基于熵的建筑工程项目冲突事件互适性研究
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摘要
(1)通过对冲突事件调查结果的数理统计分析,描绘出冲突事件在建筑工程项目中的整体分布状态和数学特征;利用本文提出的表现强度这一新概念揭示出冲突事件在建筑工程项目各阶段内部的表现规律。在此基础上,基于AHP原理,建立了各阶段冲突事件的判断矩阵,并依据判断矩阵的特征根,分析了各阶段冲突事件累积效应对建筑工程项目所带来的影响。
(2)通过对冲突事件根源属性调查结果的多元统计分析,发现并确定了建筑工程项目冲突事件具有明显的多属性特征,这说明建筑工程项目中的冲突事件是多因素累计并发而生的,并非单一因素的失衡就足以引发项目中的冲突事件,因此,对于多种因素引发的冲突事件,就应从多方面进行综合治理,而非仅靠某一种方法就能有效解决。
(3)由于冲突事件在建筑工程项目中的发展变化过程是一个表征系统变量不断变化的过程,因而为了分析和描述互适性所包含的二个过程转化,本文从耗散结构的形成与冲突事件在项目管理中发展变化的对比分析出发,以热力学理论为基础,在局域平衡假设的前提下,用熵变描述了冲突事件互适性在建筑工程项目中的演化过程和状态方程,推证出冲突各方势均衡是互适性的一阶变换条件、系统内部形成对称破缺和有序状态是二阶变换结果的结论。
(4)为寻求有效解决建筑工程项目冲突事件的理论方法,在明确解决建筑工程项目冲突事件的前提假设条件基础上,提出了基于Stackelberg模型的分部递阶算法。通过这一算法,求取了映射于冲突事件互适性一阶变换的多个局部解;在证明了该局部解具有明确的收敛性之后,根据本文提出的互适性满意度判径及其效用函数,得出了映射于冲突事件互适性二阶变换的全局解,并建立了相应的求解程序。因此,通过这一系统地理论分析,充实和完善了建筑工程项目冲突事件的互适性思想,证明了这一思想在理论上的可行性与正确性,不仅为有效解决建筑工程项目冲突事件提供了一条新的有效途径,同时这一方法对具有多层多下级的其它项目管理决策也具有借鉴意义。
(5)为了提前发现和预测建筑工程项目中的冲突事件,提供了必要的冲突事件预警管理仿真界面和处理程序,并对冲突事件的预警管理进行了预警分类。
(1)Thought statistics analysis of investigation results, conflict event’s whole distribution state and their mathematical characteristics have been described; Conflict appearing rules in each stage of CEP have also been offered in representing intensity. On the basis of these studying results and AHP theory, conflict event’s judgment matrix of each stage has been set up. Meanwhile, According to these matrix’s characteristic roots, all impacts on CEP from conflict have been analyzed.
(2)This research has found and made certain that conflict events have obviously multi-attribution characteristics thought analysis of conflict event’s investigation results. This shows conflict events result from many elements while no any one element, therefore, we should deal with conflict by a synthesis method while no just any one technique. In addition, clustering analysis of conflict events has also shown that solving conflict efficiently need as clearing as a bell organization, reasonable resource scheme and efficient management way. According to these researching results, conflict should be solved in a new mechanism, and the mechanism should have such characteristics as rationality, healthiness and efficiency.
(3)Because development and change of conflict is also such process which systematic variable transform continually, so, in order to analyze and describe above two processes contained in co-adaptability, on the basis of thermodynamics, the paper describes the evolution process of co-adaptability and state equations of conflict events in construction engineering project in entropy by contrasting dissipative structure with project management system aiming at unsolved problem in co-adaptability research.
(4)In order to seek co-adaptability solution to conflict events in construction engineering project, a new method referred to as segmented hierarchical algorithm has been put forward by contrasting co-adaptability evolution process of conflict events with stackelberg model. By applying this algorithm, many local solutions delegated the first-order transition result of co-adaptability can be obtained. On the basis of these local solutions, a globe solution delegated the second-order transition result of co-adaptability can also be selected according to an approach to judging satisfaction degree of local solutions. The research result shows that this algorithm can not only solve co-adaptability problem of conflict events efficiently, but also possess universality in project management decision-making with multi-levels and many partners.
(5)In order to find and forecast conflict events in advance, an idea called forewarning management has been offered together with essential imitation interfaces and dealing program, as well as forewarning kinds.
(2)通过对冲突事件根源属性调查结果的多元统计分析,发现并确定了建筑工程项目冲突事件具有明显的多属性特征,这说明建筑工程项目中的冲突事件是多因素累计并发而生的,并非单一因素的失衡就足以引发项目中的冲突事件,因此,对于多种因素引发的冲突事件,就应从多方面进行综合治理,而非仅靠某一种方法就能有效解决。
(3)由于冲突事件在建筑工程项目中的发展变化过程是一个表征系统变量不断变化的过程,因而为了分析和描述互适性所包含的二个过程转化,本文从耗散结构的形成与冲突事件在项目管理中发展变化的对比分析出发,以热力学理论为基础,在局域平衡假设的前提下,用熵变描述了冲突事件互适性在建筑工程项目中的演化过程和状态方程,推证出冲突各方势均衡是互适性的一阶变换条件、系统内部形成对称破缺和有序状态是二阶变换结果的结论。
(4)为寻求有效解决建筑工程项目冲突事件的理论方法,在明确解决建筑工程项目冲突事件的前提假设条件基础上,提出了基于Stackelberg模型的分部递阶算法。通过这一算法,求取了映射于冲突事件互适性一阶变换的多个局部解;在证明了该局部解具有明确的收敛性之后,根据本文提出的互适性满意度判径及其效用函数,得出了映射于冲突事件互适性二阶变换的全局解,并建立了相应的求解程序。因此,通过这一系统地理论分析,充实和完善了建筑工程项目冲突事件的互适性思想,证明了这一思想在理论上的可行性与正确性,不仅为有效解决建筑工程项目冲突事件提供了一条新的有效途径,同时这一方法对具有多层多下级的其它项目管理决策也具有借鉴意义。
(5)为了提前发现和预测建筑工程项目中的冲突事件,提供了必要的冲突事件预警管理仿真界面和处理程序,并对冲突事件的预警管理进行了预警分类。
(1)Thought statistics analysis of investigation results, conflict event’s whole distribution state and their mathematical characteristics have been described; Conflict appearing rules in each stage of CEP have also been offered in representing intensity. On the basis of these studying results and AHP theory, conflict event’s judgment matrix of each stage has been set up. Meanwhile, According to these matrix’s characteristic roots, all impacts on CEP from conflict have been analyzed.
(2)This research has found and made certain that conflict events have obviously multi-attribution characteristics thought analysis of conflict event’s investigation results. This shows conflict events result from many elements while no any one element, therefore, we should deal with conflict by a synthesis method while no just any one technique. In addition, clustering analysis of conflict events has also shown that solving conflict efficiently need as clearing as a bell organization, reasonable resource scheme and efficient management way. According to these researching results, conflict should be solved in a new mechanism, and the mechanism should have such characteristics as rationality, healthiness and efficiency.
(3)Because development and change of conflict is also such process which systematic variable transform continually, so, in order to analyze and describe above two processes contained in co-adaptability, on the basis of thermodynamics, the paper describes the evolution process of co-adaptability and state equations of conflict events in construction engineering project in entropy by contrasting dissipative structure with project management system aiming at unsolved problem in co-adaptability research.
(4)In order to seek co-adaptability solution to conflict events in construction engineering project, a new method referred to as segmented hierarchical algorithm has been put forward by contrasting co-adaptability evolution process of conflict events with stackelberg model. By applying this algorithm, many local solutions delegated the first-order transition result of co-adaptability can be obtained. On the basis of these local solutions, a globe solution delegated the second-order transition result of co-adaptability can also be selected according to an approach to judging satisfaction degree of local solutions. The research result shows that this algorithm can not only solve co-adaptability problem of conflict events efficiently, but also possess universality in project management decision-making with multi-levels and many partners.
(5)In order to find and forecast conflict events in advance, an idea called forewarning management has been offered together with essential imitation interfaces and dealing program, as well as forewarning kinds.
引文
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