天津港东疆保税港区后方堆场发展战略研究
摘要
滨海新区的开发开放已纳入国家发展战略,滨海新区的功能定位之一是成为北方国际航运中心和国际物流中心。天津港作为滨海新区建设北方国际航运中心和国际物流中心的核心载体,面临着前所未有的发展机遇。东疆保税港区后方堆场作为天津港货物暂存、中转和物流加工的主要场所势必会迎来更大更广阔的发展空间。天津港东疆保税港区作为推进天津滨海新区开发开放的重要的改革试验基地和桥头堡,其后方堆场的建设加快了东疆港区开放的步伐,翻开天津港迈向新时代的扉页,也为新港区的发展赋予了崭新的内涵。东疆保税港区后方堆场战略研究在这个大背景下应运而生,成为东疆保税港区发展战略的研究成为重要课题。
本文从东疆保税港区后方堆场可持续发展的角度,根据发展战略理论,结合东疆保税港区后方堆场自身资源特点,深入分析和探讨了保税港区后方堆场的内外部战略环境、发展战略的目标、发展战略重点、发展战略规划和发展战略的实施措施。首先分析了天津港东疆保税港区后方堆场发展战略研究的背景与意义,阐述了保税港区后方堆场的基本理论；紧接着结合天津港东疆保税港区的发展现状,分析了东疆保税港区后方堆场的内外部战略环境；然后根据东疆保税港区主营货类为集装箱的事实,分别应用三种单项预测模型预测天津港的集装箱吞吐量,比较优化后最终采用组合预测模型进行了优化预测；在前面已有分析的基础上,结合保税港区后方堆场发展战略的指导思想与战略定位,给出了东疆保税港区后方堆场的发展战略目标、发展战略重点和未来10年的战略规划；最后,提出了东疆保税港区后方堆场发展战略的实施措施和未来发展的展望。
The development and opening of Binhai New Area has been integrated into national development strategies, one of the Function of Binhai New Area is to become the northern international shipping center and an international logistics center. Tianjin port, as a core carrier in Binhai New Area,as is facing unprecedented opportunities for development. The rear yard of Dongjiang Bonded Port,as the main places for goods temporary, transit and logistics processing, is bound to usher in a greater and more broad space for development. Dongjiang Bonded Port as the development of Tianjin Binhai New Area of reform and opening up important test base and bridgehead. The rear yard construction accelerates the pace of open port, opens a new page and gives new connotation for the development of Tianjin Port. Development Strategy Research of Dongjiang Bonded Port RearYard of Tianjin Port comes into being in this background and becomes an important issue.
From the viewpoint of sustainable development of Dongjiang Bonded Port RearYard,this paper analyzes and discusses the internal and external environment, development strategy target system, development strategic focus, strategic planning and development strategic measures. Firstly, this paper analyzes the background and significance of Dongjiang Bonded Port RearYard's development strategy research, and describes the related basic theory. Secondly, it analyzes RearYard's internal and external environment. Thirdly, according to the fact that containers are the Main Commodity of Dongjiang Bonded Port,three individual forecasting model are applied to Tianjin Port containers throughput forecast, finally the combination forecasting model is chose to predict the containers throughput of Tianjin Port. Then combining the guiding principles and strategic positioning, this paper gives the development strategic objective system, development strategic focus and strategic planning for the next 10 years.In the end, this paper put forward the development strategic measures and future development prospects of Dongjiang Bonded Port RearYard.
本文从东疆保税港区后方堆场可持续发展的角度,根据发展战略理论,结合东疆保税港区后方堆场自身资源特点,深入分析和探讨了保税港区后方堆场的内外部战略环境、发展战略的目标、发展战略重点、发展战略规划和发展战略的实施措施。首先分析了天津港东疆保税港区后方堆场发展战略研究的背景与意义,阐述了保税港区后方堆场的基本理论；紧接着结合天津港东疆保税港区的发展现状,分析了东疆保税港区后方堆场的内外部战略环境；然后根据东疆保税港区主营货类为集装箱的事实,分别应用三种单项预测模型预测天津港的集装箱吞吐量,比较优化后最终采用组合预测模型进行了优化预测；在前面已有分析的基础上,结合保税港区后方堆场发展战略的指导思想与战略定位,给出了东疆保税港区后方堆场的发展战略目标、发展战略重点和未来10年的战略规划；最后,提出了东疆保税港区后方堆场发展战略的实施措施和未来发展的展望。
The development and opening of Binhai New Area has been integrated into national development strategies, one of the Function of Binhai New Area is to become the northern international shipping center and an international logistics center. Tianjin port, as a core carrier in Binhai New Area,as is facing unprecedented opportunities for development. The rear yard of Dongjiang Bonded Port,as the main places for goods temporary, transit and logistics processing, is bound to usher in a greater and more broad space for development. Dongjiang Bonded Port as the development of Tianjin Binhai New Area of reform and opening up important test base and bridgehead. The rear yard construction accelerates the pace of open port, opens a new page and gives new connotation for the development of Tianjin Port. Development Strategy Research of Dongjiang Bonded Port RearYard of Tianjin Port comes into being in this background and becomes an important issue.
From the viewpoint of sustainable development of Dongjiang Bonded Port RearYard,this paper analyzes and discusses the internal and external environment, development strategy target system, development strategic focus, strategic planning and development strategic measures. Firstly, this paper analyzes the background and significance of Dongjiang Bonded Port RearYard's development strategy research, and describes the related basic theory. Secondly, it analyzes RearYard's internal and external environment. Thirdly, according to the fact that containers are the Main Commodity of Dongjiang Bonded Port,three individual forecasting model are applied to Tianjin Port containers throughput forecast, finally the combination forecasting model is chose to predict the containers throughput of Tianjin Port. Then combining the guiding principles and strategic positioning, this paper gives the development strategic objective system, development strategic focus and strategic planning for the next 10 years.In the end, this paper put forward the development strategic measures and future development prospects of Dongjiang Bonded Port RearYard.
引文
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[4]邓聚龙.灰色系统理论.武汉：华中科技大学出版社,2004.
[5]李向文.现代物流发展战略.北京：北京交通大学.清华大学出版社,2010.
[2]中国港口协会.中国港口,2009(1)
[3]天津港(集团)有限公司.天津港口,2006(1-6).
[4]天津港(集团)有限公司.天津港口,2010(1-2).
[5]齐二石,赵道致.物流工程.北京：中国科学技术出版社,2004.
[6]邓聚龙.灰色系统理论.武汉：华中科技大学出版社,2004.
[7]贾大山.中国水运发展战略探索.大连：大连海事大学出版社,2007.
[8]林正章.国际物流[M].北京：机械工业出版社,2007.
[9]邵晓峰,张存禄,李美燕.供应链管理[M].北京： 机械工业出版社,2006.
[10]曲建科,杨明,王海蛟.现代物流企业管理[M].北京：中国经济出版社,2005.
[11]黄凯.战略管理：竞争与创新[M].北京：石油工业出版社,2004.
[12]徐国祥.统计预测与决策.上海：上海财经大学出版社,2006.
[13]董维忠,区域产业发展与保税区研究[M].天津人民出版社,2002.
[14]姜丽丽,王任祥.从区港联动到保税港--宁波港发展新亮点[J].水运管理,2007,(1)
[15]刘恩专.天津港保税区区域经济发展效应的分析与评价[J].现代财经,1999,(2)
[16]邵小平.洋山保税港区概况和政策功能定位[J].中国水运,2006,(6).
[17]郑德雁.保税区功能定位研究[J].经济师,2001,(11).
[18]唐忆文.解读上海洋山保税港区政策[J].中国港口,2005,(11)
[19]李靖宇.刘振秀,论东北大窑湾保税港区主体功能的定位[J].太平洋学报,2007,(6)
[20]梁爽.大连保税区向自由贸易区转型的可行性分析[J].商场现代化,2007,(16)
[21]周娜.杨明华,谈我国从保税区向自由贸易区的转型问题[J].当代经济,2007,(20)
[22]杨明华.我国保税区向自由贸易区转型研究[J].学海,2008,(1).
[23]Rechard B. Chase, Nicholas J. Aquilano, F. Robert Jacobs. Operations Management for Compertitive Advantage北京：机械工业出版社,2003.
[24]James R. Mcguigan, R. charles Moyer, Frederick H. deB. Harris. Managerial Economics Applications Straategy and Tactics北京：机械工业出版社,2006.
[25]John J. Coyle, Edward J. Bardi, Robert A. Novack. Transportation北京：机械工业出版社,2004.
[26]David Taylor. Global Cases in Logistics and Supply Chain Management北京：中信出版社,2003.
[27]Jay Heizer. Barry Render. Principle of Operations Management,北京：北京大学出版社,2002.
[28]TheoE. Notteboom, JeanPaulRodrigue. Portregionalization:towardsanewPhaseinPort development. Routledge,2005.9.
[29]ValentinaCarbone,MarcellaDeMartino. TheehangingroleofPortinsuPPly · ehain management:anemPiricalanalysis. Routledge,2004.12.
[30]管益忻.论企业核心竞争力.北京：中国经济出版社,2000.
[31]张洪亮,李从东.新世纪天津滨海新区产业发展策略.天津大学学报,2002.
[32]武军明.天津港保税区国际物流系统发展战略研究：[硕士学位论文].天津大学,2004.
[33]天津港-港口资讯,http://www.tjportnet.com/news/news.jsp,2009.
[34]中国国际海运网,http://www.shippingchina.com/
[35]吴育华,杜纲.管理科学基础.天津：天津大学出版社,2001.
[36]王玉.企业进化的战略研究.北京：中国对外经济贸易出版社,1998..
[37](美)大卫.战略管理概念部分.第11版.李青译北京： 清华大学出版社,2008.
[38]胡建绩.企业经营战略管理.上海：复旦大学出版社,1995.
[39]赵国杰,于海洋.企业发展战略的选择.天津：天津大学出版社,2000.
[40]李建明.企业核心能力.北京：法律出版社,1998.
[41]许国祥.管理统计学.上海：上海财经大学出版社,1995.
[42]潘覃,封云,龙磊.天津港发展现状分析与发展趋势预测.滨海新区,2010(4)：13-16.
[43]徐剑华主编.国际航运经济新论.北京：人民交通出版社,1997.
[45]包健民.物流现代化,上海：上海交通大学出版社,1997.
[46]王德中.企业战略管理.成都：西南财经大学出版社,1999.
[47]孙宏伟.企业经营战略与市场定位.北京：经济管理出版社,1997.
[48]杨靳,邵哲平.港口吞吐量计量预测分析.中国航海,2005(3)：121-125.
[49]赵涛,齐二石.管理学.天津：天津大学出版社,2004.
[50]杨华龙,李德源.市场竞争条件下港口政策及管理体制探讨.世界海运,1999.
[51]李向文.现代物流发展战略.北京：北京交通大学.清华大学出版社,2010.
[52]王玲,刘育龙.基于主成分分析和全回归法的天津港货物吞吐量的预测.港行研究,2010(4)：31-34.
[3]徐国祥.统计预测与决策.上海：上海财经大学出版社,2006.
[4]邓聚龙.灰色系统理论.武汉：华中科技大学出版社,2004.
[5]李向文.现代物流发展战略.北京：北京交通大学.清华大学出版社,2010.