甘肃省产业转移承接力测评
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摘要
目前,东南沿海地区正在进行的产业外迁,使得西部省份迎来了承接东部地区产业投资转移的重大机遇。但由于在承接产业转移的过程中,中西部地区缺乏合理的产业布局和统筹定位,导致各省区之间无序竞争,这不仅难以形成产业特色和地域分工,也使得中西部地区吸引产业转移的优势不明显。甘肃省应紧紧抓住国内外产业加速向中西部地区转移的重大机遇,充分发挥甘肃省在区位、资源能源与原材料保障、土地与劳动力供应、市场潜力等方面的比较优势,加大招商引资和承接产业转移力度,推进大开放、大开发,促进工业转型跨越发展。
本文从动态研究视角出发,首先阐述了包括产业转移、产业梯度、产业承接力等相关经济学概念,并介绍了目前理论界关于承接产业转移的相对成熟的理论；其次在对甘肃省产业结构和就业结构演变历程以及甘肃省产业结构基本特征进行分析的基础上,从产业转出方和承接方的角度考虑,选取了相关指标,运用因子分析的方法,对甘肃省的产业承接力进行了分析,得出了甘肃省历年来产业承接力得分及变化情况,并从指标层面出发,对甘肃省的产业承接力情况进行了细化分析；最后,依据上述理论分析和实证研究得出的结论,提出了在承接产业转移的过程中,以产业园区为载体、以科技进步为动力的甘肃省产业承接力的提升策略,主要包括完善承接项目协调推进责任体系,构建全社会参与的承接产业转移共建体系,加快建设科技创新人才体系,夯实承接项目建设廉政体系、建立承接项目督查考核体系,推进承接载体的建设等。
At present, the ongoing industrial relocation of the southeast coastal areas has provided great opportunities for the western provinces to undertake the eastern industrial transfer. But in the process of the industrial transfer, the central and western regions are lack of reasonable industrial layout and overall positioning, resulting in disorderly competition between the provinces. It makes it difficult to form industry characteristics and regional division, and also makes it not obvious for the central and western regions to attract industrial transfer. Gansu province should seize the great opportunity that the domestic and foreign industries accelerate the transfer to the central and western regions, give full play to the comparative advantage in location, resources and energy security, land and labor supply, the market potential of Gansu Province, and increase investment and undertaking industrial transfer, promote rapid industrial transformation.
This expounded the related concept of economics at first, including the transfer of industries, industrial gradient, industrial undertaking force.And it introduced the relatively mature theory about undertaking industrial transfer at present. Then on the basis of analysis on the evolution of the industrial structure and employment structure in Gansu Province and the basic characteristics of the industrial structure of Gansu Province, it considered from industry of the transferor and the recipient, selected the relevant indicators, used factor analysis method, analyzed Gansu province's industry reception, obtained the Gansu Province industrial undertaking stress scores and changes, and made a detailed analysis about Gansu province's industry reception from the index level. At last, according to the conclusion of the theoretical analysis and empirical study, it put forward to take the industrial park as the carrier and put technological progress as the driving force in the process of the industrial transfer. This is a promotion strategy of Gansu province industry reception, including promote responsibility system in the process of undertaking projects, build a system for the whole society to participate in undertaking the transfer of industry, speed up the construction of technology and innovation system,set up supervision appraisal system to undertake the project, and promote the construction of carrier.
本文从动态研究视角出发,首先阐述了包括产业转移、产业梯度、产业承接力等相关经济学概念,并介绍了目前理论界关于承接产业转移的相对成熟的理论；其次在对甘肃省产业结构和就业结构演变历程以及甘肃省产业结构基本特征进行分析的基础上,从产业转出方和承接方的角度考虑,选取了相关指标,运用因子分析的方法,对甘肃省的产业承接力进行了分析,得出了甘肃省历年来产业承接力得分及变化情况,并从指标层面出发,对甘肃省的产业承接力情况进行了细化分析；最后,依据上述理论分析和实证研究得出的结论,提出了在承接产业转移的过程中,以产业园区为载体、以科技进步为动力的甘肃省产业承接力的提升策略,主要包括完善承接项目协调推进责任体系,构建全社会参与的承接产业转移共建体系,加快建设科技创新人才体系,夯实承接项目建设廉政体系、建立承接项目督查考核体系,推进承接载体的建设等。
At present, the ongoing industrial relocation of the southeast coastal areas has provided great opportunities for the western provinces to undertake the eastern industrial transfer. But in the process of the industrial transfer, the central and western regions are lack of reasonable industrial layout and overall positioning, resulting in disorderly competition between the provinces. It makes it difficult to form industry characteristics and regional division, and also makes it not obvious for the central and western regions to attract industrial transfer. Gansu province should seize the great opportunity that the domestic and foreign industries accelerate the transfer to the central and western regions, give full play to the comparative advantage in location, resources and energy security, land and labor supply, the market potential of Gansu Province, and increase investment and undertaking industrial transfer, promote rapid industrial transformation.
This expounded the related concept of economics at first, including the transfer of industries, industrial gradient, industrial undertaking force.And it introduced the relatively mature theory about undertaking industrial transfer at present. Then on the basis of analysis on the evolution of the industrial structure and employment structure in Gansu Province and the basic characteristics of the industrial structure of Gansu Province, it considered from industry of the transferor and the recipient, selected the relevant indicators, used factor analysis method, analyzed Gansu province's industry reception, obtained the Gansu Province industrial undertaking stress scores and changes, and made a detailed analysis about Gansu province's industry reception from the index level. At last, according to the conclusion of the theoretical analysis and empirical study, it put forward to take the industrial park as the carrier and put technological progress as the driving force in the process of the industrial transfer. This is a promotion strategy of Gansu province industry reception, including promote responsibility system in the process of undertaking projects, build a system for the whole society to participate in undertaking the transfer of industry, speed up the construction of technology and innovation system,set up supervision appraisal system to undertake the project, and promote the construction of carrier.
引文
(?)描绘承接产业转移蓝图[N].甘肃日报.2012-3-25.
2牛彦君.我省承接产业转移工作取得重大进展[N].甘肃日报.2012-10-09.
1甘肃省人民政府.甘肃省人民政府办公厅关于促进实体经济健康发展的实施意见[甘政办发(2012)157号][N],2012-6-19.
[1]卢根鑫.国际产业转移论[M].上海：上海人民出版社,1997.
[2]陈建军.产业区域转移与东扩西进战略—理论和实证分析[M].北京：中华书局,2002.
[3]魏后凯.产业转移的发展趋势及其对竞争力的影响[J].福建论坛·经济社会版,2003(4)：11-15.
[4]戴宏伟.加快“大北京”经济圈生产要素流动促进产业梯度转移[J].经济与管理,2003(6)：5-6.
[5]张纯记.我国区际产业转移的制约因素与对策[J].经济纵横,2012(1)：76-79.
[6]陈计旺.影响东部地区产业转移的主要因素分析[J].生产力研究,2007(5)：99-101.
[7]何龙斌.应从国家层面对国内产业转移进行统筹管理[J].经济纵横,2012(2)：62-65.
[8]李桂华.依托高新技术调整优化甘肃产业结构[J].兰州大学学报(社会科学版),2000,28(5)：16-19.
[9]高鹤龄.甘肃产业结构调整的着力点[J].开发研究,2000(4)：37-38.
[10]蒙慧.甘肃产业结构调整的政策缺陷及对策选择[J].科学·经济·社会,2005,23(1)：3-6.
[11]苏华.甘肃产业承接的路径特征及潜力分析[J].甘肃社会科学,2012(2)：87-90.
[12][日]赤松要.我国经济发展综合原理[M],1932.
[13]Raymond Vernon. International Investment and Investment Trade in the Product Cycle [J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics,1966 (5).
[14]W-Arthur Lewis. The Evolution of the International Economic Order[M].New Jersey: Princeton University Press,1978.
[15]Dunning J.H. The Paradigm of International Production [J]. Journal of International Business Studies,1988 (5):1-31.
[16]Kojima K. Reorganization of North-South Trade:Japan's Foreign Economic Policy for the 1970's [J]. Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics,1973 (13):2.
[17]范恒山,吴克鹏.皖江城市带承接产业转移示范区研究[M].北京：中国发展出版社,2010.
[18]陈才.蒙东地区与东北三省产业对接与跨区域合作研究[M].长春：东北师范大学出版社,2008.
[19]顾朝林.产业结构重构与转移—长三角洲地区及主要城市比较研究[M].南京：江苏人民出版社,2003.
[20]何龙斌.对西部地区承接国内产业转移热的几点思考[J].现代经济探讨,2011(2)：61-64.
[21]张可云.区域大战与区域经济关系[M].北京：民主与建设出版社,2001：279.
[22]戴宏伟.国际产业转移与中国制造业发展[M].北京：人民出版社,2006.
[23][美]迈克尔·波特著.孙小悦译.竞争优势[M].北京：华夏出版社,1997.
[24]Kogut, B., Designing Global Strategies:Comparative and Competitive Value—added Chains [J]. Sloan management Review,1985,26 (4).
[25]邓爱民,张春龙.全球价值链下物流产业集群升级研究——以湖南省物流产业集群为例[J].情报杂志,2012,31(4)：100-106.
[26]惠宁.产业集群的区域经济效应研究[M].北京：中国经济出版社,2008.
[27]江霈.中国区域产业转移动力机制及影响因素分析[D].天津：南开大学博士学位论文,2008.
[28]熊友云,张明军等.1978-2006年甘肃产业结构演进分析[J].干旱区地理,2010,33(2)：：285-292.
[29]朱智文,王辉.甘肃省产业结构与就业结构的动态关系研究[J].开发研究,2009(5)：52-57.
[30]钱兰兰.从产业关联看甘肃产业结构的调整方向[年鉴].中国宏观经济运行轨迹2006-2009,北京：中国统计出版社,2010：669-679.
[31]李淑华.以循环经济促进甘肃生态化建设[J].西北师大学报(社会科学版),2008,45(4)：129-132.
[32]2010年甘肃省招商引资项目完成情况分析报告[R].甘肃省经济合作局招商处,2011.
[33]甘肃省承接产业转移简报[R].甘肃省承接产业转移协调推进领导小组办公室,2012(26).
[34]王满四,黄言生.欠发达地区承接产业转移的关键影响因素研究[J].国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报),2012(2)：96-104.
[35]李卫东.应用多元统计分析[M].北京：北京大学出版社,2008.
[36]理查德·A.约翰逊,迪安·W.威克恩.实用多元统计分析[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2008.
[37]李竹渝,鲁万波,龚金国.经济、金融计量学中的非参数估计技术[M].北京：科学出版社.2007.
[38]戴宏伟.产业梯度产业双向转移与中国制造业发展[J].经济理论与经济管理,2006(12)：45-50.
[39]韩小威.经济全球化北京下中国产业政策有效性问题研究[D].吉林：吉林大学博士学位论文,2006.
[40]李小卉.珠三角产业结构优化的财政政策研究[J].改革与战略,2009(11)：72-74.
[41]焦隆.兰州新区获得国务院批复成为第五个国家级新区[N].新华网.2012-08-29.许长新.产业关联规律与投资倾斜政策[J].财贸研究,1990(4)：6-9.
2牛彦君.我省承接产业转移工作取得重大进展[N].甘肃日报.2012-10-09.
1甘肃省人民政府.甘肃省人民政府办公厅关于促进实体经济健康发展的实施意见[甘政办发(2012)157号][N],2012-6-19.
[1]卢根鑫.国际产业转移论[M].上海：上海人民出版社,1997.
[2]陈建军.产业区域转移与东扩西进战略—理论和实证分析[M].北京：中华书局,2002.
[3]魏后凯.产业转移的发展趋势及其对竞争力的影响[J].福建论坛·经济社会版,2003(4)：11-15.
[4]戴宏伟.加快“大北京”经济圈生产要素流动促进产业梯度转移[J].经济与管理,2003(6)：5-6.
[5]张纯记.我国区际产业转移的制约因素与对策[J].经济纵横,2012(1)：76-79.
[6]陈计旺.影响东部地区产业转移的主要因素分析[J].生产力研究,2007(5)：99-101.
[7]何龙斌.应从国家层面对国内产业转移进行统筹管理[J].经济纵横,2012(2)：62-65.
[8]李桂华.依托高新技术调整优化甘肃产业结构[J].兰州大学学报(社会科学版),2000,28(5)：16-19.
[9]高鹤龄.甘肃产业结构调整的着力点[J].开发研究,2000(4)：37-38.
[10]蒙慧.甘肃产业结构调整的政策缺陷及对策选择[J].科学·经济·社会,2005,23(1)：3-6.
[11]苏华.甘肃产业承接的路径特征及潜力分析[J].甘肃社会科学,2012(2)：87-90.
[12][日]赤松要.我国经济发展综合原理[M],1932.
[13]Raymond Vernon. International Investment and Investment Trade in the Product Cycle [J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics,1966 (5).
[14]W-Arthur Lewis. The Evolution of the International Economic Order[M].New Jersey: Princeton University Press,1978.
[15]Dunning J.H. The Paradigm of International Production [J]. Journal of International Business Studies,1988 (5):1-31.
[16]Kojima K. Reorganization of North-South Trade:Japan's Foreign Economic Policy for the 1970's [J]. Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics,1973 (13):2.
[17]范恒山,吴克鹏.皖江城市带承接产业转移示范区研究[M].北京：中国发展出版社,2010.
[18]陈才.蒙东地区与东北三省产业对接与跨区域合作研究[M].长春：东北师范大学出版社,2008.
[19]顾朝林.产业结构重构与转移—长三角洲地区及主要城市比较研究[M].南京：江苏人民出版社,2003.
[20]何龙斌.对西部地区承接国内产业转移热的几点思考[J].现代经济探讨,2011(2)：61-64.
[21]张可云.区域大战与区域经济关系[M].北京：民主与建设出版社,2001：279.
[22]戴宏伟.国际产业转移与中国制造业发展[M].北京：人民出版社,2006.
[23][美]迈克尔·波特著.孙小悦译.竞争优势[M].北京：华夏出版社,1997.
[24]Kogut, B., Designing Global Strategies:Comparative and Competitive Value—added Chains [J]. Sloan management Review,1985,26 (4).
[25]邓爱民,张春龙.全球价值链下物流产业集群升级研究——以湖南省物流产业集群为例[J].情报杂志,2012,31(4)：100-106.
[26]惠宁.产业集群的区域经济效应研究[M].北京：中国经济出版社,2008.
[27]江霈.中国区域产业转移动力机制及影响因素分析[D].天津：南开大学博士学位论文,2008.
[28]熊友云,张明军等.1978-2006年甘肃产业结构演进分析[J].干旱区地理,2010,33(2)：：285-292.
[29]朱智文,王辉.甘肃省产业结构与就业结构的动态关系研究[J].开发研究,2009(5)：52-57.
[30]钱兰兰.从产业关联看甘肃产业结构的调整方向[年鉴].中国宏观经济运行轨迹2006-2009,北京：中国统计出版社,2010：669-679.
[31]李淑华.以循环经济促进甘肃生态化建设[J].西北师大学报(社会科学版),2008,45(4)：129-132.
[32]2010年甘肃省招商引资项目完成情况分析报告[R].甘肃省经济合作局招商处,2011.
[33]甘肃省承接产业转移简报[R].甘肃省承接产业转移协调推进领导小组办公室,2012(26).
[34]王满四,黄言生.欠发达地区承接产业转移的关键影响因素研究[J].国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报),2012(2)：96-104.
[35]李卫东.应用多元统计分析[M].北京：北京大学出版社,2008.
[36]理查德·A.约翰逊,迪安·W.威克恩.实用多元统计分析[M].北京：清华大学出版社,2008.
[37]李竹渝,鲁万波,龚金国.经济、金融计量学中的非参数估计技术[M].北京：科学出版社.2007.
[38]戴宏伟.产业梯度产业双向转移与中国制造业发展[J].经济理论与经济管理,2006(12)：45-50.
[39]韩小威.经济全球化北京下中国产业政策有效性问题研究[D].吉林：吉林大学博士学位论文,2006.
[40]李小卉.珠三角产业结构优化的财政政策研究[J].改革与战略,2009(11)：72-74.
[41]焦隆.兰州新区获得国务院批复成为第五个国家级新区[N].新华网.2012-08-29.许长新.产业关联规律与投资倾斜政策[J].财贸研究,1990(4)：6-9.