543-8556,December2010.