轻型装甲车辆主动防护系统拦截效率研究
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摘要
轻型装甲车辆主动防护系统是近年来发展起来的新概念装甲防护手段,许多国家都在积极研究装甲主动防护系统。而对主动防护系统拦截效率的研究至关重要,本文通过对轻型装甲车辆主动防护系统拦截效率的研究,为主动防护系统的研制与使用提供了必要技术支持和理论参考。
本文详细地阐述了轻型装甲车辆主动防护系统的工作原理,分析了系统的拦截能力。通过对主动防护系统拦截过程出现的误差进行分析,计算了这些误差引起的炸点偏差,建立了拦截误差模型;通过对拦截弹爆炸后破片的初速、飞行距离和时间、破片的角密度和单块破片杀伤概率的计算,确定了命中目标的有效破片数,建立了拦截弹杀伤概率模型,从而建立了主动防护系统拦截概率模型(该系统模型包括拦截误差模型和拦截弹杀伤概率模型)。采用蒙特卡洛方法,计算了轻型装甲车辆主动防护系统的拦截概率,并分析了误差对拦截概率的影响程度。结果表明:探测距离误差、引信作用时间误差、拦截弹速度误差、目标速度误差对拦截概率影响较大,射角误差、方位角误差、航路角误差和升降角误差对拦截概率的影响较小。
Active protection system is a new defense concept for light armored vehicle, which has been researched and developed a lot by many countries. This paper focused on the research of interception efficiency of light armored vehicle, as a key issue in this field, providing theoretical reference and technical support for the R&D of active protection system.
This paper introduced the principle of active protection system of light armored vehicle, and analyzed its interception capability. Based on the error analysis of interception process for calculating the bias of burst points, the interception error model was founded. The kill probability model of interception missile was established through the calculation of several mechanical properties of the fragments to determine the number of effective fragments, such as initial velocity, flight distance, fight time, angle density and the kill probability of single fragment. Thus the interception probability model of active protection system was established, which includes the interception error model and kill probability model of interception missile. By means of Monte Carlo method, the interception probability was calculated, and the error influence factor was also considered. The results show that the errors related to detection range, time delay of the fuse and the velocity of interception missile highlight the interception probability. By contraries, the errors involved with angle of fire, azimuth angle, fairway angle and lifting angle have a relative low influence to the interception probability.
本文详细地阐述了轻型装甲车辆主动防护系统的工作原理,分析了系统的拦截能力。通过对主动防护系统拦截过程出现的误差进行分析,计算了这些误差引起的炸点偏差,建立了拦截误差模型;通过对拦截弹爆炸后破片的初速、飞行距离和时间、破片的角密度和单块破片杀伤概率的计算,确定了命中目标的有效破片数,建立了拦截弹杀伤概率模型,从而建立了主动防护系统拦截概率模型(该系统模型包括拦截误差模型和拦截弹杀伤概率模型)。采用蒙特卡洛方法,计算了轻型装甲车辆主动防护系统的拦截概率,并分析了误差对拦截概率的影响程度。结果表明:探测距离误差、引信作用时间误差、拦截弹速度误差、目标速度误差对拦截概率影响较大,射角误差、方位角误差、航路角误差和升降角误差对拦截概率的影响较小。
Active protection system is a new defense concept for light armored vehicle, which has been researched and developed a lot by many countries. This paper focused on the research of interception efficiency of light armored vehicle, as a key issue in this field, providing theoretical reference and technical support for the R&D of active protection system.
This paper introduced the principle of active protection system of light armored vehicle, and analyzed its interception capability. Based on the error analysis of interception process for calculating the bias of burst points, the interception error model was founded. The kill probability model of interception missile was established through the calculation of several mechanical properties of the fragments to determine the number of effective fragments, such as initial velocity, flight distance, fight time, angle density and the kill probability of single fragment. Thus the interception probability model of active protection system was established, which includes the interception error model and kill probability model of interception missile. By means of Monte Carlo method, the interception probability was calculated, and the error influence factor was also considered. The results show that the errors related to detection range, time delay of the fuse and the velocity of interception missile highlight the interception probability. By contraries, the errors involved with angle of fire, azimuth angle, fairway angle and lifting angle have a relative low influence to the interception probability.
引文
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[6]段振清译.坦克的主动防护系统[J].外军炮兵,1992,(2):30-34.
[7]冯旭哲,王玘,吴石林,杨希仲.坦克装甲车辆主动防护系统的研究[J].军事拘束,2004,(10):35-38.
[8]李建福,王俊.国外坦克硬杀伤防护系统研究近况[J].科技情报开发与经济,2006,16(2):156-157.
[9]仲崇慧.新概念防护-坦克装甲车辆的综合防护[J].现代兵器,2006,(8):17-20.
[10]王俊,刘天生.一种新型装甲车辆防护系统的初探[J].综述,2006,(2):14-16.
[11]王庆明.战车的保护神-主动防护系统[J].现代兵器,2004,(3):38-40.
[12]李鑫译.主动防护装甲战斗车辆的灵巧屏蔽[J].国外坦克,2000,(1):31-39.
[13]张刚,高勇.主动防护系统的软肋[J].国外坦克,2005,(11):51-53.
[14]王开启译.装甲车辆的防护[J].国外坦克,1999,(5):31-33.
[15]徐晓前译.装甲车辆的主动防护系统[J].士兵与技术,1994,(12):20-21.
[16]高云生.国外近程武器系统的现状及发展趋势[J].现代防御技术,1995,(5):22-27.
[17]李瑶.未来轻型装甲车辆的生存之道[J].现代兵器,2005,(2):12-15.
[18]孔繁清,薛军楼.主动防护系统的发展[J].坦克装甲,1998,(4):3-5.
[19]奥格凯维茨R M.战斗车辆的主动防护[J].简氏防务周刊,1985,(4):7-10.
[20]张刚,冉隆云,冯顺山.超近程反导武器系统探讨[J].综合评述,2004,(8):22-27.
[21]王学斌.反导防空导弹拦截效能的研究[J].航空计算技术,2003 33(1):29-32.
[22]李向东,张运社,魏惠之.破片式战斗部对地面复杂目标的毁伤研究[J].兵工学报.1999,(3):115-118.
[23]李向东,魏惠之,张运法.小口径动能弹丸对飞机的毁伤计算模型[J].南京理工 大学学学报,1996(3):241-244.
[24]潘承泮.火箭反坦克子母弹射击效力研究[J].兵工学报,1988(1):1-8.
[25]傅建平,杨明华.动能子母弹对自行火炮毁伤概率分析与计算[J].装甲兵工程学报.2000(2):40-43.
[26]胡江,王晓明.舰载火箭子母弹多发命中概率计算模型.舰船科学技术[J].2005(1):74-76.
[27]勒树昌,张允明.远程多管火箭炮单炮射击效能计算与分析[J].火炮发射与控制学报,2003(4):23-25.
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[29]黄启晋,刘兴平.子母弹对目标毁伤概率Monte-Carlo计算与分析[J],计算物理,1992(4):567-568.
[30]黎春林,冯顺山.超近程反导武器系统探讨[J].现代防御技术,2003(1):12-14.
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[32]Hosein P A,Athans M.George L Seffers.DoD explores laser's ability to destroy ground targets[J].Defense News,2000,15(14).
[33]Michael C.Sirak.BMDO,Boeing plan precision-strike DEMO of airborne tactical laser.Inside the Pentagon[J].2000,16(23):11-14.
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[44]李廷杰.导弹武器系统的效能及其分析[M].国防工业出版社,2000.
[45]杨建军.地空导弹武器系统概论[M].国防工业出版社,2006.
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[51]刘怡昕.子母弹射击效率与使用分析[D].南京:南京炮兵学院,1992.
[52]徐长胜.火箭子母弹射击效力研究[D].南京:华东工学院硕士论文,1989.
[53]吕士明.着发射击高射武器系统效力分析[D].南京:南京理工大学硕士论文,2001.
[54]沈波.杀伤导弹战斗部对空中目标的毁伤研究[D].南京:硕士学位论文,2000.
[55]刘力维.武器系统射击效力分析理论[D].南京:南京理工大学博士论文,2004.
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