基于分支定界算法的三层决策模型与应用研究
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摘要
多跟随者三层决策建立在具有层级关系的组织中,上层是领导者,下层是追随者,其执行顺序是从顶层到底层。不同层级的每个决策实体都有独自的决策目标,但目标的实现又是相互关联的,每个决策实体也考虑其它层级决策实体的决策。这样的决策存在于国家政策的制定、科学技术的运用、企业管理和日常生活等多个方面。优化多层决策、探索多层决策算法、实现多层决策应用逐渐成为决策研究的热点内容。
     本文从三个方面进行研究:首先介绍多层决策的模型,详细讲解多层规划理论知识;然后给出Kuhn-Tucker条件的三个定理,由二层分支定界算法引出三层分支定界算法,用两个数值案例详细说明Kuhn-Tucker条件的转化过程和分支定界算法流程;并基于此算法开发出三层决策支持系统,可以快速有效的解决多层规划决策问题;最后给出三层决策的实际应用,结合某化工企业的销售-生产-采购的实际情况建立了三层决策数学模型,将此模型运用到三层决策支持系统中,可以快速求出最优解决方案,帮助企业优化资源配置和产业结构,降低生产和采购成本,给企业带来更大利润,为决策者提供科学的决策依据。
Multi-follower Tri-level decision is established in the hierarchical organization. It implements from the top level to the bottom. The top level is leader, and the bottom level is follower. Different levels of decision making entities have their own decision-making targets, but the realization of them is relevant to each other, so they should concern about each other when making the decisions. National policy formulation, science and technology application, business management and daily life are all filled with such decisions. Optimizing the hierarchical form decision-making, exploring Multi-follower Tri-level decision algorithm, and the realizing of hierarchical form decision-making application have became the hot area for researchers.
     There are three aspects of this study:firstly, a multilevel decision model is given, the basic theory of multilevel programming is explained. Then a tri-level branch and bound algorithm is illustrated based on the bi-level algorithm, and detailed description of two numerical examples of process for branch and bound algorithm under the Kuhn-Tucker condition are given. A tri-level decision support system is developed based on the algorithm, which can effectively solve the multi-level decision system. Finally, the practical application of three level application of decision making is given. A tri-level programming model of sales-production-stock is established by combining the situation in a chemical enterprise. The optimal solution is quickly obtained by using the model in the tri-level decision support system. The solution can help the enterprises to optimize resource allocation and industrial structure, to reduce the production and procurement costs. All these provide a scientific decision making method for the decision maker in the enterprise.
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