Optimal Placing of Wind Turbines: Modelling the Uncertainty
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摘要
When looking at the optimal place to locate a wind turbine, trade-offs have to be made between local placement and spreading: transmission loss favours local placements and the correlation between the stochastic productions of wind turbines favours spreading. In this paper steps are described to determine the locations of new wind mills that minimize energy loss on the High Voltage power grid. A vindication of the used power grid model is provided, the simulation procedure for stochastic wind power is described and the required mathematical optimization models are described as well as implemented. Results are shown and their relation to real life problems is discussed. The analysis leads to the observation that in reality the entire Dutch coast is popular to locate wind turbines but the only region where this leads to actual reduction of the losses is the North(Groningen and Friesland). Next to this, at the current share of wind energy in the total network load, a spreading strategy to reduce variance of total wind power production does not seem advisable. At higher penetration(30%or more) spreading will become important.
When looking at the optimal place to locate a wind turbine, trade-offs have to be made between local placement and spreading: transmission loss favours local placements and the correlation between the stochastic productions of wind turbines favours spreading. In this paper steps are described to determine the locations of new wind mills that minimize energy loss on the High Voltage power grid. A vindication of the used power grid model is provided, the simulation procedure for stochastic wind power is described and the required mathematical optimization models are described as well as implemented. Results are shown and their relation to real life problems is discussed. The analysis leads to the observation that in reality the entire Dutch coast is popular to locate wind turbines but the only region where this leads to actual reduction of the losses is the North(Groningen and Friesland). Next to this, at the current share of wind energy in the total network load, a spreading strategy to reduce variance of total wind power production does not seem advisable. At higher penetration(30%or more) spreading will become important.
引文
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    1 Capitals are used to represent complex quantities.
    2 Here capitals represent normal real DC quantities.
    3 Note that it is necessary that the balances sum up to zero,or,total power production equals total power consumption.This is because the DC power flow model assumes that no power losses occur.Power losses are neglected while computing the power flow solution.Afterwards,when the power flow solution has been computed,an estimate is made of the losses that have occurred.
    4 Do not confuse this decision variable xi with the symbol xij or x,used in the previous chapter to denote line reactance.Notational conventions in power engineering demand the use of xij for reactance,and in mathematical programming it is customary to denote first stage decision variables by xi.
    5 The scenario set S is a kind of finite discretization of the sample space Ω of M: in fact, the expectation in the objective function could have been written ∫_wΩ·(∑_(ij)eA(y_ij~w)~2r_ij)dw, whereas the approximation by introducing the scenario set S looks like ∑_xesp~x(∑_(ij)eA(y_ij~x)~2r_ij)
    6 This is the choice made to produce the results in the next section.
    7 The large supply at Beverwijk is explained by offshore wind farms at the height of Noord Holland.The large supplies at Maasvlakte and Geertruidenberg are explained by the large number of Combined Heat and Power(CHP)systems used by greenhouses and industry.Borssele is home to a nuclear power plant.
    8 Note that this is purely theoretical because of the following.In our model extra DG power is compensated by decreasing supply of the original supply nodes.This choice was made in order to approximate the situation in which all commercial power plants in the country take equal share in the compensation.When the share of DG becomes too large,this approximation fails.
    9 This concerns the HV grid:whether spreading strategies on a MV network scale would be desirable from a technical point of view,should be investigated in a different case study.

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