森林资源二类调查方法的改进及监测体系研究
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摘要
森林是整个国民经济持续、快速、健康发展的基础,在国家经济建设和可持续发展中具有不可替代的地位和作用。森林资源二类调查在我国森林资源调查体系中有着重要的地位和作用,是国营林业局、林场、县级单位编制森林经营方案、总体设计和林业规划的基础工作,是我国森林资源调查体系中的重要组成部分。
     我国森林资源二类调查主要采用角规辅助的小班调查与县级加密样地控制调查结果的方法,由于县级森林连清抽样体系的资金往往得不到保证,许多县市放弃了以县为总体的森林连续清查样地加密系统,这又为以县为总体的森林资源二类调查带来不可回避的精度控制问题。同时,森林生态监测的进展也为以山头地块乃至流域(小班的组合)为基本单位的森林资源调查提出了新的要求。
     本文针对我国森林资源二类调查现状及建立县级监测体系要求,提出了一种二类调查方法进行改进,即以县为总体、小班为基本单元(或小班的组合)的不等概抽样,抽中的小班建立角规固定样地,采用角规测树动态监测的理论与方法建立县级小班总体的森林资源动态监测体系;对其余未抽中的小班,仍采用常规角规辅助调查的方法;对森林生态监测要求的监测区域可结合典型小班抽样的方法进行调查。论文提出了小班不等抽样计算方法和总体林分断面积生长量、蓄积生长量的计算方法。
     小班不等概抽样应尽量选择与调查因子相关性紧密的辅助因子来确定单元的抽取概率,提高不等概抽样的抽样效率和估计精度。本文以广东省博罗县2005年小班二类调查数据及同期的ETM+遥感数据为例,对主要树种(桉树、马尾松、南洋楹、其它软阔)进行按树种、龄组,以及树种与龄组组合划分类型(分层),选取了小班面积、郁闭度、小班面积与郁闭度积(小班郁闭度与小班面积积可看为小班林冠投影面积和)、以及用遥感影像技术提取的小班平均NDVI与小班面积积(小班平均NDVI值×小班面积可以表示为小班像元NDVI值和)作为辅助因子,对小班蓄积进行相关性分析与比较。结果表明,按树种与龄组组合划分类型后,辅助因子与小班蓄积相关性有明显提高,其中小班面积与郁闭度积的测度与小班蓄积的相关关系可达到0.90;小班平均NDVI与小班面积积与小班蓄积的相关关系可达到0.84。从现势性考虑,小班平均NDVI与小班面积积作为小班不等概抽样的辅助因子。
     论文采用张角法对县级总体林分断面积生长量和蓄积生长量进行估算。张角法测树生蓄积量、断面积等会出现跳跃现象或零增长现象。论文从理论上论证了张角法测林分生长量是无偏的。论文对张角法与传统保留木法、变角规系数法估算林分生长量方法进行了比较。通过理论和实例验证了张角法和传统保留木法在保留木前后期胸高断面积比不大时是一致的,传统保留木法中常用的普列斯勒式与张角法的非常接近;变角规系数法和张角法计算公式可以推导出相似的表达形式,在机理上也是一致的。
     论文对森林资源二类调查方法的改进及动态监测体系的主要方案做了全面的阐述,分析和总结了小班区划的方法,对小班测度进行了完善,提出了森林资源测度和林林生态状况两类测度(森林资源测度分为单株木指标、林分指标和大林林指标共计48个指标;森林生态状况指标分为6类38个指标)。
     为验证角规抽样动态监测体系的可行性,本文以广西西南部分一类调查角规样点及角规样点落在小班组合而成的部分总体的为例,对2000年和2005年两期二类调查数据进行了抽样实验和生长量估计。用不等概抽样估计方法得到2000年、2005年小班总体蓄积估计量分别为3785.580m3、4162.119m3,估计精度分别为69%、78%;用张角法计算得出小班总体蓄积生长量为530.020m3,该值与2000年期的蓄积估计量3785.580m3累加得到2005年的蓄积估计量为4315.600m3,落在2005年总体蓄积估计区间(3786.340575,4537.897487)内,结果表明论文提出的二类调查方法的改进和动态监测方法是有效的。
     本文仅对森林资源二类调查的改方法进行了理论上的探讨及试验的计算与总结。该方法进一步的推广应用还需与抽样控制方法的结果进行对比与分析。论文对后续的研究和试验工作提出了建议。
Forest is entire nation economy sustained, rapid and healthy development of the foundation, in the national economic construction and sustainable development status and irreplaceable role. Forest inventory for management plan in China Forest Resource Inventory survey system has an important position and role, is the state Bureau of Forestry, forestry and county units in the preparation of forest management plan, based on overall design and planning of forestry work, is the system of forest resources important part.
     Forest Inventory for management plan at this stage may need further improvements and enhancements. The system sampling method with dense-plots on the base of national forest inventory plots was often used to control the precision of subcompartment survey, but now the method can't be used because of expensive survey and longer survey time. On the other hand, as the forest ecological monitoring of progress, more factors of ecological surveys and environmental factors added, on land and even the valley to mountain top (the combination of subcompartment) as the basic unit of forest resources survey put forward new requirements, the existing Inventory methods are not well to meet this demand.
     The paper summarizes theory and method of angle measuring in several major factors of subcompartment, such as stand basal area, stand hectares of accumulation and volume growing estimation in permanent point sampling, and analysis the sampling error with method of angle measuring, further proposed techincal methods to eliminate or reduce the error of this method.
     The angle change method change in angle over time to estimate basal area growth rate, theoretically demonstrates the estimate basal area growth rate is unbiased, and eliminate the phenomenon of zero and jumping extimation of basal area and volume increment. Theoretical analysis and sample verification show that the angle change method is compatible with traditional method of survivor growth estimation when the pre-reserved trees basal area ratio is not too large, particularly Puliesile formula in the traditional method of growth estimation is very close to the angle change method. the angle change method and the method of changing angle factor have same formula form and principle.
     The comprehensive exposition on methods of Forest Inventory and Monitoring System to improve the main program, the paper analysis and summary of subcompartment division method, improve Measurement indicators of subcompartment measure, put forward Measurement indicators of forest resources and forest ecological status. Measurement of forest resources include plant trees indicators, targets and major forest indicators stand a total of 48 indicators; forest ecological status indicators are divided into levels of forest ecological functions, ecological diversity, forest health degree, type and grade soil erosion, forest landscape level, the main forest community types of forest floor, soil water storage, carbon storage of forest plants, forest plants energy storage. the paper presents subcompartment tissue and estimation methods, and method of angle measuring in volume growing estimation in permanent point sampling.
     Subcompartment PPS sampling method should try to select closely related auxiliary factor to determine the probability of extraction. Using Guangdong Boluo subcompartment Inventory Data in 2005 and ETM+remote sensing data for example and the main tree species (eucalyptus, pine, falcataria, other soft wide) for by species, age group, and the tree species and age Group portfolio divided type (layered), this paper select the subcompartment size, canopy density, the multiplication of subcompartment area size with its canopy density(the multiplication can be seen to be subcompartment size and crown projection), and extracted using remote sensing technology the multiplication of subcompartment area size with its average NDVI (the multiplication can be expressed as sum of subcompartment pixel NDVI values) as an auxiliary factor, subcompartment cumulative correlation analysis and comparison. The results show that by species composition and age group classification type, the auxiliary factors associated with the accumulation of subcompartment significantly improved. The correlation between the multiplication of subcompartment area size and its canopy density and volume of subcompartment up to 0.90, and the correlation between the multiplication of subcompartment area size and its average NDVI and volume of subcompartment up to 0.84. Considerations from the current situation, the multiplication of subcompartment area size with its average NDVI as a auxiliary cofactor.
     To verify the feasibility of dynamic monitoring system, the paper investigated a part of Guangxi Province in the southwest part of the point sample plots and the plots fall some combination of subcompartment overall for example in 2000a and 2005a two stage Inventory data, test the sampling survey method and calculate the growth estimation. The results showed that the estimation of volume was 3785.580 cube meter in 2000a, and 4162.119 cube meter in 2005a. The estimated precision was 69% and 78% respectively. The estimation of volume growth was 530.020 cube meter. Added it with the volume in 2000a, another estimation of volume was 4315.600 cube meter in 2005a, witch was among the estimated range (3786.340575, 4537.897487) in 2005a. The results-show that the proposed inventory system thesis and dynamic monitoring method is effective.
     The paper only explore the theory of improvement on forest inventory for management plan and test the theoretical calculations and summary. The method further dissemination and application needs comparison and analysis the results of sampling control method. Paper made recommendations for future research.
引文
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