中国钢铁企业并购重组绩效研究
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摘要
本论文综合产业经济学、管理学、会计学等理论关于企业并购重组绩效评价的相关研究成果,并结合我国钢铁产业环境的客观实际情况,试图建立我国钢铁企业并购重组绩效评价的分析框架;先通过分析我国钢铁企业并购重组战略目标构成,考察和总结世界钢铁产业结构变动中的主要并购重组模式及其演进特征,吸收世界主要产钢大国(跨国集团)并购重组经验;再以我国钢铁企业并购重组战略目标为导向,构建并购重组绩效评价指标体系,并以近十年内我国发生并购重组的大型钢铁企业为样本,建立并购重组绩效因子分析模型,对样本企业并购重组绩效进行综合评价;然后对我国最大的四家钢铁行业主导企业(河北钢铁、宝钢、武钢、鞍本)的并购重组绩效进行微观层面的实证研究,归纳总结钢铁企业并购重组绩效的影响因素;尝试建立我国钢铁企业并购重组的系统动力学模型并进行反馈分析,并提出管理对策和建议。
     本文主要分八章,主要研究结构如下:
     第一章引言:主要论述了钢铁企业并购重组绩效研究的意义,提出问题,通过对相关理论研究进展的总结与述评,找出了当前研究的不足,提出了本文的研究框架、研究内容、研究方法和创新点。
     第二章理论基础:本章分为三个层次,首先辨析了并购重组的内涵,综述了并购动因和效应理论;其次梳理了绩效评价的发展过程和相关理论;在此基础上提出了并购重组绩效的概念,明确了其内涵和外延,并总结了并购重组绩效的主要研究方法。
     第三章钢铁企业并购重组战略目标分析:首先分析了钢铁产业特征和产业链结构,回顾了我国钢铁产业的发展过程,深入分析了我国钢铁产业组织、规模、布局和产业集中度变化情况;然后从三种不同理论角度出发,结合产业实际状况,分析了我国钢铁企业并购重组战略目标应包括的内涵;最后在产业环境分析和理论分析的基础上,揭示了我国钢铁企业并购重组战略目标的结构及其内在联系。
     第四章钢铁企业并购重组模式比较分析:首先在考察全球钢铁产业结构变化的基础上归纳了国内外钢铁企业并购重组的三种主要模式,并分析了其并购动因、演进过程和内在特征;其次总结了美、欧、日、米塔尔等主要产钢国(跨国集团)的企业并购重组经验及对我国的借鉴;最后提出了制约我国钢铁企业并购重组推进的主要瓶颈问题。
     第五章我国钢铁企业并购重组绩效评价指标体系的构建:首先明确钢铁企业并购重组绩效评价的主体、客体和评价目标,在此基础上建立了并购重组绩效评价体系初步框架;然后以近十年来发生并购重组的钢铁企业为样本建立了并购重组绩效因子分析模型,通过主成分分析筛选、剔除了初步框架中的弱相关指标,并用因子分析法在销售净利率、净资产收益率、成本费用利润率等13个原始变量中抽取出5个公共因子,根据因子得分、并购重组绩效总分与排名情况对样本企业的并购重组绩效进行了综合评价;最后对所建立的因子分析模型进行了客观评价,并讨论了可改进之处。
     第六章行业主导企业并购重组绩效比较分析:以我国最大的四家行业主导企业(河北钢铁、宝钢、武钢、鞍本)的并购重组案例分析为基础,在第五章提取的五个公共因子上又增加了五个与并购重组绩效有密切关联的原始指标。从微观层面对四家主导企业及其子企业的并购重组绩效进行了横向比较和纵向比较。最后,归纳了钢铁企业并购重组绩效的影响因素,分析了其作用机理,并给出了相应的管理政策建议。
     第七章我国钢铁企业并购重组系统结构模型及反馈分析:首先引入了系统动力学流率入树建模法和关联数字矩阵反馈环计算法的概念和定理,为构建系统反馈模型奠定了扎实的理论基础;然后遵循流率基本入树建模法基本步骤建立了钢铁企业并购重组系统流位流率系、定性二部分图和基本流率入树模型;接下来应用关联数字矩阵反馈环计算法实现了反馈环的运算,从结果中筛选出最能表达内部变量作用关系的8条10阶、11阶正负反馈环进行分析并提出了管理对策。
     第八章结论与展望:对全文研究内容进行总结,归纳出基本结论,并对尚待解决的问题提出展望。
     本论文围绕钢铁企业的并购重组绩效评价问题这一主线,在理论分析过程中充分吸收了现有的研究成果,并在此基础上通过归纳、梳理、凝炼、提升,主要做了如下工作和创新:
     首先,结合国内外钢铁业并购重组发展模式和我国钢铁企业并购重组的战略目标分析,对影响我国钢铁企业并购重组绩效的关键因素进行了实证分析;
     其次,建立了一个从我国钢铁产业实际情况出发的企业并购重组绩效评价指标体系,并对不同并购重组模式下的四个行业主导企业宝钢、武钢、鞍本、河北钢铁集团的并购重组绩效进行定量分析和比较研究;
     再次,将系统动力学研究方法引入钢铁产业并购重组研究,构建了我国钢铁企业并购重组系统结构模型,根据反馈分析和比较研究结果提出了政策建议。
This dissertation has integrated much of the results of relative researches on Merger & Acquisition performance measurement that had been based on theories of industrial economy, science of management and accounting. Taking the realistic situation of Chinese steel industry as main consideration, this dissertation has tried to build up a research framework of the M&A performance measurement of Chinese iron and Steel corporations through analysing the structure of M&A strategic goals of Chinese iron and steel corporations, observing and summarizing the essential M&A patterns and their features of changing and learning the M&A experiences of western developed countries and Mittal Group. Then this dissertation has built up an indicator system of M&A performance measurement led by the strategic M&A goals of Chinese steel corporations; taking the main steel corporations involved in M&A during the past 10 years as research samples, a factor analysis model of M&A performance has thus been developed in order to make an objective assessment of the M&A performance of sample corporations. Afterwards, this dissertation has carried out empirical study on the M&A performance of Chinese biggest four steel corporations from a micro view, and has induced the key factors of Chinese steel corporations' M&A performance. Finally, a system dynamic model of Chinese steel corporations' merger and acquisition has also been developed in order that suggestions of management could be advanced through feedback analysis.
     The full text is composed of eight chapters, the main structure and content of which is as follows:
     The first chapter is the introductory. This chapter includes the background and significance of the research topics, research state, the basic ideas and methods, the main content and structure, the major innovation points.
     Chapter II is the theoretical foundation of M&A performance measurement, which is composed of three parts, the first part has included the definition of merger, acquisition, recombination and takeover, theories of M&A motivations and effects. The second part has specified process of performance measurement development and relative theories. Based on the former two parts, concept of M&A performance has been advanced including its meaning and extension, as well as the main research methods in the third part.
     Chapter III has mainly analysed the characteristics, industrial chain of steel industry, and then reviewed the history of Chinese steel industry, following which is a detailed analysis on the industrial system, scale, organization and degree of concentration of Chinese steel industry. Then the content of M&A strategic goals has been treated through research views of three different theories, as well as the logic relations of the strategic goals.
     Chapter IV has induced three essential M&A patterns of international steel corporations as well as their motivations based on observation of changes of industrial structure in global steel industry, and then summed the M&A experiences of America, Europe, Japan and Mittal Group. Finally it has revealed the bottle-neck of processing M&A in China.
     Chapter V firstly discriminated the subject, object and objectives of steel corporations' M&A performance measurement, based on which an original indicator system of M&A performance measurement has been set up. Taking the main steel corporations involved in M&A during the past 10 years as research samples, a factor analysis model of M&A performance has thus been developed in order to make an objective assessment of the M&A performance of sample corporations. Seven weak correlation indicators were picked out after principal component analysis, and then the rest thirteen indicators including NPTS, ROE, ratio of profit to cost, etc were processed through factor analysis and finally 5 public factors were extracted. The M&A performance of sample companies has been measured and listed by scores of performance & public factors. In the end, deficiency of this model was discussed.
     Chapter VI, this chapter has carried out an empirical study on M&A performance of Chinese biggest four steel corporations (including Bao Steel, WISCO, Anben and Hebei steel) from a micro view, based on their M&A cases, factors extracted in Chapter V and five additional financial indicators. M&A performances of the four corporations were compared in two ways and finally the key factors of Chinese steel corporations' M&A performance were induced before their motivations were analysed. Management suggestions have been provided according to the key factors.
     Chapter VII firstly introduces the methodology of flow rate in-tree modelling and related digit matrix feedback ring computing of system dynamics. Then following the basic steps of flow rate in-tree modelling, the flow rate in-tree model of steel corporations' M&A is set up. After computing all the feedback rings, eight of the 10-order and 11-order feedback rings are chosen because of their effectiveness of reflecting the relationship between flow rates, and then analysed to obtain management suggestions.
     Chapter VIII is the conclusion of this study and follow-up research prospects. Based on the analysis of previous chapters, this chapter gives the main summarized conclusions of papers, the shortage of the study, and the indicated direction of the follow-up study.
     This dissertatioin uses the main line around the M&A performance of steel corporations; it has been fully absorbed the research results in the analysis process, and on this basis, by induction, carding, pithiness and improvement, the innovation points of this paper are as follows:
     Firstly, an empirical study upon the key factors of the M&A performance of Chinese steel corporations has been carried out based on analysis of the strategic goals and essential M&A patterns of Chinese steel corporations.
     Secondly, an M&A performance measurement indicator system has been built up based on the realistic situation of Chinese iron&steel industry, and the M&A performances of four biggest steel corporations has been put into a quantitative comparative research.
     Finally, this study has introduced methodology of system dynamics into the field of M&A of steel industry, and a system dynamic model of Chinese steel corporations' Merger&Acquisition has been developed. Management suggestions have been provided based upon results of feedback analysis and comparative research.
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