区域创新视角下地区经济发展潜力开发研究
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摘要
评价一个地区的经济发展能力不仅要分析目前经济发展现状，而且更要看经济发展的潜力如何？地区经济发展潜力主要是在基础保障和生态环境能够承载的能力范围内，地区经济未来发展的潜在后劲，是指地区改善内部现有生产要素非正常利用（利用不足或过度利用），以及引进地区内部稀缺生产要素所产生的地区未来经济可持续发展的能力。研究地区经济发展潜力的价值不仅在于测试地区经济潜力的大小，而且更为关键的是如何把地区隐性的经济发展潜力挖掘并释放为显性的经济发展实力。为了规避“资源诅咒”现象，各国愈来愈重视经济发展方式由“要素推动”向“创新驱动”的转变，逐步形成了“技术创新是经济持续增长助推器”的发展思路，因此，本文试图研究区域创新促进地区经济发展潜力开发问题。
本文通过对国内外经济发展潜力和区域创新相关研究的现状发现，国内外探讨区域经济发展潜力与经济发展实力关系的研究有待完善；缺乏基于区域创新的角度分析我国地区经济发展潜力开发研究；缺乏对区域经济发展潜力开发路径的系统研究。为此，本文从经济发展潜力与区域创新的基本概念着手，分别对经济发展潜力特性、地区经济发展差距进行分析，梳理了经济发展潜力开发的基本理论，构建了经济发展潜力开发的理论分析框架。
根据内源型潜力与外源型潜力两个角度构建地区经济发展潜力的评价指标体系，内源型潜力指标包括生产要素潜力、基础保障能力、资源利用水平与环境承载水平3个分指标；外源型潜力指标包括对内开放潜力、政府扶持程度和对外开放潜力3个分指标，运用加权主成分TOPSIS模型对我国各地区经济发展潜力的时空分布进行测度，进而明确各地区经济发展潜力的状况。在此基础上，本文又探讨了经济发展潜力与经济发展实力之间的定性与定量关系。
深入研究了区域创新对地区经济发展潜力开发的作用机理，运用面板数据模型对区域创新促进地区经济发展潜力开发进行实证分析，建立了地区经济发展潜力与区域创新和经济发展实力之间的计量关系模型，并进行了格兰杰检验。通过分析得出，经济发展潜力是引起经济发展实力变化的主要原因，同时区域创新又对经济发展潜力开发具有较强的推动性，因此，区域创新在地区经济发展潜力转化为经济发展实力的过程中起到了助推器的作用。
基于耗散结构理论探讨地区经济发展潜力开发的通用路径框架，并且对经济发展潜力开发通用内生路径与外生路径进行了详细地阐述。根据地区经济发展潜力的强弱以及区域创新能力的大小对通用路径进行完善与补充，确定其经济发展潜力开发的专用路径，包括经济潜力弱区的“潜力极”开发路径、经济潜力中等区的“点轴”开发路径、经济潜力强区的“网络”开发路径。只有地区经济潜力开发通用路径与专用路径相结合，才能确保经济发展潜力的有效释放。
本文在上述经济发展潜力开发路径选择理论分析的基础上，以东北地区为个案，运用系统动力学对经济发展潜力开发路径有效性进行实证模拟。依据仿真结果提出了东北地区经济潜力开发的通用路径与专用路径，以及经济发展潜力开发路径有效运行的保障措施。研究结果以期为我国其他地区尤其是中西部欠发达地区经济发展潜力的开发提供借鉴，从而实现经济的跨跃式发展，缩小我国区域经济发展差距，加快全面小康社会宏伟目标的实现。
Evaluation of a region's economic development capacity need not only analyzethe current status of economic development, but also look at the economicdevelopment potential. Region’s economic development potential, in the range ofthe ability that the fundamental guarantee and environment can bear, mainlyreflecting the potential stamina of region's economic development in the future, isregional sustainable economic development’ ability arisen from improving theinternal existing producing factors' non-normal use (underutilization or over-use),and introducing internal scarce factors of production. The value of research onregion’s economic development potential lies not only in testing the size of regionaleconomic potential, but also in how to excavate the region's implicit economicdevelopment potential and turn it into explicit economic development’s strength. Toavoid the phenomenon of―resource curse‖, all the countries pay more and moreattention to the transformation of ways of economic development from factorimpulse to innovation drive, gradually forming the development path that technicalinnovation is the booster of economic continuous growth. Therefore, this paperattempts to study the path problem of promoting the regional economicdevelopment potential’s exploitation by regional innovation.
By the research of domestic and international economic development potentialand regional innovation’s status, the paper finds that the study of discussing therelationship between regional economic development potential and economicdevelopment strength should be improved; lack the research that analyzes China'sregional economic development potential based on perspective of regionalinnovation; lack systematic research focused on regional economic developmentpotential’s exploiting path. Starting with the basic concepts of economicdevelopment potential and regional innovation, this paper respectively analyzeseconomic development potential’s characteristics and regional economicdevelopment gap, combing the basic theory and building a theoretical framework ofeconomic development potential’s exploitation.
Based on the potential of endogenous and exogenous type, evaluation indexsystem of regional economic development potential is constructed. Endogenouspotential indexes include: the potential of production’s factors, Basic supportcapabilities, the level of resource utilization and the level of environmental load;exogenous potential indexes include: the potential of opening up to inside, extent ofgovernment support and the potential of opening up to outside. This paper exerts weighted principal component TOPSIS model to measure spatial and temporaldistribution of economic development potential in various regions, so as to clarifythe status of the various regions' economic development potential. On this basis, thepaper also discusses the quantitative and qualitative relations between economicdevelopment potential and economic development strength.
After in-depth study of mechanism of action that regional innovation producesto exploitation of the region's economic development potential, the paper uses paneldata model to analyze the promotion of exploitation of the region's economicdevelopment potential which comes from regional innovation through experiment,building the mathematical relational model among regional economic developmentpotential, regional innovation and the strength of economic development, andconducting Granger experiment. Through analysis, we know that the change ofeconomic development strength is caused mainly due to economic developmentpotential, while the regional innovation has a strong impulse to exploitation of theeconomic development potential. Therefore, regional innovation plays a role asbooster in the process of translating regional economic development potential intostrength of economic development.
The paper discusses a common path framework grounded on the theory ofdissipative structures and expatiates common endogenous and exogenous path ofeconomic development potential’s exploitation in detail. According to the strengthof region’s economic development potential and the size of regional innovationability to supplement the common path, we can confirm dedicated path of economicdevelopment potential’s exploitation, which includes potential pole’s exploitationpath in a weak economic potential zone, the point axis exploitation path in a middleeconomic potential zone, and network exploitation path in a strong economicpotential zone. We combine common path with dedicated path of region’s economicpotential exploitation to ensure the effective release for economic developmentpotential.
On the basis of theoretical analysis of choosing the economic developmentpotential’s exploitation path mentioned above, regarding the northeast region as acase, the paper makes use of system dynamics to simulate the effectiveness of theexploitation path of economic development potential by experiment. According tosimulation results, we put forward common path and dedicated path of economicpotential exploitation and the protective measures for effective operation ofeconomic development potential’s exploitation path in northeast region, expectingto provide useful experience for economic development potential’s exploitation inChina’s other regions and especially central and western underdeveloped regions, so as to realize economic development by leaps and bounds, narrowing the gap ofregional economic development, and speeding up the implementation of grandtarget of comprehensive and comparatively well-off society.
本文通过对国内外经济发展潜力和区域创新相关研究的现状发现，国内外探讨区域经济发展潜力与经济发展实力关系的研究有待完善；缺乏基于区域创新的角度分析我国地区经济发展潜力开发研究；缺乏对区域经济发展潜力开发路径的系统研究。为此，本文从经济发展潜力与区域创新的基本概念着手，分别对经济发展潜力特性、地区经济发展差距进行分析，梳理了经济发展潜力开发的基本理论，构建了经济发展潜力开发的理论分析框架。
根据内源型潜力与外源型潜力两个角度构建地区经济发展潜力的评价指标体系，内源型潜力指标包括生产要素潜力、基础保障能力、资源利用水平与环境承载水平3个分指标；外源型潜力指标包括对内开放潜力、政府扶持程度和对外开放潜力3个分指标，运用加权主成分TOPSIS模型对我国各地区经济发展潜力的时空分布进行测度，进而明确各地区经济发展潜力的状况。在此基础上，本文又探讨了经济发展潜力与经济发展实力之间的定性与定量关系。
深入研究了区域创新对地区经济发展潜力开发的作用机理，运用面板数据模型对区域创新促进地区经济发展潜力开发进行实证分析，建立了地区经济发展潜力与区域创新和经济发展实力之间的计量关系模型，并进行了格兰杰检验。通过分析得出，经济发展潜力是引起经济发展实力变化的主要原因，同时区域创新又对经济发展潜力开发具有较强的推动性，因此，区域创新在地区经济发展潜力转化为经济发展实力的过程中起到了助推器的作用。
基于耗散结构理论探讨地区经济发展潜力开发的通用路径框架，并且对经济发展潜力开发通用内生路径与外生路径进行了详细地阐述。根据地区经济发展潜力的强弱以及区域创新能力的大小对通用路径进行完善与补充，确定其经济发展潜力开发的专用路径，包括经济潜力弱区的“潜力极”开发路径、经济潜力中等区的“点轴”开发路径、经济潜力强区的“网络”开发路径。只有地区经济潜力开发通用路径与专用路径相结合，才能确保经济发展潜力的有效释放。
本文在上述经济发展潜力开发路径选择理论分析的基础上，以东北地区为个案，运用系统动力学对经济发展潜力开发路径有效性进行实证模拟。依据仿真结果提出了东北地区经济潜力开发的通用路径与专用路径，以及经济发展潜力开发路径有效运行的保障措施。研究结果以期为我国其他地区尤其是中西部欠发达地区经济发展潜力的开发提供借鉴，从而实现经济的跨跃式发展，缩小我国区域经济发展差距，加快全面小康社会宏伟目标的实现。
Evaluation of a region's economic development capacity need not only analyzethe current status of economic development, but also look at the economicdevelopment potential. Region’s economic development potential, in the range ofthe ability that the fundamental guarantee and environment can bear, mainlyreflecting the potential stamina of region's economic development in the future, isregional sustainable economic development’ ability arisen from improving theinternal existing producing factors' non-normal use (underutilization or over-use),and introducing internal scarce factors of production. The value of research onregion’s economic development potential lies not only in testing the size of regionaleconomic potential, but also in how to excavate the region's implicit economicdevelopment potential and turn it into explicit economic development’s strength. Toavoid the phenomenon of―resource curse‖, all the countries pay more and moreattention to the transformation of ways of economic development from factorimpulse to innovation drive, gradually forming the development path that technicalinnovation is the booster of economic continuous growth. Therefore, this paperattempts to study the path problem of promoting the regional economicdevelopment potential’s exploitation by regional innovation.
By the research of domestic and international economic development potentialand regional innovation’s status, the paper finds that the study of discussing therelationship between regional economic development potential and economicdevelopment strength should be improved; lack the research that analyzes China'sregional economic development potential based on perspective of regionalinnovation; lack systematic research focused on regional economic developmentpotential’s exploiting path. Starting with the basic concepts of economicdevelopment potential and regional innovation, this paper respectively analyzeseconomic development potential’s characteristics and regional economicdevelopment gap, combing the basic theory and building a theoretical framework ofeconomic development potential’s exploitation.
Based on the potential of endogenous and exogenous type, evaluation indexsystem of regional economic development potential is constructed. Endogenouspotential indexes include: the potential of production’s factors, Basic supportcapabilities, the level of resource utilization and the level of environmental load;exogenous potential indexes include: the potential of opening up to inside, extent ofgovernment support and the potential of opening up to outside. This paper exerts weighted principal component TOPSIS model to measure spatial and temporaldistribution of economic development potential in various regions, so as to clarifythe status of the various regions' economic development potential. On this basis, thepaper also discusses the quantitative and qualitative relations between economicdevelopment potential and economic development strength.
After in-depth study of mechanism of action that regional innovation producesto exploitation of the region's economic development potential, the paper uses paneldata model to analyze the promotion of exploitation of the region's economicdevelopment potential which comes from regional innovation through experiment,building the mathematical relational model among regional economic developmentpotential, regional innovation and the strength of economic development, andconducting Granger experiment. Through analysis, we know that the change ofeconomic development strength is caused mainly due to economic developmentpotential, while the regional innovation has a strong impulse to exploitation of theeconomic development potential. Therefore, regional innovation plays a role asbooster in the process of translating regional economic development potential intostrength of economic development.
The paper discusses a common path framework grounded on the theory ofdissipative structures and expatiates common endogenous and exogenous path ofeconomic development potential’s exploitation in detail. According to the strengthof region’s economic development potential and the size of regional innovationability to supplement the common path, we can confirm dedicated path of economicdevelopment potential’s exploitation, which includes potential pole’s exploitationpath in a weak economic potential zone, the point axis exploitation path in a middleeconomic potential zone, and network exploitation path in a strong economicpotential zone. We combine common path with dedicated path of region’s economicpotential exploitation to ensure the effective release for economic developmentpotential.
On the basis of theoretical analysis of choosing the economic developmentpotential’s exploitation path mentioned above, regarding the northeast region as acase, the paper makes use of system dynamics to simulate the effectiveness of theexploitation path of economic development potential by experiment. According tosimulation results, we put forward common path and dedicated path of economicpotential exploitation and the protective measures for effective operation ofeconomic development potential’s exploitation path in northeast region, expectingto provide useful experience for economic development potential’s exploitation inChina’s other regions and especially central and western underdeveloped regions, so as to realize economic development by leaps and bounds, narrowing the gap ofregional economic development, and speeding up the implementation of grandtarget of comprehensive and comparatively well-off society.
引文
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