标准化与中国对外贸易发展研究
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摘要
在经济全球化条件下,世界经济处于一个标准化程度不断提高的环境。但是,世界的标准化却因相关国家或地区的差异而呈现出多元化的局面,这种多元化的局面使国际贸易的竞争越来越激烈。但标准究竟怎样影响国际贸易的?中国的标准化对国际贸易影响程度如何?如何通过标准化来促进中国的对外贸易互利共赢地健康发展?系统深入地研究这些问题,具有重要的理论意义和实践价值。
     从现有文献来看,标准化对国际贸易有着重要的影响这个观点被普遍接受,但大多为理论假说和实证分析,鲜有从理论的角度探讨其作用机制。本文从三个方面深入探讨了标准化作用于中国对外贸易发展的机制,丰富了标准化和国际贸易的理论研究。
     首先是标准化对国际贸易规模的影响。贸易规模是一个衡量贸易整体发展水平的指标,探讨标准化对贸易规模的影响,实质上就是将标准作为影响贸易发展的一个因素,研究其作用机制。本文先运用规模经济的思想对此进行解释。标准从技术和制度两方面促进了规模经济的发展,而规模经济是战后国际贸易理论中引入的一个极其重要的贸易发展因素,所以,标准是一个促进贸易发展的因素。接着将网络外部性引进来,因为标准具有非常典型的网络外部性,它改变了消费者和厂商从单纯的技术角度来判断产品价值的习惯,而将用户基础纳入到产品价值判断中来。国际贸易将产品的用户基础从国内市场扩大到国际市场,提高了产品基于网络外部性的价值。再从信息不对称的角度,通过比较有标准和没有标准两种情况下的国际贸易博弈,说明了标准较好地解决了国际贸易中的信息不对称问题。运用中国的标准和贸易数据进行的实证结果表明,标准的确是促进中国对外贸易发展的重要因素之一。
     其次是标准化对国际贸易结构的影响。贸易结构是一个测度贸易发展质量的重要指标。贸易结构是否能够不断优化,是否符合国内经济特点,是一个国家对外贸易考虑的重要内容。标准从技术的角度能够促进贸易结构的高级化,高技术标准提升出口产品的技术含量,促进出口产品的结构高级化,而低技术标准会抑制出口商品技术水平的提升,阻碍出口商品的结构高级化;标准能提高产品内分工强度,促进国际分工的深化和中间产品贸易的发展;但标准对产品多样性的约束却对贸易结构是一个不利因素。中国的经验表明,标准的增加对出口结构的优化和中间产品的贸易有着明显的正相关的关系。
     第三是标准化对国际贸易利益的影响。贸易利益是一个评判贸易发展结果的主要指标。因为标准差异的存在导致产品生产中的利润转移,所以无论是在最终产品贸易中,还是在中间产品贸易中,或是从价值链治理的角度看,谁掌握了标准制定和实施的主动权、控制权,谁就能在国际贸易中获取更多的利益。经过实证检验中国的标准存量和中国价格贸易条件以及产品内贸易条件时,可以证明,国家标准存量的增加有利于我国价格贸易条件的改善。
     通过与英国、德国等国家的标准化发展状况和经济效果的比较发现,虽然中国标准化取得了很好的发展,但与发达国家相比,无论是从标准化的制修订来看,还是从标准对经济增长和贸易发展的作用来看,仍然存在大力拓展的空间。所以文章基于前面的理论和实证分析,从增加国内标准存量、强化国际标准竞争、提升国内标准自主技术含量等方面,就进一步发展我国标准化工作、强化标准化对经济发展的作用提出了一些政策建议。
With the development of economic globalization, the world economy is in a situation with increasing standardization. However, there appears a diversification of standards in the world standardization process because of the differences of the countries or regions involved. This diversification makes competition in international competition more and more fierce. However, how does standard affect international trade? To what extent will China’s standardization affect international trade? How to promote mutual benefits in China’s international trade through standardization? It has important theoretical and practical implications to explore these issues systematically.
     According to the existing literature, it is widely accepted that standardization has an important impact on international trade. However, the existing research mostly focuses on theoretical assumptions and empirical analysis, with few attempting to analyze its theoretical mechanism. In this paper, we explore from three perspectives the mechanism through which standard acts on international trade, enriching the theoretical research in standardization and international trade.
     First is the impact of standardization on scale of international trade. Scale of international trade is an indicator measuring the overall development of trade. To explore the impact of standardization on trade scale is in fact to treat standard as a factor affecting trade development and then to analyze the mechanism. In this paper I first explain this using the theory of scale economy. Standard promotes the development of scale economy from the technological and institutional perspectives, while scale economy which was introduced into international trade theory after World War II, is a very important factor affecting trade development, therefore standard is a factor promoting trade development. Then we introduced the concept of network externalities, since standard has a typical characteristic of network externalities which changed the consumers’and producers’practice of evaluating product value merely from the technical perspective without taking into consideration of the user base. The user base of a product is enlarged from domestic market to international market through international trade, increasing product value based on network externalities. Empirical evidence using China’s standard and trade statistics indicates that standard is really one of the important factors promoting China’s foreign trade development.
     Second is the impact of standardization on international trade structure. Trade structure is an important indicator measuring the quality of trade development. Whether the trade structure can be optimized continuously and whether it suits the domestic economic characteristics or not are both important issues when considering a country’s foreign trade. Technologically, standard can advance the international trade structure with high technological standard being able to raise the technological content of the exported products, hence the structure advancement of exported products; on the contrary, product with low technological content will check the quality jump of the exported products, inhibiting the structure advancement of the exports products. Standard can help increase the intensity of production process division, deepen the international division of labor and development of trade in intermediate products. However, the constraint of standards on product diversification is an unfavorable factor. China’s experience indicates that increase of standards has a significantly positive impact on optimization of export structure and trade in intermediate products.
     Third is the impact of standardization on international trade benefits. Trade benefit is the major indicator assessing the results of trade development. Differences in standards result in profit transfer in the manufacturing process. Therefore, whether viewed from the perspective of final product, intermediate product, or value chain governance, who takes the initiative and has control right over the promulgation and implementation of the standards, who then can gain more benefits in the international trade. The empirical testing of China’s standard stock, China’s price terms of trade and the terms of trade by production process division show that increase of national standard stock is conducive to improvement of China’s price terms of trade.
     After comparing the development status of standardization process and its economic effect among China, Britain and Germany, we found that although China’s standardization has made some progress, compared to the developed countries, whether considered from the promulgation and its implementation and modification, or from the perspective of the role of standardization on economic and trade development, there still exists a large room for further development in China. Therefore, based on the above theoretical and empirical analyses, we give some suggestions on how to further develop our standardization and strengthen the impact of standardization on economic development in such aspects as strengthening international competition in standards, increasing the self-owned technological content of domestic standards and so on.
引文
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    ①杨益,全球贸易救济的现状、发展及我国面临的形势,国际贸易,2007(9):4-9
    ①夏先良,面对外国技术性贸易壁垒:中国的战略措施,国际贸易,2007(7)
    ②国家质检总局,中国技术性贸易措施年度报告(2007)
    ③Shapiro和Varian(1999)认为标准战已经成为信息时代的固有特征。
    
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